Philadelphia Phillies

44% win

pred 4.7

Aaron Nola

FINAL

Chicago Cubs

56% win

pred 5

Colin Rea

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	6
CHC	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0		5	8

2026-04-20 · 7:40 PM ET Wrigley Field 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Dansby Swanson	SS	18.0	$3.7k	4.9
Justin Crawford	CF	11.0	$2.8k	3.9
Colin Rea	SP	22.2	$6.8k	3.3
Bryson Stott	2B	10.0	$3.2k	3.1
Alex Bregman	3B	10.0	$4.3k	2.3
Chase Shugart	RP	7.9	$4.0k	2.0
Michael Conforto	LF	4.0	$2.2k	1.8
Ian Happ	LF	7.0	$4.1k	1.7
Moisés Ballesteros	C	5.0	$3.8k	1.3
Matt Shaw	3B	3.0	$2.5k	1.2
Michael Busch	1B	5.0	$4.2k	1.2
Bryce Harper	1B	5.0	$5.0k	1.0
Rafael Marchán	C	2.5	$2.6k	1.0
Brandon Marsh	CF	3.0	$3.3k	0.9
Kyle Backhus	RP	3.5	$4.0k	0.9
Adolis García	OF	2.5	$3.1k	0.8
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	4.0	$5.5k	0.7
Seth Johnson	RP	5.1	$7.7k	0.7
Nico Hoerner	2B	3.0	$5.0k	0.6
Alec Bohm	3B	2.0	$3.5k	0.6
Aaron Nola	SP	3.8	$8.2k	0.5
Seiya Suzuki	RF	2.0	$4.4k	0.5
Hoby Milner	RP	1.8	$4.0k	0.5
Trea Turner	SS	2.0	$4.9k	0.4
Corbin Martin	RP	1.7	$4.0k	0.4

Best Bets

OVER 7.5

TOTAL ★★ · +2.2 off line

-110 · $200 bet · $182 profit

Model: 9.7 vs Line: 7.5

LOSS

Predictions

Chicago Cubs

ML · Model 56% vs Mkt 52%

-113 · $88 per $100

WIN

Chicago Cubs +1.5

RL · 1.8 off line

-189 · $53 per $100

WIN

OVER 7.5

TOTAL · Proj 9.7 vs Line 7.5

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

Chicago Cubs ML + Chicago Cubs +1.5 + OVER 7.5

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+450 · $450 per $100

LOSS

PHI 44% 56% CHC

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	82.9%	17.1%
6.5	76.8%	23.2%
7.5	65.9%	34.1%
8.5	56.7%	43.3%
9.5	46.5%	53.5%
10.5	38.0%	62.0%
11.5	29.0%	71.0%
12.5	23.3%	76.7%

Run Line (margin)

Line	CHC covers	PHI covers
CHC -1.5	40.2%	33.5%
CHC -2.5	29.2%	25.2%
CHC -3.5	19.2%	17.6%

Team Totals

Line	CHC	PHI
O 3.5	66.9%	58.5%
O 4.5	51.8%	46.5%
O 5.5	38.4%	34.5%
O 6.5	26.9%	22.9%

Odds

moneyline CHC 56% · -113 · $88 per $100

Book	PHI	Impl%	CHC	Impl%
DraftKings	-107	49.3%	-113	50.7%
FanDuel	-102	48.5%	-116	51.5%
BetMGM	+100	47.8%	-120	52.2%
Caesars	+100	47.8%	-120	52.2%

runline Chicago Cubs +1.5 · -189 · $53 per $100

PHI -1.5: PHI 4.7 − 1.5 = 3.2 vs CHC 5.0 no bet

CHC +1.5: CHC 5.0 + 1.5 = 6.5 vs PHI 4.7 BET ✓

Book	PHI		CHC
DraftKings	-1.5	+149	+1.5	-180
FanDuel	-1.5	+162	+1.5	-196
BetMGM	-1.5	+155	+1.5	-190
Caesars	-1.5	+158	+1.5	-190

total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 7.5 -115	U 7.5 -105
FanDuel	O 7.5 -115	U 7.5 -105
BetMGM	O 7.5 -115	U 7.5 -105
Caesars	O 7.5 -115	U 7.5 -105

Player Projections actual (projected)

