New York Mets

54% win

pred 5.1

Nolan McLean

FINAL

Arizona Diamondbacks

46% win

pred 4.4

Ryne Nelson

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
NYM	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	5
AZ	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4

2026-05-08 · 9:40 PM ET Chase Field 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Mark Vientos	1B	19.0	$3.2k	5.9
Nolan Arenado	3B	11.5	$3.4k	3.4
Carson Benge	OF	8.5	$2.9k	2.9
Gabriel Moreno	C	4.0	$3.2k	1.3
Corbin Carroll	OF	5.0	$5.5k	0.9
Marcus Semien	2B	2.5	$3.4k	0.7
Francisco Alvarez	C	2.5	$3.7k	0.7
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	2.0	$4.4k	0.5
Jorge Barrosa	OF	1.0	$2.5k	0.4
Jose Fernandez	1B/SS	1.5	$3.8k	0.4

Predictions

New York Mets

ML · Model 54% vs Mkt 53%

-126 · $79 per $100

WIN

Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5

RL · 0.8 off line

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

OVER 9.0

TOTAL · Proj 9.5 vs Line 9.0

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

New York Mets ML + Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 + OVER 9.0

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+554 · $554 per $100

LOSS

NYM 54% 46% AZ

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	80.5%	19.5%
6.5	74.9%	25.1%
7.5	65.0%	35.0%
8.5	57.0%	43.0%
9.5	47.3%	52.7%
10.5	37.5%	62.5%
11.5	28.5%	71.5%
12.5	21.9%	78.1%

Run Line (margin)

Line	AZ covers	NYM covers
AZ -1.5	31.5%	41.0%
AZ -2.5	20.4%	32.6%
AZ -3.5	13.7%	23.3%

Team Totals

Line	AZ	NYM
O 3.5	57.8%	65.2%
O 4.5	45.6%	51.9%
O 5.5	33.0%	39.9%
O 6.5	21.8%	30.1%

Odds

moneyline NYM 54% · -126 · $79 per $100

Book	NYM	Impl%	AZ	Impl%
DraftKings	-126	53.2%	+104	46.8%

runline Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

NYM -1.5: NYM 5.1 − 1.5 = 3.6 vs AZ 4.4 no bet

AZ +1.5: AZ 4.4 + 1.5 = 5.9 vs NYM 5.1 BET ✗

Book	NYM		AZ
DraftKings	-1.5	-110	+1.5	-110

total Over 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 9.0 -102	U 9.0 -118

Player Projections actual (projected)

New York Mets

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Juan Soto	RF	1.0	0.2	0.8	0.6	0.1	0.6	0.9	10.7	—
Bo Bichette	SS	1.1	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.8	8.9	—
Mark Vientos	3B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.3	1.0	8.7	—
Carson Benge	OF	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.3	0.9	8.7	—
Marcus Semien	2B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.8	8.3	—
Brett Baty	3B	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.0	8.0	—
MJ Melendez	LF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.0	8.0	—
Francisco Alvarez	C	0.9	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.0	7.6	—
Luis Torrens	C	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.8	6.7	—
Tobias Myers	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.1	5.2	—
Sean Manaea	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.8	4.3	—
Brooks Raley	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	3.8	—
Devin Williams	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.6	—
Luke Weaver	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	3.5	—
Craig Kimbrel	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.2	—
Huascar Brazobán	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.8	1.4	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Nolan McLean	Starter	5.8	6.3	5.3	2.0	2.7	51%	100%	17.8	—

Arizona Diamondbacks

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Corbin Carroll	RF	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.4	1.2	8.9	—
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.5	1.1	8.5	—
Ildemaro Vargas	2B	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.9	7.7	—
Nolan Arenado	3B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.0	7.4	—
Adrian Del Castillo	C	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.3	7.4	—
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	LF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.0	7.1	—
Gabriel Moreno	C	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.1	6.9	—
Jose Fernandez	SS	0.9	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.1	0.3	1.1	6.8	—
Jorge Barrosa	LF	0.7	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.0	0.2	1.1	5.8	—
Kevin Ginkel	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.3	—
Jonathan Loáisiga	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	3.1	—
Ryan Thompson	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	3.0	—
Juan Morillo	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.8	—
Taylor Clarke	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	2.8	—
Paul Sewald	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	2.6	—
Brandyn Garcia	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	2.5	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Ryne Nelson	Starter	5.8	5.3	5.9	2.1	3.4	43%	100%	13.9	—

Box Score

New York Mets — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Juan Soto	4						2	$6,300 $3,100 $23	10.7	-1.0	-11.7
Bo Bichette	4							$4,600 $2,700 $14	8.9	0.0	-8.9
Brett Baty	4						1	$3,800 — $11	8.0	-0.5	-8.5
Mark Vientos	4	2	1	1	2			$3,200 $2,600 $13	8.7	19.0	+10.3
Carson Benge	3	1	1		1	1	1	$2,900 $2,500 $12	8.7	8.5	-0.2
Marcus Semien	4	1					1	$3,400 $2,400 $13	8.3	2.5	-5.8
MJ Melendez	4						2	$3,000 $2,600 $10	8.0	-1.0	-9.0
Francisco Alvarez	4	1					1	$3,700 $2,400 $11	7.6	2.5	-5.1
Luis Torrens	4						2	$2,600 $2,300 $9	6.7	-1.0	-7.7
TOTALS	35	5	2	1	3	1	10		75.6	29.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Nolan McLean	5.2	3	1	6	1	1	22	$9,000 $9,900 $50	17.8	23.7	+5.9
Luke Weaver	1.0	1	0	1	2	0	6	$4,000 — —	3.5	2.5	-1.0
Brooks Raley	1.0		0			0	3	$4,000 — —	3.8	2.3	-1.5
Devin Williams	1.0		0	1		0	3	$4,000 — —	3.6	4.3	+0.7
Tobias Myers	1.0		0	2		0	3	$6,000 — —	5.2	6.3	+1.1

Arizona Diamondbacks — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Geraldo Perdomo	5						1	$4,000 $3,000 $16	8.5	-0.5	-9.0
Ildemaro Vargas	5	1					2	$4,400 — $16	7.7	2.0	-5.7
Corbin Carroll	3	1	1					$5,500 $3,700 $19	8.9	5.0	-3.9
Adrian Del Castillo	3						1	$3,500 $2,900 $13	7.4	-0.5	-7.9
Nolan Arenado	4	1		1	1		1	$3,400 $2,800 $13	7.4	11.5	+4.1
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	4							$3,000 $2,700 $14	7.1	0.0	-7.1
Gabriel Moreno	2					2		$3,200 $2,800 $12	6.9	4.0	-2.9
Jose Fernandez	4	1					3	$3,800 $2,800 $11	6.8	1.5	-5.3
Jorge Barrosa	3					1	2	$2,500 $2,600 $7	5.8	1.0	-4.8
TOTALS	33	4	1	1	1	3	10		66.3	24.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Ryne Nelson	6.2	2	1	7	1	1	23	$6,200 $7,100 $30	13.9	28.6	+14.7
Juan Morillo	1.1		0	2		0	4	— — —	2.8	7.0	+4.2
Brandyn Garcia	1.0		0			0	3	— — —	2.5	2.3	-0.2
Kevin Ginkel	0.1	3	2	1		0	4	— — —	3.3	-3.1	-6.4
Jonathan Loáisiga	0.2		0			0	2	— — —	3.1	1.5	-1.6