Baltimore Orioles

44% win

pred 4.5

Chris Bassitt

FINAL

Kansas City Royals

56% win

pred 5.1

Michael Wacha

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	2	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	8	11
KC	1	0	0	2	0	3	0	0	0	6	10

2026-04-22 · 2:10 PM ET Kauffman Stadium 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Coby Mayo	3B	15.5	$2.4k	6.5
Kyle Isbel	OF	13.5	$2.6k	5.2
Carter Jensen	C	19.0	$3.8k	5.0
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	19.0	$4.1k	4.6
Dylan Beavers	OF	10.0	$3.1k	3.2
Pete Alonso	1B	16.0	$5.0k	3.2
Michael Massey	2B/OF	7.5	$2.4k	3.1
Colton Cowser	OF	7.5	$2.8k	2.7
Leody Taveras	OF	7.5	$2.9k	2.6
Lane Thomas	OF	5.0	$2.1k	2.4
Taylor Ward	OF	9.0	$4.6k	2.0
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	6.5	$3.6k	1.8
Jac Caglianone	OF	3.0	$2.8k	1.1
Samuel Basallo	C	2.5	$3.7k	0.7
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	2.5	$6.0k	0.4

Predictions

Kansas City Royals

ML · Model 56% vs Mkt 54%

-126 · $79 per $100

LOSS

Baltimore Orioles +1.5

RL · 1.0 off line

-101 · $99 per $100

WIN

OVER 9.5

TOTAL · Proj 9.6 vs Line 9.5

-110 · $91 per $100

WIN

Kansas City Royals ML + Baltimore Orioles +1.5 + OVER 9.5

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+581 · $581 per $100

LOSS

BAL 44% 56% KC

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	83.3%	16.7%
6.5	76.4%	23.6%
7.5	66.0%	34.0%
8.5	56.4%	43.6%
9.5	46.3%	53.7%
10.5	38.0%	62.0%
11.5	28.9%	71.1%
12.5	22.3%	77.7%

Run Line (margin)

Line	KC covers	BAL covers
KC -1.5	42.2%	30.9%
KC -2.5	31.4%	23.7%
KC -3.5	24.2%	17.2%

Team Totals

Line	KC	BAL
O 3.5	66.7%	57.8%
O 4.5	53.9%	44.7%
O 5.5	40.4%	32.9%
O 6.5	29.1%	22.6%

Odds

moneyline KC 56% · -126 · $79 per $100

Book	BAL	Impl%	KC	Impl%
DraftKings	+105	46.7%	-126	53.3%
FanDuel	+110	45.7%	-130	54.3%
BetMGM	+110	45.7%	-130	54.3%
Caesars	+115	44.8%	-135	55.2%

runline Baltimore Orioles +1.5 · -101 · $99 per $100

KC -1.5: KC 5.1 − 1.5 = 3.6 vs BAL 4.5 no bet

BAL +1.5: BAL 4.5 + 1.5 = 6.0 vs KC 5.1 BET ✓

Book	BAL		KC
DraftKings	-1.5	+155	+1.5	-189
FanDuel	+1.5	-178	-1.5	+146
BetMGM	+1.5	-190	-1.5	+155
Caesars	+1.5	-190	-1.5	+158

total Over 9.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 9.5 -110	U 9.5 -110
FanDuel	O 9.5 -115	U 9.5 -105
BetMGM	O 9.5 -118	U 9.5 -102
Caesars	O 9.5 -110	U 9.5 -110

Player Projections actual (projected)

Baltimore Orioles

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Gunnar Henderson	SS	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.4	1.1	8.8	—
Taylor Ward	LF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.0	8.4	—
Pete Alonso	1B	0.9	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.0	8.4	—
Dylan Beavers	RF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.5	1.0	7.6	—
Leody Taveras	OF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.9	7.5	—
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.2	0.9	7.5	—
Samuel Basallo	C	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.9	7.0	—
Colton Cowser	LF	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.3	1.0	6.7	—
Coby Mayo	1B	0.7	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.0	0.3	1.0	6.3	—
Anthony Nunez	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	4.1	—
Tyler Wells	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.6	3.8	—
Albert Suárez	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.5	—
Grant Wolfram	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.6	—
Rico Garcia	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.6	—
Yennier Cano	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.8	2.0	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Chris Bassitt	Starter	5.4	4.9	6.1	2.1	3.3	41%	100%	12.0	—

