Philadelphia Phillies

46% win

pred 4.9

Kyle Backhus

FINAL

Chicago Cubs

55% win

pred 5.4

Matthew Boyd

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	8
CHC	1	1	2	0	2	0	0	1		7	13

2026-04-22 · 7:40 PM ET Wrigley Field 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Seiya Suzuki	RF	19.0	$4.4k	4.3
Michael Busch	1B	17.0	$4.1k	4.2
Edmundo Sosa	2B	10.0	$2.5k	4.0
Alex Bregman	3B	16.0	$4.2k	3.8
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	20.0	$5.3k	3.8
Alan Rangel	RP	13.0	$4.0k	3.2
Alec Bohm	3B	8.0	$3.3k	2.4
Ben Brown	RP	17.5	$7.3k	2.4
Ian Happ	LF	9.0	$4.1k	2.2
Justin Crawford	CF	5.0	$2.7k	1.9
Hoby Milner	RP	5.7	$4.0k	1.4
Moisés Ballesteros	C	5.0	$3.7k	1.4
Trea Turner	SS	5.0	$4.8k	1.0
Nico Hoerner	2B	5.0	$4.9k	1.0
Rafael Marchán	C	2.0	$2.4k	0.8
Adolis García	OF	2.0	$3.0k	0.7
Miguel Amaya	C	2.0	$3.2k	0.6
Dansby Swanson	SS	2.0	$3.5k	0.6
Corbin Martin	RP	2.3	$4.0k	0.6
Kyle Backhus	RP	1.1	$4.0k	0.3

Best Bets

OVER 7.5

TOTAL ★★ · +2.8 off line

-110 · $200 bet · $182 profit

Model: 10.3 vs Line: 7.5

WIN

Predictions

Chicago Cubs

ML · Model 55% vs Mkt 63%

-193 · $52 per $100

WIN

Philadelphia Phillies +1.5

RL · 1.1 off line

-134 · $75 per $100

LOSS

OVER 7.5

TOTAL · Proj 10.3 vs Line 7.5

-110 · $91 per $100

WIN

Chicago Cubs ML + Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 + OVER 7.5

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+406 · $406 per $100

LOSS

PHI 46% 55% CHC

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	83.4%	16.6%
6.5	78.3%	21.7%
7.5	68.7%	31.3%
8.5	60.2%	39.8%
9.5	51.0%	49.0%
10.5	43.9%	56.1%
11.5	35.4%	64.6%
12.5	29.1%	70.9%

Run Line (margin)

Line	CHC covers	PHI covers
CHC -1.5	41.0%	33.9%
CHC -2.5	32.2%	25.6%
CHC -3.5	24.8%	18.4%

Team Totals

Line	CHC	PHI
O 3.5	66.3%	61.7%
O 4.5	52.8%	49.6%
O 5.5	42.1%	38.0%
O 6.5	32.0%	28.2%

Odds

moneyline CHC 55% · -193 · $52 per $100

Book	PHI	Impl%	CHC	Impl%
DraftKings	+159	36.9%	-193	63.1%
FanDuel	+166	36.2%	-198	63.8%
BetMGM	+165	36.7%	-185	63.3%
Caesars	+158	37.2%	-190	62.8%

runline Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 · -134 · $75 per $100

CHC -1.5: CHC 5.4 − 1.5 = 3.9 vs PHI 4.9 no bet

PHI +1.5: PHI 4.9 + 1.5 = 6.4 vs CHC 5.4 BET ✗

Book	PHI		CHC
DraftKings	+1.5	-136	-1.5	+113
FanDuel	+1.5	-128	-1.5	+106
BetMGM	+1.5	-135	-1.5	+115
Caesars	+1.5	-135	-1.5	+115

total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 7.5 -112	U 7.5 -108
FanDuel	O 7.5 -110	U 7.5 -110
BetMGM	O 7.5 -110	U 7.5 -110
Caesars	O 7.5 -110	U 7.5 -110

Player Projections actual (projected)

