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BEST BETS · 1 unit flat · walk-forward backtest
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55.5% Win Rate · 2111-1695 · 3,806 picks
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MLB Games 3
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2022-10-14
ATL 1  @  PHI 9
Citizens Bank Park
56% 44%
ATL
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 72% O7.5 63% O8.5 54% O9.5 43% O10.5 35% O11.5 28%
Run Line
PHI -1.5 31% ATL -1.5 44% PHI -2.5 21% ATL -2.5 34%

Odds & Predictions

Metric ATL (Away) PHI (Home)
Predicted % 56.1% 43.9%
Pred Runs 4.83 4.92
O/U line U 10.5 -105 O 10.5 -125
Predicted total 9.7
Weather 61°F · 8 mph W

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Spencer Strider pitching 22.2 $6,500
Aaron Nola pitching 21.5 $9,100
Kyle Schwarber hitting 9.2 $5,500
Full Game Details →
LAD 1  @  SD 2
Petco Park
58% 42%
LAD
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 74% O7.5 64% O8.5 55% O9.5 45% O10.5 36% O11.5 28%
Run Line
SD -1.5 33% LAD -1.5 38% SD -2.5 23% LAD -2.5 29%

Odds & Predictions

Metric LAD (Away) SD (Home)
Predicted % 57.6% 42.4%
Pred Runs 5.02 4.16
Predicted total 9.2
Weather 67°F · 4 mph WSW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Blake Snell pitching 21.8 $6,900
Tony Gonsolin pitching 14.4 $7,500
Juan Soto hitting 9.8 $5,400
Full Game Details →
CLE 4  @  NYY 2
Yankee Stadium
53% 47%
CLE
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 68% O7.5 58% O8.5 51% O9.5 41% O10.5 33% O11.5 24%
Run Line
NYY -1.5 40% CLE -1.5 34% NYY -2.5 29% CLE -2.5 25%

Odds & Predictions

Metric CLE (Away) NYY (Home)
Predicted % 53.1% 46.9%
Pred Runs 3.67 3.55
Predicted total 7.2
Weather 63°F · 6 mph SSW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Shane Bieber pitching 17.8 $8,700
Nestor Cortes pitching 17.2 $8,200
Aaron Judge hitting 8.5 $6,300
Full Game Details →