Philadelphia Phillies

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Kyle Schwarber	LF	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.0	0.5	1.2	9.5	—
Trea Turner	SS	1.1	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.3	0.9	9.3	—
Bryce Harper	1B	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.4	0.8	8.4	—
Brandon Marsh	CF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.3	1.0	8.2	—
Adolis García	RF	0.9	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.3	1.0	8.2	—
Bryson Stott	2B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.3	0.8	7.5	—
Justin Crawford	CF	0.9	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.8	7.1	—
Alec Bohm	3B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.2	0.8	6.6	—
Rafael Marchán	C	0.7	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.0	0.2	0.7	6.2	—
Tanner Banks	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.2	—
José Alvarado	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.2	—
Chase Shugart	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.9	—
Orion Kerkering	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.7	—
Tim Mayza	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.6	—
Seth Johnson	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	1.9	—
Kyle Backhus	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	1.8	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Aaron Nola	Starter	5.6	5.7	5.7	2.0	3.2	41%	100%	14.7	—

Chicago Cubs

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Nico Hoerner	2B	1.1	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.3	0.3	0.9	9.9	—
Michael Busch	1B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.1	8.7	—
Ian Happ	LF	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.4	1.1	8.5	—
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.2	1.0	8.4	—
Moisés Ballesteros	C	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.0	8.3	—
Alex Bregman	3B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.9	7.9	—
Dansby Swanson	SS	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.9	7.8	—
Michael Conforto	LF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.1	7.7	—
Miguel Amaya	C	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.9	7.3	—
Ben Brown	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.6	3.9	—
Caleb Thielbar	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	3.2	—
Jacob Webb	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	2.5	—
Luke Little	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.4	—
Corbin Martin	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.0	—
Charlie Barnes	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.8	2.0	—
Ryan Rolison	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.8	1.4	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Colin Rea	Starter	5.4	4.9	5.1	1.7	2.6	51%	100%	14.7	—

Box Score

Philadelphia Phillies — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Trea Turner	4	0		0	0	1		$8,200 $3,100 $17	9.3	2.0	-7.3
Kyle Schwarber	5	0		0	0		2	$6,000 $3,700 $20	9.5	0.0	-9.5
Bryce Harper	3	1		0	0	1		$5,000 $3,300 $16	8.4	5.0	-3.4
Adolis García	4	1					1	$3,100 $2,800 $12	8.2	2.5	-5.7
Brandon Marsh	4	1		0	0			$3,300 $2,900 $14	8.2	3.0	-5.2
Alec Bohm	3	0		0	0	1	1	$3,500 $2,800 $13	6.6	2.0	-4.6
Bryson Stott	4	1		0	0			$3,200 $2,600 $12	7.5	10.0	+2.6
Justin Crawford	2	1	1	0	1	2		$2,800 $2,700 $11	7.1	11.0	+3.9
Rafael Marchán	4	1					1	$4,800 $2,000 $7	6.2	2.5	-3.7
TOTALS	33	6	1		1	5	5		70.9	38.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Aaron Nola	4.0	6	4	5	4	1	22	$11,800 $9,800 $41	14.7	3.8	-11.0
Kyle Backhus	0.2		0	1		0	2	$4,000 — —	1.8	3.5	+1.7
Chase Shugart	2.0	1	0	2		0	7	$4,000 — —	2.9	7.9	+5.0
Seth Johnson	1.0	1	0	2	1	0	5	$7,700 — —	1.9	5.1	+3.1

Chicago Cubs — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Nico Hoerner	4	1		0	0		2	$5,000 $3,700 $19	9.9	3.0	-6.9
Michael Busch	4	1		0	0		1	$4,200 $2,800 $17	8.7	5.0	-3.7
Alex Bregman	4	2	2	0	0		1	$4,300 $2,900 $15	7.9	10.0	+2.1
Ian Happ	3	1		0	0	1	2	$4,100 $3,300 $18	8.5	7.0	-1.5
Moisés Ballesteros	1	1		0	0	1		$3,800 $2,500 $13	8.3	5.0	-3.3
Michael Conforto	0				1	1		$2,200 $2,200 $9	7.7	4.0	-3.7
Miguel Amaya	4						2	$3,500 $2,900 $11	7.3	0.0	-7.3
Pete Crow-Armstrong	3	0		0	0	1		$9,400 $2,900 $14	8.4	4.0	-4.4
Dansby Swanson	4	1		1	3		1	$6,600 $3,300 $16	7.8	18.0	+10.2
Seiya Suzuki	1	0		0	0	1	1	$4,400 $2,900 $18	—	2.0
Matt Shaw	2	1						$2,500 — —	—	3.0
TOTALS	30	8	2	1	4	5	10		74.5	61.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Colin Rea	6.2	6	1	5	2	28	$6,800 $7,000 $38	14.7	22.2	+7.5
Hoby Milner	1.1		0		2	6	$4,000 — —	—	1.8
Corbin Martin	1.0		0		1	4	$4,000 — —	2.0	1.7	-0.4