Philadelphia Phillies

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Trea Turner	SS	1.1	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.3	1.1	9.5	—
Kyle Schwarber	LF	0.9	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.1	0.5	1.3	9.4	—
Bryce Harper	1B	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.4	1.1	8.8	—
Franmil Reyes	RF	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.3	1.2	8.3	—
Adolis García	RF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.3	1.2	8.0	—
Edmundo Sosa	2B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.0	7.4	—
Alec Bohm	3B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.9	7.3	—
Justin Crawford	CF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.0	0.3	1.0	6.9	—
Rafael Marchán	C	0.7	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.2	0.9	6.6	—
Chase Shugart	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.8	4.2	—
Dylan Moore	2B	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.3	—
Tanner Banks	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.9	—
Orion Kerkering	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.9	—
José Alvarado	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.8	—
Brad Keller	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	2.7	—
Tim Mayza	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.5	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Kyle Backhus	Starter	3.4	3.3	3.8	1.4	2.1	2%	100%	6.9	—

Chicago Cubs

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Nico Hoerner	2B	1.2	0.1	0.7	0.5	0.3	0.3	0.7	10.5	—
Ian Happ	LF	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.1	0.4	1.1	9.5	—
Alex Bregman	3B	1.1	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.8	9.3	—
Seiya Suzuki	RF	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.4	1.0	9.2	—
Dansby Swanson	SS	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.4	0.9	8.8	—
Moisés Ballesteros	C	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.9	8.0	—
Michael Busch	1B	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.0	8.0	—
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.2	1.0	7.6	—
Miguel Amaya	C	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.9	7.5	—
Hoby Milner	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.4	—
Ben Brown	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.2	—
Caleb Thielbar	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.9	—
Ryan Rolison	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.5	—
Jacob Webb	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	2.4	—
Corbin Martin	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.2	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Matthew Boyd	Starter	5.4	5.9	5.3	2.0	2.8	51%	100%	16.1	—

Box Score

Philadelphia Phillies — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Kyle Schwarber	4	0		0	0		2	$5,900 $3,700 $19	9.4	0.0	-9.4
Trea Turner	4	1	1	0	0		1	$4,800 $3,000 $17	9.5	5.0	-4.5
Bryce Harper	4	0		0	0		1	$4,900 $3,300 $16	8.8	0.0	-8.8
Adolis García	4	1					2	$3,000 $2,700 $12	8.0	2.0	-6.0
Alec Bohm	4	2		0	0		1	$3,300 $2,600 $12	7.3	8.0	+0.7
Edmundo Sosa	2	2	1	0	1			$2,500 — $13	7.4	10.0	+2.6
Justin Crawford	4	1			1		1	$2,700 $2,600 $10	6.9	5.0	-1.9
Rafael Marchán	4	1					2	$2,400 $2,000 $7	6.6	2.0	-4.6
Bryson Stott	2						1	$3,000 — —	—	0.0
TOTALS	32	8	2		2	0	11		63.9	32.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Kyle Backhus	1.0	2	1	1		0	5	$4,000 $5,500 $25	6.9	1.1	-5.8
Taijuan Walker	3.2	8	5	1	1	2	21	$5,800 — —	—	-2.4
Alan Rangel	3.0	3	1	5		0	12	$4,000 — —	—	13.0

Chicago Cubs — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Nico Hoerner	5	1			0	0		1	$4,900 $3,700 $20	10.5	5.0	-5.5
Alex Bregman	5	3		1	0	0			$4,200 $2,800 $15	9.3	16.0	+6.7
Ian Happ	4	1			0	2		1	$4,100 $3,400 $18	9.5	9.0	-0.5
Seiya Suzuki	4	2			1	2		1	$4,400 $2,800 $18	9.2	19.0	+9.8
Michael Busch	4	2			1	1		1	$4,100 $2,500 $15	8.0	17.0	+9.0
Dansby Swanson	3	0			0	0	1	1	$3,500 $3,400 $16	8.8	2.0	-6.8
Moisés Ballesteros	4	1	1		0	0			$3,700 $2,800 $13	8.0	5.0	-3.0
Miguel Amaya	4							1	$3,200 $2,600 $11	7.5	2.0	-5.5
Pete Crow-Armstrong	4	3	1		0	2		1	$5,300 $2,800 $14	7.6	20.0	+12.4
TOTALS	37	13	2	1	2	7	1	7		78.4	95.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Matthew Boyd	4.0	4	2	4	17	$7,700 $9,600 $37	16.1	10.6	-5.5
Ben Brown	2.0	3	0	5	9	$7,300 — —	3.2	17.5	+14.3
Corbin Martin	0.2		0		2	$4,000 — —	2.2	2.3	+0.0
Hoby Milner	1.0	1	0	2	4	$4,000 — —	3.4	5.7	+2.3

