Philadelphia Phillies

47% win

pred 4.8

Jesús Luzardo

FINAL

Chicago Cubs

54% win

pred 5

Shota Imanaga

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	0	0	0	0	1	0		3	4	5
CHC	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	1		7	12

2026-04-21 · 7:40 PM ET Wrigley Field 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Seiya Suzuki	OF	16.5	$4.3k	3.8
Nico Hoerner	2B	15.0	$5.0k	3.0
Michael Busch	1B	8.5	$4.0k	2.1
Kyle Schwarber	OF	12.0	$5.9k	2.0
Brandon Marsh	OF	6.0	$3.3k	1.8
Alex Bregman	3B	7.0	$4.1k	1.7
Ian Happ	OF	7.0	$4.2k	1.7
Dansby Swanson	SS	5.5	$3.5k	1.6
Carson Kelly	C	4.5	$2.9k	1.6
Pete Crow-Armstrong	OF	5.5	$5.3k	1.0
Matt Shaw	OF	2.5	$2.4k	1.0
Adolis García	OF	3.0	$3.1k	1.0
Alec Bohm	3B	2.0	$3.4k	0.6
Trea Turner	SS	2.0	$4.7k	0.4

Predictions

Chicago Cubs

ML · Model 54% vs Mkt 54%

-131 · $76 per $100

WIN

Philadelphia Phillies +1.5

RL · 1.3 off line

-195 · $51 per $100

LOSS

OVER 8.5

TOTAL · Proj 9.8 vs Line 8.5

-110 · $91 per $100

WIN

Chicago Cubs ML + Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 + OVER 8.5

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+409 · $409 per $100

LOSS

PHI 47% 54% CHC

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	83.8%	16.2%
6.5	76.1%	23.9%
7.5	66.6%	33.4%
8.5	58.2%	41.8%
9.5	48.3%	51.7%
10.5	40.3%	59.7%
11.5	30.6%	69.4%
12.5	25.6%	74.4%

Run Line (margin)

Line	CHC covers	PHI covers
CHC -1.5	40.1%	34.7%
CHC -2.5	28.6%	26.1%
CHC -3.5	19.7%	18.2%

Team Totals

Line	CHC	PHI
O 3.5	65.8%	63.4%
O 4.5	52.2%	48.5%
O 5.5	40.0%	36.4%
O 6.5	27.9%	25.7%

Odds

moneyline CHC 54% · -131 · $76 per $100

Book	PHI	Impl%	CHC	Impl%
DraftKings	+109	45.7%	-131	54.3%
FanDuel	+108	46.3%	-126	53.7%
BetMGM	+110	45.7%	-130	54.3%
Caesars	+110	45.7%	-130	54.3%

runline Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 · -195 · $51 per $100

CHC -1.5: CHC 5.0 − 1.5 = 3.5 vs PHI 4.8 no bet

PHI +1.5: PHI 4.8 + 1.5 = 6.3 vs CHC 5.0 BET ✗

Book	PHI		CHC
DraftKings	+1.5	-194	-1.5	+159
FanDuel	+1.5	-205	-1.5	+168
BetMGM	+1.5	-190	-1.5	+155
Caesars	+1.5	-190	-1.5	+158

total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 8.5 -115	U 8.5 -105
FanDuel	O 8.5 -120	U 8.5 -102
BetMGM	O 8.5 -115	U 8.5 -105
Caesars	O 8.5 -115	U 8.5 -105

Player Projections actual (projected)

Philadelphia Phillies

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Trea Turner	SS	1.1	0.2	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.3	1.1	9.7	—
Kyle Schwarber	LF	0.9	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.3	9.2	—
Bryce Harper	1B	0.9	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.1	8.5	—
Franmil Reyes	RF	0.9	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.2	7.9	—
Adolis García	RF	0.8	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.3	1.1	7.8	—
J.T. Realmuto	C	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	1.0	7.7	—
Edmundo Sosa	2B	0.9	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.0	0.2	1.0	7.0	—
Alec Bohm	3B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.2	0.9	6.9	—
Brandon Marsh	CF	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.3	1.1	6.9	—
Tanner Banks	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	4.2	—
Tim Mayza	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.6	3.8	—
Orion Kerkering	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	3.6	—
Seth Johnson	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.1	—
Chase Shugart	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.8	—
José Alvarado	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.4	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Jesús Luzardo	Starter	5.9	6.2	6.1	2.3	3.4	44%	100%	15.7	—

