Baltimore Orioles

50% win

pred 5.2

Brandon Young

FINAL

Miami Marlins

51% win

pred 5.3

Eury Pérez

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	3	0	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	7	7
MIA	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	6

2026-05-06 · 6:40 PM ET loanDepot park 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Adley Rutschman	C	20.0	$4.3k	4.7
Blaze Alexander	3B	10.0	$2.3k	4.4
Pete Alonso	1B	18.0	$4.8k	3.8
Jakob Marsee	CF	11.0	$3.7k	3.0
Taylor Ward	LF	12.0	$4.2k	2.9
Dylan Beavers	RF	9.0	$3.2k	2.8
Leody Taveras	CF	9.0	$3.4k	2.7
Brandon Young	SP	17.3	$7.0k	2.5
Owen Caissie	RF	7.0	$3.0k	2.3
Samuel Basallo	C	7.0	$3.9k	1.8
Connor Norby	1B	4.0	$2.4k	1.7
Otto Lopez	SS	7.0	$4.2k	1.7
Dax Fulton	SP	8.0	$6.2k	1.3
Anthony Nunez	RP	5.0	$4.0k	1.3
Kyle Stowers	LF	5.0	$4.0k	1.3
Liam Hicks	C	5.0	$4.8k	1.0
Javier Sanoja	3B	3.0	$3.0k	1.0
Rico Garcia	RP	3.7	$4.0k	0.9
Christopher Morel	LF	2.0	$2.7k	0.7
Xavier Edwards	2B	2.0	$4.4k	0.5

Best Bets

OVER 8.5

TOTAL ★★ · +2.0 off line

-110 · $200 bet · $182 profit

Model: 10.5 vs Line: 8.5

WIN

Predictions

Miami Marlins

ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 55%

-136 · $74 per $100

LOSS

Baltimore Orioles +1.5

RL · 1.5 off line

-110 · $91 per $100

WIN

OVER 8.5

TOTAL · Proj 10.5 vs Line 8.5

-110 · $91 per $100

WIN

Miami Marlins ML + Baltimore Orioles +1.5 + OVER 8.5

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+532 · $532 per $100

LOSS

BAL 50% 51% MIA

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	89.4%	10.6%
6.5	82.7%	17.3%
7.5	73.9%	26.1%
8.5	67.0%	33.0%
9.5	55.0%	45.0%
10.5	45.5%	54.5%
11.5	38.0%	62.0%
12.5	31.1%	68.9%

Run Line (margin)

Line	MIA covers	BAL covers
MIA -1.5	37.8%	36.6%
MIA -2.5	28.7%	27.0%
MIA -3.5	22.0%	20.5%

Team Totals

Line	MIA	BAL
O 3.5	68.9%	68.3%
O 4.5	56.6%	54.0%
O 5.5	44.0%	43.1%
O 6.5	32.6%	31.1%

Odds

moneyline MIA 51% · -136 · $74 per $100

Book	BAL	Impl%	MIA	Impl%
DraftKings	+113	44.9%	-136	55.1%

runline Baltimore Orioles +1.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

MIA -1.5: MIA 5.3 − 1.5 = 3.8 vs BAL 5.2 no bet

BAL +1.5: BAL 5.2 + 1.5 = 6.7 vs MIA 5.3 BET ✓

Book	BAL		MIA
DraftKings	+1.5	-110	-1.5	-110

total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 8.5 -118	U 8.5 -102

Player Projections actual (projected)

Baltimore Orioles

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Gunnar Henderson	SS	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.2	0.4	1.2	10.0	—
Pete Alonso	1B	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.4	1.0	9.3	—
Taylor Ward	LF	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.0	0.5	1.1	8.9	—
Adley Rutschman	C	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.9	8.6	—
Samuel Basallo	C	0.9	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.0	8.0	—
Leody Taveras	OF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	1.0	7.9	—
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.2	0.9	7.6	—
Dylan Beavers	RF	0.7	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.5	1.0	7.5	—
Coby Mayo	1B	0.7	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.1	7.3	—
Keegan Akin	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.3	—
Rico Garcia	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	2.7	—
Grant Wolfram	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.7	—
Lou Trivino	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.6	—
Yennier Cano	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	2.5	—
Anthony Nunez	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.0	—
Andrew Kittredge	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.8	1.7	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Brandon Young	Starter	5.0	4.4	5.8	2.1	3.2	41%	100%	10.6	—

