Baltimore Orioles

51% win

pred 5

Shane Baz

FINAL

Kansas City Royals

49% win

pred 4.7

Kris Bubic

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	5	8
KC	0	1	0	0	2	0	1	1	1	6	10

2026-04-21 · 7:40 PM ET Kauffman Stadium 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Michael Massey	2B/OF	19.0	$2.1k	9.1
Coby Mayo	3B	16.0	$2.3k	7.0
Kyle Isbel	OF	13.0	$2.9k	4.5
Adley Rutschman	C	16.5	$4.0k	4.1
Carter Jensen	C	10.0	$4.2k	2.4
Weston Wilson	3B/OF	4.5	$2.0k	2.3
Maikel Garcia	3B	8.5	$4.6k	1.9
Pete Alonso	1B	8.0	$4.7k	1.7
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	5.0	$3.2k	1.6
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	9.0	$5.9k	1.5
Salvador Perez	C	5.0	$3.7k	1.4
Gunnar Henderson	SS	5.0	$5.7k	0.9
Blaze Alexander	3B/OF	1.5	$2.5k	0.6
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	1.5	$3.7k	0.4
Taylor Ward	OF	1.5	$4.3k	0.4

Predictions

Baltimore Orioles

ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 47%

+102 · $102 per $100

LOSS

Baltimore Orioles +1.5

RL · 1.8 off line

-107 · $93 per $100

WIN

OVER 9.0

TOTAL · Proj 9.8 vs Line 9.0

-110 · $91 per $100

WIN

Baltimore Orioles ML + Baltimore Orioles +1.5 + OVER 9.0

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+646 · $646 per $100

LOSS

BAL 51% 49% KC

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	82.9%	17.1%
6.5	76.3%	23.7%
7.5	66.9%	33.1%
8.5	57.9%	42.1%
9.5	47.1%	52.9%
10.5	40.1%	59.9%
11.5	30.0%	70.0%
12.5	23.7%	76.3%

Run Line (margin)

Line	KC covers	BAL covers
KC -1.5	33.2%	39.5%
KC -2.5	24.1%	29.9%
KC -3.5	17.0%	20.6%

Team Totals

Line	KC	BAL
O 3.5	61.4%	63.9%
O 4.5	46.8%	52.1%
O 5.5	35.5%	39.0%
O 6.5	24.2%	29.1%

Odds

moneyline BAL 51% · +102 · $102 per $100

Book	BAL	Impl%	KC	Impl%
DraftKings	+102	47.4%	-122	52.6%
FanDuel	+106	46.7%	-124	53.3%
BetMGM	+105	46.7%	-125	53.3%
Caesars	+105	46.7%	-125	53.3%

runline Baltimore Orioles +1.5 · -107 · $93 per $100

KC -1.5: KC 4.7 − 1.5 = 3.2 vs BAL 5.0 no bet

BAL +1.5: BAL 5.0 + 1.5 = 6.5 vs KC 4.7 BET ✓

Book	BAL		KC
DraftKings	-1.5	+154	+1.5	-187
FanDuel	+1.5	-200	-1.5	+164
BetMGM	+1.5	-190	-1.5	+155
Caesars	+1.5	-190	-1.5	+158

total Over 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 9.0 -105	U 9.0 -115
FanDuel	O 9.0 -104	U 9.0 -118
BetMGM	O 9.0 -105	U 9.0 -115
Caesars	O 9.0 +100	U 9.0 -120

Player Projections actual (projected)

Baltimore Orioles

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Gunnar Henderson	SS	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.5	1.1	9.2	—
Taylor Ward	LF	1.0	0.1	0.7	0.5	0.0	0.5	1.1	8.9	—
Pete Alonso	1B	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.4	1.1	8.7	—
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.1	8.4	—
Adley Rutschman	C	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.5	0.9	8.4	—
Weston Wilson	3B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.4	1.0	7.9	—
Leody Taveras	OF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.4	1.0	7.9	—
Blaze Alexander	SS	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	1.0	6.8	—
Coby Mayo	1B	0.7	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.0	6.7	—
Tyler Wells	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.6	4.2	—
Anthony Nunez	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	3.4	—
Ryan Helsley	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.8	2.9	—
Grant Wolfram	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.9	—
Albert Suárez	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	2.6	—
Yennier Cano	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.6	1.3	—
Rico Garcia	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.4	0.3	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Shane Baz	Starter	6.1	5.8	6.2	2.2	3.4	49%	100%	15.3	—