Kansas City Royals

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	1.2	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.3	0.4	0.9	10.3	—
Maikel Garcia	3B	1.1	0.1	0.7	0.5	0.3	0.4	0.9	9.8	—
Carter Jensen	C	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.9	8.7	—
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.8	8.3	—
Salvador Perez	C	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.9	8.2	—
Lane Thomas	CF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.4	0.9	8.0	—
Michael Massey	2B	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.8	7.7	—
Kyle Isbel	CF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.8	7.5	—
Jac Caglianone	RF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.9	7.3	—
Daniel Lynch IV	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.9	4.8	—
Matt Strahm	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.6	4.0	—
Eli Morgan	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.6	3.9	—
Alex Lange	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.8	3.8	—
John Schreiber	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.3	—
Nick Mears	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.6	—
Lucas Erceg	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.8	2.0	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Michael Wacha	Starter	6.1	5.9	5.4	2.2	2.8	54%	100%	17.5	—

Box Score

Baltimore Orioles — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Gunnar Henderson	5	0		0	0		3	$9,800 $3,600 $18	8.8	-1.5	-10.3
Taylor Ward	3	1	1	0	0	2		$8,600 $3,200 $17	8.4	9.0	+0.7
Dylan Beavers	5	2	2					$6,200 $2,700 $13	7.6	10.0	+2.5
Pete Alonso	4	1		1	2	1		$9,000 $2,900 $16	8.4	16.0	+7.7
Samuel Basallo	4	1		0	0		1	$7,200 $2,700 $12	7.0	2.5	-4.5
Leody Taveras	4	2		0	1		1	$6,000 $2,900 $12	7.5	7.5	0.0
Jeremiah Jackson	4	1		0	2		1	$7,000 $3,000 $14	7.5	6.5	-1.0
Colton Cowser	4	2	1	0	0		1	$5,600 $2,400 $8	6.7	7.5	+0.8
Coby Mayo	4	1		1	3		1	$4,200 $2,500 $9	6.3	15.5	+9.2
TOTALS	37	11	4	2	8	3	8		68.1	73.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Chris Bassitt	5.0	8	4	3	2	2	25	$10,400 $6,900 $25	12.0	2.1	-9.9
Yennier Cano	1.0	1	2			1	4	— — —	2.0	-3.0	-5.0
Tyler Wells	1.1	1	0			0	5	— — —	3.8	2.4	-1.4
Anthony Nunez	1.0		0	2		0	4	— — —	4.1	6.3	+2.2

Kansas City Royals — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Maikel Garcia	3	0		0	0		1	$8,800 $3,000 $16	9.8	-0.5	-10.3
Bobby Witt Jr.	5	1		0	0		1	$9,600 $3,000 $19	10.3	2.5	-7.8
Vinnie Pasquantino	3	2	1	1	1	1		$8,200 $2,600 $14	8.3	19.0	+10.7
Salvador Perez	4	0		0	0		1	$6,600 $2,600 $12	8.2	-0.5	-8.7
Carter Jensen	3	2		1	2	1		$7,600 $2,800 $15	8.7	19.0	+10.3
Michael Massey	4	2	1	0	0		1	$4,400 $2,200 $10	7.7	7.5	-0.2
Jac Caglianone	4	1		0	0			$5,800 $2,600 $13	7.3	3.0	-4.3
Lane Thomas	4	1		0	1			$3,200 $2,300 $9	8.0	5.0	-3.0
Kyle Isbel	4	1		1	2		1	$5,200 $2,700 $10	7.5	13.5	+6.0
Nick Loftin	2							— — —	—	0.0
TOTALS	36	10	2	3	6	2	5		75.7	68.5

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Michael Wacha	5.1	7	5	5	2	1	25	$11,000 $10,700 $48	17.5	6.0	-11.5
Eli Morgan	1.2	3	3	1		1	8	— — —	3.9	-2.7	-6.6
Alex Lange	1.0		0	1		0	3	— — —	3.8	4.3	+0.5
Mason Black	1.0	1	0	1	1	0	4	— — —	—	3.1

