Best Bets

MLB — walk-forward calibrated picks from the sim's surviving filter bands
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Today: 5 picks · 2W-3L · -29.6% ROI · -1.5u
ML: 4 · OVER: 1
Walk-forward record (2023-present)
1153W-1107L · 51% WR · -2.4% ROI · -53.2u

Today's Best Bets

Flat 1u each · walk-forward calibrated bands only
ML
Cleveland Guardians
HOU @ CLE · Model: 64% vs Market: 58% · HOME consensus, 5-10% edge
+5.5% edge
-155
1u bet
5-8 W
ML
Cincinnati Reds
CIN @ TB · Model: 58% vs Market: 51% · AWAY consensus, 5-10% edge
+7.1% edge
-114
1u bet
12-6 W
ML
Miami Marlins
STL @ MIA · Model: 53% vs Market: 52% · HOME consensus
+1.6% edge
-117
1u bet
5-3 L
ML
Detroit Tigers
MIL @ DET · Model: 52% vs Market: 51% · HOME consensus
+1.5% edge
-112
1u bet
12-4 L
TOTAL
OVER 7.5
TOR @ LAA · Model: 10.2 vs Line: 7.5 · 2.5-3.0 OVER band
+2.7 over line
-110
1u bet
4-2 L