Player Props

Player	Prop	Side	Line	Odds	Proj	Edge	Actual	Result
Kyle Schwarber	total bases	OVER	0.5	-125	2.41	+43.9%	0	MISS
Ian Happ	total bases	OVER	0.5	-165	1.91	+31.7%	1	HIT
Brandon Marsh	total bases	OVER	0.5	-118	1.42	+29.0%	—	—
Moisés Ballesteros	total bases	OVER	0.5	-185	1.84	+28.4%	2	HIT
Bryce Harper	total bases	OVER	0.5	-190	1.83	+27.5%	0	MISS
Moisés Ballesteros	runs	OVER	0.5	+153	0.76	+26.7%	—	—
Brandon Marsh	runs	OVER	0.5	+213	0.57	+23.9%	—	—
Dansby Swanson	total bases	OVER	0.5	-140	1.36	+23.8%	0	MISS
Moisés Ballesteros	hits	OVER	0.5	-163	1.26	+23.5%	1	HIT
Matthew Boyd	strikeouts	UNDER	5.5	-132	4.01	23.5%	4	HIT
Nico Hoerner	total bases	OVER	1.5	+100	2.06	+22.7%	1	MISS
Edmundo Sosa	total bases	OVER	0.5	-155	1.37	+21.9%	3	HIT
Brandon Marsh	hits	OVER	0.5	-120	0.95	+19.2%	—	—
Kyle Schwarber	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.40	+18.8%	0	HIT
Bryce Harper	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-322	0.43	+18.1%	0	HIT
Kyle Schwarber	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-297	0.46	+17.9%	0	HIT
Kyle Schwarber	hits	OVER	0.5	-128	0.95	+17.8%	0	MISS
Nico Hoerner	runs	OVER	0.5	-104	0.77	+16.8%	—	—
Edmundo Sosa	runs	UNDER	0.5	-261	0.48	+16.2%	—	—
Nico Hoerner	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-290	0.43	+16.2%	0	HIT
Brandon Marsh	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-459	0.25	+16.1%	—	—
Michael Busch	total bases	UNDER	1.5	-185	0.71	16.0%	5	MISS
Alec Bohm	hits	UNDER	0.5	+147	0.42	15.9%	2	MISS
Bryce Harper	runs	OVER	0.5	+151	0.53	+14.9%	—	—
J.T. Realmuto	total bases	OVER	0.5	-165	1.18	+14.8%	—	—
Alec Bohm	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-343	0.30	+13.5%	0	HIT
Kyle Schwarber	runs	OVER	0.5	+130	0.57	+13.4%	—	—
J.T. Realmuto	runs	UNDER	0.5	-226	0.47	+13.0%	—	—
Dansby Swanson	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-305	0.33	+12.7%	0	HIT
Alex Bregman	runs	OVER	0.5	+112	0.62	+12.6%	—	—
Trea Turner	runs	OVER	0.5	+119	0.58	+11.8%	—	—
Ian Happ	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-218	0.43	+10.5%	2	MISS
Pete Crow-Armstrong	runs	UNDER	0.5	-202	0.47	+10.4%	—	—
Bryce Harper	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.25	+10.0%	0	HIT
Pete Crow-Armstrong	total bases	OVER	0.5	-175	1.05	+9.7%	4	HIT
Moisés Ballesteros	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-313	0.25	+9.7%	0	HIT
Edmundo Sosa	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-370	0.18	+9.7%	1	MISS
Dansby Swanson	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.23	+9.7%	0	HIT
Seiya Suzuki	runs	OVER	0.5	+115	0.55	+9.7%	—	—
Ian Happ	runs	OVER	0.5	+107	0.58	+9.3%	—	—
Ian Happ	hits	OVER	0.5	-191	0.96	+9.2%	1	HIT
J.T. Realmuto	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-346	0.19	+9.0%	—	—
Edmundo Sosa	hits	OVER	0.5	-147	0.80	+8.2%	2	HIT
Trea Turner	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.14	7.9%	—	—
Alex Bregman	total bases	UNDER	1.5	-174	1.45	+7.6%	5	MISS
Michael Busch	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-323	0.18	+7.3%	1	MISS