Miami Marlins

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Xavier Edwards	SS	1.2	0.1	0.7	0.6	0.3	0.4	0.7	10.6	—
Liam Hicks	C	1.1	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.7	9.6	—
Connor Norby	3B	1.1	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.1	0.3	1.0	9.3	—
Jakob Marsee	CF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.4	0.8	9.2	—
Kyle Stowers	LF	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.4	0.9	9.0	—
Christopher Morel	CF	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.1	0.3	0.9	8.7	—
Owen Caissie	RF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.1	7.7	—
Javier Sanoja	2B	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.6	7.3	—
Anthony Bender	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.8	4.0	—
Lake Bachar	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.6	3.9	—
Calvin Faucher	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	3.4	—
Tyler Phillips	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.9	—
John King	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	2.3	—
Andrew Nardi	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.0	—
Michael Petersen	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.0	-1.9	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Eury Pérez	Starter	5.7	5.9	5.5	2.3	3.2	47%	100%	15.3	—

Box Score

Baltimore Orioles — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Gunnar Henderson	5							3	$5,200 $3,600 $18	10.0	0.0	-10.0
Taylor Ward	2						3	2	$4,200 $3,200 $18	8.9	12.0	+3.1
Adley Rutschman	3	2	2			2	1		$4,300 $3,400 $14	8.6	20.0	+11.4
Pete Alonso	5	1			1	3		1	$4,800 $3,100 $17	9.3	18.0	+8.7
Samuel Basallo	3	1					1		$3,900 $2,800 $13	8.0	7.0	-1.0
Leody Taveras	3	1	1				1		$3,400 $2,800 $13	7.9	9.0	+1.1
Dylan Beavers	2	1	1			1	1	1	$3,200 $2,700 $13	7.5	9.0	+1.5
Coby Mayo	3							2	$2,700 $2,600 $10	7.3	0.0	-7.3
Jeremiah Jackson	4								$4,000 $2,800 $13	7.6	0.0	-7.6
Tyler O'Neill	1								$3,300 — —	—	0.0
Blaze Alexander	1	1		1		1			$2,300 — —	—	10.0
TOTALS	32	7	4	1	1	7	7	9		75.1	85.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Brandon Young	5.1	4	3	5	3	23	$7,000 $6,900 $29	10.6	17.3	+6.7
Grant Wolfram	0.2	2	1			4	$4,000 — —	2.7	-1.7	-4.4
Anthony Nunez	1.1		0	1		4	$4,000 — —	2.0	5.0	+3.0
Rico Garcia	0.2		0	1	1	3	$4,000 — —	2.7	3.7	+0.9

Miami Marlins — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Xavier Edwards	4			1			$4,400 $3,200 $17	10.6	2.0	-8.6
Liam Hicks	3	1			1		$4,800 $3,300 $16	9.6	5.0	-4.6
Connor Norby	3				1	3	$2,400 $2,700 $14	9.3	4.0	-5.3
Kyle Stowers	4	1				1	$4,000 $2,700 $16	9.0	5.0	-4.0
Jakob Marsee	4	1	1	2			$3,700 $3,000 $16	9.2	11.0	+1.8
Christopher Morel	3				1	1	$2,700 $2,500 $9	8.7	2.0	-6.7
Owen Caissie	3	1		1	1	1	$3,000 $2,700 $9	7.7	7.0	-0.7
Javier Sanoja	4	1				1	$3,000 — $8	7.3	3.0	-4.3
Otto Lopez	2	1	1				$4,200 $3,400 $16	—	7.0
TOTALS	30	6	2	4	4	7		71.4	46.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Eury Pérez	4.2	4	5	6	5	1	24	$8,200 $9,000 $38	15.3	6.5	-8.8
Dax Fulton	3.2	3	2	3	2	0	16	$6,200 — —	—	8.0