Kansas City Royals

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	1.1	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.4	0.9	10.2	—
Maikel Garcia	3B	1.1	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.4	0.9	9.2	—
Carter Jensen	C	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.0	8.5	—
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.9	8.3	—
Salvador Perez	C	1.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.9	8.2	—
Isaac Collins	LF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.4	1.0	7.3	—
Kyle Isbel	CF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.9	7.2	—
Michael Massey	2B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.9	7.1	—
Jac Caglianone	RF	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.0	0.3	0.9	6.7	—
Eli Morgan	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.7	4.1	—
Daniel Lynch IV	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.6	3.9	—
Lucas Erceg	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	3.2	—
Mason Black	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	3.2	—
Alex Lange	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.6	—
Matt Strahm	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.4	—
John Schreiber	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.7	1.5	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Kris Bubic	Starter	5.7	6.0	5.5	2.4	3.1	47%	100%	15.7	—

Box Score

Baltimore Orioles — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Taylor Ward	4					1	1	$4,300 $3,200 $17	8.9	1.5	-7.4
Gunnar Henderson	4	1	1					$5,700 $3,700 $18	9.2	5.0	-4.2
Adley Rutschman	4	2		1	2		1	$4,000 $2,600 —	8.4	16.5	+8.2
Pete Alonso	4	2	1					$4,700 $2,900 $16	8.7	8.0	-0.7
Jeremiah Jackson	3	1				1		$3,200 $3,100 $15	8.4	5.0	-3.3
Weston Wilson	3	1				1	1	$2,000 $2,100 $10	7.9	4.5	-3.4
Leody Taveras	4							$2,800 $2,700 $9	7.9	0.0	-7.9
Coby Mayo	3	1		1	3			$2,300 $2,500 $12	6.7	16.0	+9.3
Blaze Alexander	2					1	1	$2,500 — $11	6.8	1.5	-5.3
Samuel Basallo	0					1		— — —	—	—
Colton Cowser	1							— — —	—	0.0
TOTALS	32	8	2	2	5	5	4		72.8	58.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Shane Baz	6.1	8	4	4	2	0	29	$7,800 $7,700 $34	15.3	8.3	-7.0
Grant Wolfram	0.2	1	0			0	3	— — —	2.9	0.9	-2.0
Rico Garcia	1.0	1	1	2		1	4	— — —	0.3	3.1	+2.8
Ryan Helsley	0.1		0	1	2	0	4	— — —	2.9	1.6	-1.3

Kansas City Royals — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Maikel Garcia	3	1			1	2	1	$4,600 $3,000 $15	9.2	8.5	-0.7
Bobby Witt Jr.	3	1	1		1	1		$5,900 $3,000 $19	10.2	9.0	-1.2
Vinnie Pasquantino	4				1		1	$3,700 $2,600 $14	8.3	1.5	-6.8
Salvador Perez	5	1	1					$3,700 $2,600 $12	8.2	5.0	-3.2
Carter Jensen	3	2	1			1		$4,200 $2,800 $15	8.5	10.0	+1.5
Michael Massey	3	2	1	1	2			$2,100 $2,200 $10	7.1	19.0	+11.9
Jac Caglianone	4						3	$3,100 $2,600 $12	6.7	-1.5	-8.2
Isaac Collins	4						2	$2,300 $2,600 $10	7.3	-1.0	-8.3
Kyle Isbel	4	3	2					$2,900 $2,800 $10	7.2	13.0	+5.8
TOTALS	33	10	6	1	5	4	7		73.0	63.5

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Kris Bubic	5.1	5	3	3	3	1	24	$8,400 $9,800 $43	15.7	10.6	-5.1
Nick Mears	1.0		0			0	3	— — —	—	2.3
Matt Strahm	1.0	3	2	1	1	1	7	— — —	2.4	-2.8	-5.2
Lucas Erceg	0.2		0		1	0	3	— — —	3.2	0.9	-2.3