New York Mets

56% win

pred 5.5

Freddy Peralta

FINAL

Colorado Rockies

44% win

pred 4.7

Michael Lorenzen

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	1	0	0	3	0	4	0	0	2	10	15
COL	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	1	5	13

2026-05-06 · 9:20 PM ET Coors Field 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Marcus Semien	2B	31.0	$4.1k	7.6
TJ Rumfield	1B	22.0	$4.0k	5.5
Jake McCarthy	LF	16.0	$3.0k	5.3
Carson Benge	LF	16.0	$3.6k	4.4
MJ Melendez	LF	13.0	$3.7k	3.5
Tyler Freeman	RF	14.0	$4.1k	3.4
Brett Baty	RF	14.0	$4.1k	3.4
Troy Johnston	RF	12.0	$4.3k	2.8
Francisco Alvarez	C	12.0	$4.4k	2.7
Juan Soto	LF	16.0	$6.6k	2.4
Luis Torrens	C	6.0	$3.1k	1.9
Kyle Karros	3B	5.0	$3.0k	1.7
Freddy Peralta	SP	13.7	$8.3k	1.6
Bo Bichette	3B	8.0	$4.9k	1.6
Brooks Raley	RP	6.4	$4.0k	1.6
Luke Weaver	RP	5.7	$4.0k	1.4
Devin Williams	RP	5.5	$4.0k	1.4
Edouard Julien	2B	6.0	$4.4k	1.4
Hunter Goodman	C	5.0	$4.9k	1.0
Mickey Moniak	LF	5.0	$5.2k	1.0
Tyrone Taylor	RF	2.0	$3.2k	0.6
Mark Vientos	1B	2.0	$3.9k	0.5
Zach Agnos	RP	1.4	$4.0k	0.4

Predictions

New York Mets

ML · Model 56% vs Mkt 59%

-161 · $62 per $100

WIN

Colorado Rockies +1.5

RL · 0.6 off line

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

OVER 9.5

TOTAL · Proj 10.2 vs Line 9.5

-110 · $91 per $100

WIN

New York Mets ML + Colorado Rockies +1.5 + OVER 9.5

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+491 · $491 per $100

LOSS

NYM 56% 44% COL

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	83.0%	17.0%
6.5	77.3%	22.7%
7.5	70.3%	29.7%
8.5	63.5%	36.5%
9.5	52.7%	47.3%
10.5	45.3%	54.7%
11.5	34.8%	65.2%
12.5	27.2%	72.8%

Run Line (margin)

Line	COL covers	NYM covers
COL -1.5	30.2%	44.4%
COL -2.5	20.7%	33.8%
COL -3.5	13.9%	25.6%

Team Totals

Line	COL	NYM
O 3.5	60.7%	71.6%
O 4.5	47.4%	59.2%
O 5.5	35.5%	44.5%
O 6.5	24.3%	33.9%

Odds

moneyline NYM 56% · -161 · $62 per $100

Book	NYM	Impl%	COL	Impl%
DraftKings	-161	59%	+133	41%

runline Colorado Rockies +1.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

NYM -1.5: NYM 5.5 − 1.5 = 4.0 vs COL 4.7 no bet

COL +1.5: COL 4.7 + 1.5 = 6.2 vs NYM 5.5 BET ✗

Book	NYM		COL
DraftKings	-1.5	-110	+1.5	-110

total Over 9.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 9.5 -105	U 9.5 -115

Player Projections actual (projected)

New York Mets

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Juan Soto	RF	1.0	0.2	0.8	0.6	0.2	0.5	0.8	10.5	—
Bo Bichette	SS	1.1	0.1	0.7	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.9	9.4	—
MJ Melendez	LF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.4	1.0	9.2	—
Mark Vientos	3B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.3	1.0	8.8	—
Marcus Semien	2B	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.7	8.4	—
Carson Benge	OF	0.8	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.8	8.4	—
Brett Baty	3B	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.9	7.9	—
Francisco Alvarez	C	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.8	7.9	—
Luis Torrens	C	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.8	7.1	—
Tobias Myers	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.2	5.6	—
Huascar Brazobán	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	4.0	—
Devin Williams	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	3.5	—
Brooks Raley	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.3	—
Craig Kimbrel	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.2	—
Austin Warren	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	1.9	—
Luke Weaver	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.4	-2.0	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Freddy Peralta	Starter	5.8	6.4	5.6	2.4	3.0	52%	100%	17.1	—

