Baltimore Orioles

50% win

pred 5

Cade Povich

FINAL

Miami Marlins

50% win

pred 4.8

Max Meyer

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	0	1	1	0	0	0		1	3	9
MIA	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	5

2026-05-07 · 6:40 PM ET loanDepot park 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Connor Norby	1B	9.0	$2.4k	3.8
Liam Hicks	C	16.0	$5.0k	3.2
Dylan Beavers	RF	10.0	$3.2k	3.1
Coby Mayo	3B	8.0	$2.7k	3.0
Calvin Faucher	RP	7.7	$4.0k	1.9
Samuel Basallo	C	7.0	$3.8k	1.8
Otto Lopez	SS	6.0	$3.9k	1.5
Max Meyer	SP	12.5	$8.3k	1.5
Tyler O'Neill	RF	5.0	$3.4k	1.5
Javier Sanoja	3B	4.0	$2.8k	1.4
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	5.0	$3.9k	1.3
Yennier Cano	RP	4.5	$4.0k	1.1
Andrew Nardi	RP	4.3	$4.0k	1.1
Michael Petersen	RP	4.3	$4.0k	1.1
Pete Alonso	1B	5.0	$4.8k	1.0
Taylor Ward	LF	4.0	$4.1k	1.0
Dietrich Enns	RP	5.9	$6.2k	1.0
Gunnar Henderson	SS	5.0	$5.3k	0.9
Leo Jiménez	2B/3B	2.0	$2.2k	0.9
Andrew Kittredge	RP	2.9	$4.0k	0.7
Xavier Edwards	2B	3.0	$4.3k	0.7
Jakob Marsee	CF	2.0	$3.5k	0.6
Keegan Akin	RP	3.1	$6.2k	0.5

Best Bets

OVER 8.0

TOTAL ★ · +1.8 off line

-110 · $100 bet · $91 profit

Model: 9.8 vs Line: 8.0

LOSS

Predictions

Miami Marlins

ML · Model 50% vs Mkt 54%

-131 · $76 per $100

WIN

Baltimore Orioles +1.5

RL · 1.7 off line

-110 · $91 per $100

WIN

OVER 8.0

TOTAL · Proj 9.8 vs Line 8.0

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

Miami Marlins ML + Baltimore Orioles +1.5 + OVER 8.0

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+543 · $543 per $100

LOSS

BAL 50% 50% MIA

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	84.3%	15.7%
6.5	77.4%	22.6%
7.5	67.3%	32.7%
8.5	60.0%	40.0%
9.5	48.9%	51.1%
10.5	40.8%	59.2%
11.5	32.0%	68.0%
12.5	24.7%	75.3%

Run Line (margin)

Line	MIA covers	BAL covers
MIA -1.5	35.9%	37.9%
MIA -2.5	24.6%	29.0%
MIA -3.5	17.3%	20.7%

Team Totals

Line	MIA	BAL
O 3.5	63.6%	63.5%
O 4.5	51.5%	50.6%
O 5.5	37.6%	39.9%
O 6.5	25.8%	28.8%

Odds

moneyline MIA 50% · -131 · $76 per $100

Book	BAL	Impl%	MIA	Impl%
DraftKings	+109	45.7%	-131	54.3%

runline Baltimore Orioles +1.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

MIA -1.5: MIA 4.8 − 1.5 = 3.3 vs BAL 5.0 no bet

BAL +1.5: BAL 5.0 + 1.5 = 6.5 vs MIA 4.8 BET ✓

Book	BAL		MIA
DraftKings	+1.5	-110	-1.5	-110

total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 8.0 -115	U 8.0 -105

Player Projections actual (projected)

Baltimore Orioles

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Gunnar Henderson	SS	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.4	1.1	9.5	—
Pete Alonso	1B	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.4	1.0	9.0	—
Taylor Ward	LF	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.5	0.0	0.5	1.0	8.8	—
Dylan Beavers	RF	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.5	1.1	8.4	—
Samuel Basallo	C	0.9	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.0	8.1	—
Tyler O'Neill	RF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.0	7.8	—
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.2	0.9	7.6	—
Colton Cowser	LF	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.4	1.1	7.3	—
Coby Mayo	1B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.0	7.1	—
Keegan Akin	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.6	3.9	—
Andrew Kittredge	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.7	—
Grant Wolfram	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	2.8	—
Anthony Nunez	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.7	—
Yennier Cano	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.6	—
Lou Trivino	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.2	—
Rico Garcia	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.8	2.0	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Cade Povich	Starter	5.7	5.7	6.0	2.1	3.3	46%	100%	14.6	—