Player Props

Player	Prop	Side	Line	Odds	Proj	Edge	Actual	Result
Chris Bassitt	outs recorded	UNDER	15.5	-128	12.00	39.5%	15	HIT
Adley Rutschman	total bases	OVER	1.5	+133	2.39	+39.0%	—	—
Michael Wacha	outs recorded	OVER	17.5	-134	21.00	+38.4%	16	MISS
Michael Wacha	strikeouts	OVER	4.5	-154	7.77	+37.6%	5	HIT
Chris Bassitt	hits allowed	OVER	5.5	-128	7.38	+32.8%	8	HIT
Michael Wacha	hits allowed	UNDER	4.5	+121	3.50	28.8%	7	MISS
Carter Jensen	total bases	OVER	0.5	-185	1.83	+28.3%	5	HIT
Michael Wacha	walks allowed	UNDER	1.5	+130	1.00	26.8%	2	MISS
Leody Taveras	total bases	OVER	0.5	-190	1.74	+25.9%	2	HIT
Chris Bassitt	strikeouts	UNDER	3.5	-115	2.08	25.7%	3	HIT
Adley Rutschman	runs	OVER	0.5	+114	0.85	+24.8%	—	—
Kyle Isbel	total bases	OVER	0.5	-160	1.48	+23.8%	4	HIT
Adley Rutschman	hits	OVER	0.5	-205	1.42	+23.1%	—	—
Jac Caglianone	total bases	OVER	0.5	-160	1.42	+22.3%	1	HIT
Leody Taveras	runs	OVER	0.5	+145	0.66	+20.5%	—	—
Chris Bassitt	walks allowed	OVER	2.5	+147	2.72	+20.1%	2	MISS
Jeremiah Jackson	total bases	OVER	1.5	+117	1.87	+20.1%	1	MISS
Jeremiah Jackson	runs	OVER	0.5	+125	0.69	+18.8%	—	—
Taylor Ward	total bases	OVER	1.5	+125	1.79	+18.8%	2	HIT
Vinnie Pasquantino	total bases	UNDER	1.5	-152	0.77	18.3%	6	MISS
Taylor Ward	hits	OVER	0.5	-198	1.21	+17.6%	1	HIT
Vinnie Pasquantino	hits	UNDER	0.5	+184	0.50	17.0%	2	MISS
Jeremiah Jackson	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-253	0.50	+16.7%	2	MISS
Kyle Isbel	runs	OVER	0.5	+146	0.58	+16.3%	—	—
Michael Massey	total bases	OVER	1.5	+140	1.64	+16.2%	3	HIT
Carter Jensen	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-254	0.48	+15.8%	2	MISS
Taylor Ward	runs	OVER	0.5	+100	0.73	+15.5%	—	—
Adley Rutschman	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-267	0.45	+15.5%	—	—
Leody Taveras	hits	OVER	0.5	-186	1.10	+15.1%	2	HIT
Gunnar Henderson	total bases	OVER	1.5	-113	1.90	+14.7%	0	MISS
Jeremiah Jackson	hits	OVER	0.5	-224	1.15	+13.0%	1	HIT
Bobby Witt Jr.	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	12.3%	0	HIT
Jac Caglianone	runs	OVER	0.5	+124	0.57	+12.3%	—	—
Leody Taveras	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-291	0.34	+12.3%	1	MISS
Carter Jensen	hits	OVER	0.5	-176	0.99	+12.1%	2	HIT
Michael Massey	runs	OVER	0.5	+141	0.51	+12.0%	—	—
Pete Alonso	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.09	11.7%	1	MISS
Kyle Isbel	hits	OVER	0.5	-174	0.96	+11.1%	1	HIT
Carter Jensen	runs	OVER	0.5	+110	0.59	+10.9%	—	—
Leody Taveras	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	10.6%	—	—
Vinnie Pasquantino	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.05	10.3%	1	MISS
Maikel Garcia	runs	OVER	0.5	-115	0.67	+9.5%	—	—
Michael Massey	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-300	0.26	+9.4%	0	HIT
Maikel Garcia	total bases	OVER	1.5	+120	1.55	+9.3%	0	MISS
Jac Caglianone	hits	OVER	0.5	-186	0.95	+9.3%	1	HIT
Taylor Ward	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-255	0.33	+9.3%	0	HIT
Gunnar Henderson	hits	UNDER	1.5	-257	0.88	9.2%	0	HIT
Colton Cowser	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	9.0%	0	HIT
Bobby Witt Jr.	runs	OVER	0.5	-135	0.73	+8.6%	—	—
Vinnie Pasquantino	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-205	0.41	+8.4%	1	MISS
Maikel Garcia	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-295	0.23	+7.8%	0	HIT
Coby Mayo	hits	UNDER	0.5	+111	0.46	7.6%	1	MISS
Vinnie Pasquantino	runs	UNDER	0.5	-134	0.30	7.5%	—	—
Lane Thomas	runs	UNDER	0.5	-200	0.40	+7.3%	—	—
Colton Cowser	runs	UNDER	0.5	-190	0.42	+6.7%	—	—
Michael Massey	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	6.3%	—	—
Maikel Garcia	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-880	0.09	6.3%	—	—
Kyle Isbel	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-336	0.13	+6.0%	2	MISS
Kyle Isbel	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.22	+5.9%	—	—
