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BEST BETS · 1 unit flat · walk-forward backtest
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55.4% Win Rate · 1999-1607 · 3,606 picks
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MLB Games 4
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2025-10-08
PHI 8  @  LAD 2
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
40% 60%
LAD
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 72% O7.5 60% O8.5 52% O9.5 44% O10.5 36% O11.5 27%
Run Line
LAD -1.5 40% PHI -1.5 30% LAD -2.5 29% PHI -2.5 23%

Odds & Predictions

Metric PHI (Away) LAD (Home)
Predicted % 39.8% 60.2%
Pred Runs 4.54 3.70
Predicted total 8.2
Weather 62°F · 2 mph SSE

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Yoshinobu Yamamoto pitching 21.5 $9,000
Aaron Nola pitching 16.5 $7,200
Shohei Ohtani hitting 11.7 $6,200
Full Game Details →
MIL 3  @  CHC 4
Wrigley Field
45% 55%
CHC
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 75% O7.5 65% O8.5 58% O9.5 47% O10.5 39% O11.5 31%
Run Line
CHC -1.5 41% MIL -1.5 32% CHC -2.5 30% MIL -2.5 22%

Odds & Predictions

Metric MIL (Away) CHC (Home)
Moneyline +142 -184
Implied % 38.9% 61.1%
Predicted % 44.7% 55.3%
Pred Runs 4.34 4.21
O/U line U 8.5 +162 O 8.5 -220
Predicted total 8.6
Weather 63°F · 8 mph NNE

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Quinn Priester pitching 14.8 $8,000
Jameson Taillon pitching 13.9 $7,700
Michael Busch hitting 10.0 $4,700
Full Game Details →
SEA 3  @  DET 9
Comerica Park
52% 48%
SEA
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 78% O7.5 66% O8.5 58% O9.5 48% O10.5 41% O11.5 32%
Run Line
DET -1.5 30% SEA -1.5 42% DET -2.5 20% SEA -2.5 32%

Odds & Predictions

Metric SEA (Away) DET (Home)
Predicted % 51.7% 48.3%
Pred Runs 4.15 4.27
Predicted total 8.4
Weather 62°F · 9 mph SW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Casey Mize pitching 13.7 $7,500
Bryce Miller pitching 12.3 $7,000
Kerry Carpenter hitting 10.8 $4,000
Full Game Details →
TOR 5  @  NYY 2
Yankee Stadium
48% 52%
NYY
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 74% O7.5 63% O8.5 55% O9.5 44% O10.5 38% O11.5 29%
Run Line
NYY -1.5 41% TOR -1.5 33% NYY -2.5 31% TOR -2.5 22%

Odds & Predictions

Metric TOR (Away) NYY (Home)
Moneyline +108 -138
Implied % 45.3% 54.7%
Predicted % 48.4% 51.6%
Runline +1.5 -220 -1.5 +162
RL + Pred 5.8 2.3
Pred Runs 4.31 3.84
Mkt implied runs 2.50 4.00
O/U line U 6.5 +100 O 6.5 -132
Predicted total 8.2
Weather 62°F · 8 mph W

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Cam Schlittler pitching 20.7 $8,700
Louis Varland pitching 16.8 $4,000
Aaron Judge hitting 10.4 $6,300
Full Game Details →