Chicago Cubs

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Nico Hoerner	2B	1.2	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.3	0.3	0.9	10.1	—
Alex Bregman	3B	1.1	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.9	9.1	—
Ian Happ	LF	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.5	1.2	8.6	—
Carson Kelly	C	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.0	8.3	—
Matt Shaw	3B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.9	8.0	—
Dansby Swanson	SS	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.4	1.0	8.0	—
Seiya Suzuki	RF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.4	1.1	7.9	—
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.2	1.0	7.7	—
Michael Busch	1B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.1	7.3	—
Caleb Thielbar	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	4.1	—
Ben Brown	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.6	4.0	—
Jacob Webb	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.3	—
Hoby Milner	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	2.5	—
Luke Little	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	1.7	—
Corbin Martin	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	1.3	—
Ryan Rolison	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	0.6	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Shota Imanaga	Starter	5.4	5.9	5.0	1.7	2.7	49%	100%	16.4	—

Box Score

Philadelphia Phillies — Hitting

Player	AB	H	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Trea Turner	3				1		$4,700 $3,000 $17	9.7	2.0	-7.7
Kyle Schwarber	3	1	1	1			$5,900 $3,700 $21	9.2	12.0	+2.8
Bryce Harper	3					1	$4,800 $3,300 $16	8.5	-0.5	-9.0
Adolis García	4	1					$3,100 $2,700 $12	7.8	3.0	-4.8
J.T. Realmuto	4						$3,500 $2,700 $13	7.7	0.0	-7.7
Alec Bohm	3			1			$3,400 $2,600 $12	6.9	2.0	-4.9
Brandon Marsh	4	2					$3,300 $2,900 $10	6.9	6.0	-0.9
Edmundo Sosa	3						$3,800 — $13	7.0	0.0	-7.0
TOTALS	27	4	1	2	1	1		63.7	24.5

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Jesús Luzardo	4.2	5	0	3	4	0	24	$11,600 $9,000 $40	15.7	11.1	-4.6
Orion Kerkering	0.1		1		2	0	3	— — —	3.6	-2.5	-6.1
Tanner Banks	1.0	3	2	1	2	0	8	— — —	4.2	-2.8	-7.0
Tim Mayza	1.0	2	3	1	1	2	6	— — —	3.8	-4.8	-8.6
José Alvarado	0.1	2	0	1	1	0	5	— — —	2.4	1.0	-1.4
Brad Keller	0.2		0			0	2	— — —	—	1.5

Chicago Cubs — Hitting

Player	AB	H	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Nico Hoerner	5	2	1	1			$5,000 $3,700 $20	10.1	15.0	+4.9
Alex Bregman	4	1			2		$7,200 $2,800 $14	9.1	7.0	-2.1
Ian Happ	4	1			2		$7,400 $3,300 $16	8.6	7.0	-1.6
Seiya Suzuki	4	2	1	2		1	$4,300 $2,900 $17	7.9	16.5	+8.6
Carson Kelly	4	1			1	1	$4,600 $2,900 $14	8.3	4.5	-3.8
Michael Busch	4	1		2	1	1	$4,000 $2,500 $14	7.3	8.5	+1.2
Dansby Swanson	2				3	1	$6,000 $3,300 $15	8.0	5.5	-2.5
Matt Shaw	2	1				1	$3,600 $2,700 $12	8.0	2.5	-5.5
Pete Crow-Armstrong	5	2				1	$5,300 $2,900 $12	7.7	5.5	-2.2
Moisés Ballesteros	0			1	1		— — —	—	—
Scott Kingery	2	1					— — —	—	3.0
TOTALS	36	12	2	6	10	6		75.0	75.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Shota Imanaga	6.1	2	1	1	1	1	23	$8,700 $10,400 $47	16.4	15.9	-0.5
Jacob Webb	0.1	2	1			0	4	— — —	3.3	-2.5	-5.8
Caleb Thielbar	0.2		0			0	2	— — —	4.1	1.5	-2.6