Miami Marlins

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Esteury Ruiz	LF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.3	0.3	1.0	9.2	—
Otto Lopez	2B	1.2	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.9	9.1	—
Jakob Marsee	CF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.4	0.9	9.0	—
Connor Norby	3B	1.1	0.2	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.4	1.2	8.9	—
Liam Hicks	C	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.8	8.5	—
Christopher Morel	CF	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.1	8.4	—
Heriberto Hernández	LF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.9	8.1	—
Leo Jiménez	SS	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.0	7.4	—
Javier Sanoja	2B	0.9	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.7	7.3	—
Tyler Phillips	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.0	5.5	—
Anthony Bender	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.7	4.5	—
Michael Petersen	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.6	—
Andrew Nardi	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.6	3.6	—
Lake Bachar	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.5	—
John King	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	3.1	—
Calvin Faucher	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	2.2	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Max Meyer	Starter	5.4	5.7	5.2	2.2	3.1	46%	100%	14.7	—

Box Score

Baltimore Orioles — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Gunnar Henderson	5	1		1		1	$5,300 $3,500 $18	9.5	5.0	-4.5
Taylor Ward	3					2	$4,100 $3,200 $18	8.8	4.0	-4.8
Dylan Beavers	2	1	1		1		$3,200 $2,700 $13	8.4	10.0	+1.6
Pete Alonso	3					1	$4,800 $3,200 $19	9.0	5.0	-4.0
Samuel Basallo	3	1	1				$3,800 $2,900 $15	8.1	7.0	-1.1
Tyler O'Neill	3	1		1		1	$3,400 $2,600 $9	7.8	5.0	-2.8
Colton Cowser	4					2	$2,500 $2,400 $7	7.3	0.0	-7.3
Coby Mayo	4	2					$2,700 $2,600 $10	7.1	8.0	+0.9
Jeremiah Jackson	3	1			1	1	$3,900 $2,800 $14	7.6	5.0	-2.6
TOTALS	30	7	2	2	2	8		73.5	49.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Cade Povich	2.2	3	3	1	2	1	14	$7,700 $8,900 $26	14.6	-0.9	-15.4
Yennier Cano	2.0		0			0	6	$4,000 — —	2.6	4.5	+1.9
Dietrich Enns	2.0		0	1	1	0	7	$6,200 — —	—	5.9
Keegan Akin	1.0	2	0	1		0	5	$6,200 — —	3.9	3.1	-0.9
Andrew Kittredge	0.2		0	1		0	3	$4,000 — —	3.7	2.9	-0.8

Miami Marlins — Hitting

Player	AB	H	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Otto Lopez	4	2					$3,900 $3,400 $16	9.1	6.0	-3.1
Connor Norby	2	1		1	1		$2,400 $2,700 $13	8.9	9.0	+0.1
Liam Hicks	4	1	1	2		1	$5,000 $3,400 $17	8.5	16.0	+7.5
Christopher Morel	4					2	$2,500 $2,500 $12	8.4	0.0	-8.4
Heriberto Hernández	4						$2,500 $2,500 —	8.1	0.0	-8.1
Esteury Ruiz	3						$2,600 $2,700 $11	9.2	0.0	-9.2
Jakob Marsee	3					1	$3,500 $3,000 $16	9.0	2.0	-7.0
Leo Jiménez	2				1		$2,200 $2,000 $7	7.4	2.0	-5.4
Javier Sanoja	3				1		$2,800 — $10	7.3	4.0	-3.3
Xavier Edwards	1	1					$4,300 $3,200 $17	—	3.0
Kyle Stowers	1						$3,600 $2,700 $14	—	0.0
TOTALS	31	5	1	3	3	4		75.9	42.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Max Meyer	4.2	6	2	5	2	22	$8,300 $9,400 $41	14.7	12.5	-2.3
Andrew Nardi	1.0		0	1		3	$4,000 — —	3.6	4.3	+0.7
Michael Petersen	1.0		0	1		3	$4,000 — —	3.6	4.3	+0.7
Calvin Faucher	1.0	1	0	1		4	$4,000 — —	2.2	7.7	+5.4