Best Bets
MLB — walk-forward calibrated picks from the sim's surviving filter bands
Today's Best Bets
Flat 1u each · walk-forward calibrated bands onlyTOTAL
OVER 8.0
HOU @ CLE · Model: 10.7 vs Line: 8.0 · 2.5-3.0 OVER band
+2.7 over line
-110
1u bet
2-0 L
ML
Kansas City Royals
BAL @ KC · Model: 56% vs Market: 54% · HOME consensus
+1.6% edge
-130
1u bet
8-6 L
ML
Athletics
ATH @ SEA · Model: 54% vs Market: 38% · underdog fade
+16.3% edge
+155
1u bet
4-5 L
TOTAL
OVER 7.8
MIL @ DET · Model: 10.5 vs Line: 7.8 · 2.5-3.0 OVER band
+2.7 over line
-110
1u bet
2-5 L
ML
Washington Nationals
ATL @ WSH · Model: 53% vs Market: 42% · HOME consensus
+10.7% edge
+128
1u bet
8-6 L
ML
New York Yankees
NYY @ BOS · Model: 59% vs Market: 55% · AWAY consensus
+3.4% edge
-135
1u bet
4-1 W
TOTAL
OVER 7.5
MIN @ NYM · Model: 10.3 vs Line: 7.5 · 2.5-3.0 OVER band
+2.8 over line
-110
1u bet
2-3 L
ML
New York Mets
MIN @ NYM · Model: 61% vs Market: 59% · HOME consensus
+2.1% edge
-161
1u bet
2-3 W
TOTAL
OVER 7.5
PHI @ CHC · Model: 10.3 vs Line: 7.5 · 2.5-3.0 OVER band
+2.8 over line
-110
1u bet
2-7 W