Seiya Suzuki	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-245	0.30	+7.3%	2	MISS
Alec Bohm	total bases	OVER	0.5	-175	0.57	6.9%	2	HIT
Bryce Harper	hits	OVER	0.5	-187	0.89	+6.7%	0	MISS
Nico Hoerner	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.33	+6.7%	—	—
Alex Bregman	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-248	0.28	+6.6%	0	HIT
Seiya Suzuki	hits	OVER	0.5	-200	0.92	+6.5%	2	HIT
Dansby Swanson	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.05	6.2%	—	—
Trea Turner	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-330	0.14	+6.1%	0	HIT
Trea Turner	total bases	UNDER	1.5	-165	1.44	+6.1%	2	MISS
Alex Bregman	hits	OVER	0.5	-254	1.03	+6.0%	3	HIT
Michael Busch	hits	OVER	0.5	-187	0.61	5.8%	2	HIT
Nico Hoerner	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.14	+5.7%	0	HIT
Seiya Suzuki	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	5.4%	—	—
Moisés Ballesteros	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.16	+4.8%	0	HIT
Trea Turner	hits	OVER	0.5	-235	0.96	+4.8%	1	HIT
Pete Crow-Armstrong	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.04	4.5%	0	HIT
J.T. Realmuto	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	4.3%	—	—
Pete Crow-Armstrong	hits	OVER	0.5	-170	0.78	+4.0%	3	HIT
Dansby Swanson	runs	UNDER	0.5	-198	0.35	+3.9%	—	—
J.T. Realmuto	hits	OVER	0.5	-175	0.79	+3.8%	—	—
Ian Happ	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.05	3.4%	—	—
Bryce Harper	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.05	3.2%	—	—
Dansby Swanson	hits	OVER	0.5	-159	0.59	3.1%	0	MISS
Edmundo Sosa	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	2.9%	—	—
Brandon Marsh	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.09	+2.6%	—	—
Matthew Boyd	hits allowed	UNDER	4.5	-167	4.00	2.5%	4	HIT
Pete Crow-Armstrong	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-291	0.10	+2.2%	2	MISS
Alex Bregman	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.09	1.8%	0	HIT
Ian Happ	home runs	UNDER	1.5	-110	0.25	1.8%	0	HIT
Seiya Suzuki	total bases	UNDER	1.5	-185	1.26	+1.8%	5	MISS
Nico Hoerner	hits	UNDER	1.5	-194	1.28	+1.6%	1	HIT
Alec Bohm	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	1.5%	—	—
Michael Busch	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	1.5%	—	—
Seiya Suzuki	home runs	UNDER	1.5	-110	0.11	1.4%	1	HIT
Alec Bohm	runs	UNDER	0.5	-225	0.25	+1.3%	—	—
Edmundo Sosa	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.11	+1.3%	0	HIT
Michael Busch	home runs	UNDER	1.5	-110	0.00	1.2%	1	HIT
Brandon Marsh	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.10	1.1%	—	—
Alex Bregman	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.05	+1.0%	—	—
J.T. Realmuto	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.08	+0.7%	—	—
Alec Bohm	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.05	0.6%	0	HIT
Michael Busch	runs	UNDER	0.5	-165	0.37	+0.6%	—	—
Pete Crow-Armstrong	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.19	+0.4%	—	—
Trea Turner	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.09	0.3%	0	HIT