Bobby Witt Jr.	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-506	0.32	+5.7%	—	—
Samuel Basallo	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-222	0.31	+5.7%	0	HIT
Carter Jensen	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.24	+5.6%	1	MISS
Coby Mayo	total bases	OVER	0.5	-135	0.75	+5.5%	4	HIT
Carter Jensen	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	5.4%	—	—
Coby Mayo	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-303	0.16	+5.3%	3	MISS
Jac Caglianone	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	5.0%	—	—
Bobby Witt Jr.	hits	UNDER	1.5	-167	1.21	4.9%	1	HIT
Lane Thomas	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	4.8%	0	HIT
Salvador Perez	hits	OVER	0.5	-272	0.80	4.8%	0	MISS
Salvador Perez	runs	UNDER	0.5	-152	0.48	+4.8%	—	—
Gunnar Henderson	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-209	0.32	+4.8%	0	HIT
Lane Thomas	total bases	OVER	0.5	-135	0.73	+4.8%	1	HIT
Lane Thomas	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.12	4.6%	—	—
Colton Cowser	total bases	OVER	0.5	-140	0.75	+4.5%	3	HIT
Lane Thomas	hits	OVER	0.5	-135	0.67	+4.5%	1	HIT
Michael Massey	hits	OVER	0.5	-196	0.85	+4.0%	2	HIT
Bobby Witt Jr.	total bases	UNDER	1.5	+103	1.50	4.0%	1	HIT
Samuel Basallo	hits	OVER	0.5	-202	0.69	3.7%	1	HIT
Jeremiah Jackson	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.21	+3.7%	0	HIT
Colton Cowser	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-10000	0.00	3.6%	—	—
Colton Cowser	hits	OVER	0.5	-150	0.70	+3.6%	2	HIT
Pete Alonso	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-181	0.36	+3.5%	2	MISS
Kyle Isbel	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.12	+3.2%	1	MISS
Gunnar Henderson	home runs	UNDER	1.5	-110	0.25	2.9%	0	HIT
Pete Alonso	runs	OVER	0.5	-106	0.50	+2.6%	—	—
Samuel Basallo	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	2.5%	—	—
Salvador Perez	home runs	UNDER	1.5	-110	0.14	2.4%	0	HIT
Taylor Ward	home runs	UNDER	1.5	-110	0.04	2.4%	0	HIT
Samuel Basallo	home runs	UNDER	1.5	-110	0.19	2.4%	0	HIT
Samuel Basallo	runs	UNDER	0.5	-156	0.41	+1.9%	—	—
Maikel Garcia	hits	UNDER	1.5	-278	1.12	+1.8%	0	HIT
Lane Thomas	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-325	0.03	+1.7%	1	MISS
Leody Taveras	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.14	+1.7%	0	HIT
Adley Rutschman	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.11	1.6%	—	—
Pete Alonso	total bases	UNDER	1.5	-132	1.37	1.6%	4	MISS
Adley Rutschman	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	1.5%	—	—
Jac Caglianone	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-263	0.06	1.3%	0	HIT
Bobby Witt Jr.	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-184	0.30	+1.3%	0	HIT
Coby Mayo	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.06	1.3%	—	—
Coby Mayo	home runs	UNDER	1.5	-110	0.06	1.2%	1	HIT
Jac Caglianone	home runs	UNDER	1.5	-110	0.05	1.2%	0	HIT
Taylor Ward	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.05	1.2%	—	—
Colton Cowser	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-275	0.09	+1.2%	0	HIT
Jeremiah Jackson	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.05	1.0%	—	—
Salvador Perez	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-185	0.29	+1.0%	0	HIT
Pete Alonso	hits	OVER	0.5	-244	0.84	1.0%	1	HIT
Gunnar Henderson	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-840	0.18	0.9%	—	—
Coby Mayo	runs	UNDER	0.5	-191	0.28	0.9%	—	—
Gunnar Henderson	runs	OVER	0.5	-121	0.53	+0.8%	—	—
Salvador Perez	total bases	UNDER	1.5	-143	1.34	0.7%	0	HIT
Samuel Basallo	total bases	UNDER	1.5	-165	1.26	0.4%	1	HIT
Maikel Garcia	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.09	+0.3%	0	HIT
Michael Massey	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.12	+0.3%	0	HIT
Pete Alonso	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.05	+0.2%	—	—