Player Props

Player	Prop	Side	Line	Odds	Proj	Edge	Actual	Result
Kyle Schwarber	total bases	OVER	1.5	+110	2.53	+38.0%	0	MISS
Colin Rea	outs recorded	UNDER	15.5	-106	12.80	37.9%	20	MISS
Moisés Ballesteros	total bases	OVER	0.5	-140	1.90	+35.4%	1	HIT
Ian Happ	total bases	OVER	0.5	-155	2.00	+34.7%	1	HIT
Carson Kelly	total bases	OVER	0.5	-140	1.85	+34.6%	—	—
Colin Rea	walks allowed	UNDER	1.5	+109	0.75	30.5%	2	MISS
Carson Kelly	runs	OVER	0.5	+185	0.73	+28.9%	—	—
Moisés Ballesteros	runs	OVER	0.5	+166	0.76	+28.7%	—	—
Nico Hoerner	total bases	OVER	1.5	+118	2.04	+25.9%	1	MISS
Carson Kelly	hits	OVER	0.5	-140	1.21	+25.4%	—	—
Colin Rea	hits allowed	UNDER	4.5	+103	3.50	25.0%	6	MISS
Moisés Ballesteros	hits	OVER	0.5	-159	1.27	+24.4%	1	HIT
Brandon Marsh	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-392	0.49	+24.1%	0	HIT
Brandon Marsh	total bases	OVER	0.5	-190	1.65	+24.1%	1	HIT
Dansby Swanson	total bases	OVER	0.5	-125	1.24	+22.9%	4	HIT
Brandon Marsh	runs	OVER	0.5	+176	0.62	+22.9%	—	—
Nico Hoerner	runs	OVER	0.5	+118	0.79	+22.3%	—	—
Nico Hoerner	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-377	0.45	+21.7%	0	HIT
Bryce Harper	total bases	OVER	1.5	+132	1.78	+19.7%	1	MISS
Ian Happ	rbis	OVER	0.5	+194	0.53	+19.7%	0	MISS
Aaron Nola	outs recorded	UNDER	17.5	+108	16.60	19.1%	12	HIT
Justin Crawford	runs	OVER	0.5	+186	0.52	+18.6%	—	—
Alex Bregman	runs	OVER	0.5	+150	0.61	+18.5%	—	—
Justin Crawford	total bases	OVER	0.5	-145	1.18	+18.4%	2	HIT
Trea Turner	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.11	17.6%	—	—
Brandon Marsh	hits	OVER	0.5	-154	1.04	+17.0%	1	HIT
Alex Bregman	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-303	0.43	+17.0%	0	HIT
Pete Crow-Armstrong	total bases	OVER	0.5	-155	1.18	+16.5%	0	MISS
Michael Busch	total bases	UNDER	1.5	-175	0.73	16.4%	1	HIT
Carson Kelly	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-325	0.38	+16.3%	—	—
Alec Bohm	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-346	0.36	+16.3%	0	HIT
Bryson Stott	runs	OVER	0.5	+173	0.50	+16.2%	—	—
Pete Crow-Armstrong	runs	OVER	0.5	+157	0.51	+14.4%	—	—
Ian Happ	runs	OVER	0.5	+135	0.56	+14.0%	—	—
Ian Happ	hits	OVER	0.5	-151	0.94	+13.6%	1	HIT
Dansby Swanson	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-407	0.23	+13.4%	3	MISS
Moisés Ballesteros	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-336	0.30	+13.2%	0	HIT
Aaron Nola	hits allowed	OVER	5.5	+120	5.75	+13.0%	6	HIT
Seiya Suzuki	runs	UNDER	0.5	-218	0.49	+12.9%	—	—
Trea Turner	total bases	OVER	1.5	+121	1.64	+12.7%	0	MISS
Justin Crawford	hits	OVER	0.5	-138	0.87	+12.6%	1	HIT
Alec Bohm	hits	UNDER	0.5	+144	0.48	12.5%	0	HIT
Seiya Suzuki	total bases	UNDER	1.5	-190	0.81	12.4%	0	HIT
Trea Turner	runs	OVER	0.5	+101	0.65	+12.0%	—	—
Bryce Harper	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-261	0.38	+12.0%	0	HIT
Kyle Schwarber	hits	OVER	0.5	-189	1.02	+11.8%	0	MISS
Nico Hoerner	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.37	+11.3%	—	—
Bryson Stott	total bases	OVER	0.5	-150	0.98	+11.1%	1	HIT
Aaron Nola	strikeouts	OVER	5.5	+108	5.79	+10.4%	5	MISS
Alex Bregman	hits	OVER	0.5	-201	1.01	+10.0%	2	HIT
Bryce Harper	runs	OVER	0.5	+119	0.53	+9.5%	—	—
Pete Crow-Armstrong	hits	OVER	0.5	-154	0.85	+9.3%	0	MISS
Kyle Schwarber	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-180	0.48	+8.8%	0	HIT
Dansby Swanson	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.21	+8.3%	1	MISS