Colorado Rockies

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Mickey Moniak	RF	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.2	8.6	—
Hunter Goodman	C	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.2	8.5	—
Edouard Julien	2B	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.5	1.3	8.3	—
TJ Rumfield	1B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.0	7.7	—
Troy Johnston	OF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.0	7.7	—
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	0.9	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.0	7.6	—
Tyler Freeman	RF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.9	7.3	—
Jake McCarthy	CF	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.1	0.4	0.8	7.2	—
Kyle Karros	3B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.0	6.7	—
Juan Mejia	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.7	3.5	—
Victor Vodnik	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.3	—
Jaden Hill	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.0	—
Brennan Bernardino	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.8	—
Jimmy Herget	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.7	—
Antonio Senzatela	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.2	—
Tanner Gordon	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.8	0.1	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Michael Lorenzen	Starter	6.1	5.4	6.5	2.3	3.7	42%	100%	13.6	—

Box Score

New York Mets — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Juan Soto	4	1			1	2			$6,600 $3,700 $22	10.5	16.0	+5.5
Bo Bichette	5	2				1			$4,900 $3,200 $15	9.4	8.0	-1.4
MJ Melendez	2	2		1			1		$3,700 $3,100 $7	9.2	13.0	+3.8
Mark Vientos	4						1	2	$3,900 $3,100 $15	8.8	2.0	-6.8
Brett Baty	4	2	1				1		$4,100 — $12	7.9	14.0	+6.1
Marcus Semien	5	4	1		1	2			$4,100 $3,000 $12	8.4	31.0	+22.6
Carson Benge	5	2	1			2		1	$3,600 $3,000 $9	8.4	16.0	+7.6
Francisco Alvarez	4	2				1	1		$4,400 $3,000 $13	7.9	12.0	+4.2
Luis Torrens	3					1			$3,100 $2,800 $9	7.1	6.0	-1.1
Tyrone Taylor	2					1			$3,200 $2,700 $9	—	2.0
TOTALS	38	15	3	1	2	10	4	3		77.4	120.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Freddy Peralta	5.0	4	0	1	2	0	21	$8,300 $8,700 $48	17.1	13.7	-3.5
Tobias Myers	0.2	5	4			2	7	$6,300 — —	5.6	-9.5	-15.1
Brooks Raley	1.0		0	2	1	0	4	$4,000 — —	3.3	6.4	+3.1
Luke Weaver	1.0	1	0	2		0	4	$4,000 — —	-2.0	5.7	+7.6
Sean Manaea	0.1	3	1	1		0	5	$6,300 — —	—	-1.7
Devin Williams	0.2		0	2		0	2	$4,000 — —	3.5	5.5	+2.0

Colorado Rockies — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Edouard Julien	5	2					1	$4,400 $3,300 $14	8.3	6.0	-2.3
Mickey Moniak	5	1					2	$5,200 $4,100 $20	8.6	5.0	-3.6
Hunter Goodman	4	1				1	1	$4,900 $3,800 $18	8.5	5.0	-3.5
TJ Rumfield	4	3		1	1	1		$4,000 $3,300 $13	7.7	22.0	+14.3
Tyler Freeman	4	2	1		1			$4,100 $3,100 $11	7.3	14.0	+6.7
Troy Johnston	4	2	1		1		1	$4,300 $3,300 $14	7.7	12.0	+4.3
Kyle Karros	4	1				1	1	$3,000 $3,000 $11	6.7	5.0	-1.7
Ezequiel Tovar	4						1	$4,500 $2,700 $9	7.6	0.0	-7.6
Jake McCarthy	4	1		1	2			$3,000 $3,000 $11	7.2	16.0	+8.8
Jordan Beck	1						1	$3,200 — —	—	0.0
TOTALS	39	13	2	2	5	3	8		69.8	85.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Michael Lorenzen	4.0	11	5	2	3	1	26	$5,200 $6,300 $25	13.6	-7.2	-20.8
Zach Agnos	4.0	4	5	1	1	1	18	$4,000 — —	—	1.4