Aaron Nola	walks allowed	UNDER	1.5	+124	1.50	8.2%	4	MISS
Dansby Swanson	runs	UNDER	0.5	-249	0.34	+8.0%	—	—
Seiya Suzuki	hits	OVER	0.5	-152	0.81	+7.9%	0	MISS
Nico Hoerner	hits	UNDER	1.5	-235	1.31	+6.9%	1	HIT
Trea Turner	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-329	0.16	+6.8%	0	HIT
Alex Bregman	total bases	UNDER	1.5	-190	1.38	+6.8%	4	MISS
Bryson Stott	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-360	0.12	+6.8%	0	HIT
Dansby Swanson	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.05	6.7%	—	—
Alec Bohm	total bases	OVER	0.5	-200	0.66	6.3%	0	MISS
Bryson Stott	hits	OVER	0.5	-173	0.84	+6.2%	1	HIT
Colin Rea	strikeouts	UNDER	4.5	-153	3.82	6.2%	5	MISS
Bryce Harper	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.05	6.0%	—	—
Justin Crawford	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-427	0.02	+5.6%	1	MISS
Alec Bohm	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	5.4%	—	—
Justin Crawford	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.06	5.4%	—	—
Seiya Suzuki	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	5.4%	—	—
Kyle Schwarber	home runs	UNDER	1.5	-110	0.42	5.3%	0	HIT
Kyle Schwarber	runs	OVER	0.5	-121	0.61	+5.3%	—	—
Pete Crow-Armstrong	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-320	0.13	+5.2%	0	HIT
Ian Happ	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	5.0%	—	—
Moisés Ballesteros	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	5.0%	—	—
Seiya Suzuki	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-324	0.11	+4.5%	0	HIT
Michael Busch	hits	OVER	0.5	-174	0.61	4.3%	1	HIT
Moisés Ballesteros	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.18	+4.3%	0	HIT
Alec Bohm	runs	UNDER	0.5	-236	0.29	+4.2%	—	—
Nico Hoerner	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.11	+4.0%	0	HIT
Michael Busch	runs	UNDER	0.5	-189	0.37	+3.6%	—	—
Brandon Marsh	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.12	+3.5%	0	HIT
Bryce Harper	hits	OVER	0.5	-219	0.89	+3.3%	1	HIT
Michael Busch	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-318	0.07	+2.6%	0	HIT
Michael Busch	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	2.5%	—	—
Bryson Stott	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.27	+2.3%	—	—
Bryce Harper	home runs	UNDER	1.5	-110	0.24	2.2%	0	HIT
Alex Bregman	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.05	+2.1%	—	—
Bryson Stott	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	1.9%	0	HIT
Alex Bregman	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.11	1.8%	0	HIT
Michael Busch	home runs	UNDER	1.5	-110	0.00	1.8%	0	HIT
Ian Happ	home runs	UNDER	1.5	-110	0.29	1.8%	0	HIT
Kyle Schwarber	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	1.5%	—	—
Trea Turner	hits	UNDER	1.5	-251	1.09	1.4%	0	HIT
Pete Crow-Armstrong	home runs	UNDER	1.5	-110	0.05	1.4%	0	HIT
Brandon Marsh	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.11	1.4%	—	—
Seiya Suzuki	home runs	UNDER	1.5	-110	0.14	1.2%	0	HIT
Carson Kelly	home runs	UNDER	1.5	-110	0.16	1.2%	—	—
Dansby Swanson	hits	OVER	0.5	-126	0.57	+1.2%	1	HIT
Trea Turner	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.11	+0.7%	0	HIT
Justin Crawford	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	0.7%	0	HIT
Pete Crow-Armstrong	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.21	0.2%	—	—
Alec Bohm	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.06	0.1%	0	HIT