San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies — 2026-04-22 | AI Sports Metrics

San Diego Padres

57% win

3

pred 5.5

Walker Buehler

FINAL

Colorado Rockies

43% win

8

pred 4.8

Tomoyuki Sugano

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	7
COL	0	4	0	1	0	1	1	1		8	15

2026-04-22 · 8:40 PM ET Coors Field 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Luis Campusano	C	26.0	$2.9k	9.0
Hunter Goodman	C	28.0	$4.6k	6.1
Mickey Moniak	RF	14.0	$3.9k	3.6
TJ Rumfield	1B	12.0	$3.4k	3.5
Jake McCarthy	CF	10.0	$3.0k	3.3
Tomoyuki Sugano	SP	19.2	$6.1k	3.1
Willi Castro	LF	12.0	$4.0k	3.0
Kyle Karros	3B	9.0	$3.2k	2.8
Edouard Julien	2B	9.0	$3.8k	2.4
Jackson Merrill	CF	12.0	$5.3k	2.3
Jaden Hill	RP	5.8	$4.0k	1.5
Xander Bogaerts	SS	6.0	$4.4k	1.4
Troy Johnston	RF	5.0	$4.0k	1.3
Tyler Freeman	RF	5.0	$4.1k	1.2
Jake Cronenworth	2B	4.0	$3.6k	1.1
Wandy Peralta	RP	3.2	$4.0k	0.8
Antonio Senzatela	RP	3.3	$4.9k	0.7
Manny Machado	3B	3.0	$5.1k	0.6
David Morgan	RP	2.0	$4.0k	0.5
Kyle Hart	RP	2.1	$7.2k	0.3
Ramón Laureano	OF	1.0	$5.0k	0.2

Best Bets

San Diego Padres

ML ★ · +6.6% edge

Model: 57% vs Market: 50%

LOSS

Predictions

San Diego Padres

ML · Model 57%

LOSS

SD 57% 43% COL

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	86.0%	14.0%
6.5	80.8%	19.2%
7.5	71.7%	28.3%
8.5	62.5%	37.5%
9.5	52.0%	48.0%
10.5	45.6%	54.4%
11.5	35.8%	64.2%
12.5	28.2%	71.8%

Run Line (margin)

Line	COL covers	SD covers
COL -1.5	29.6%	43.6%
COL -2.5	20.5%	33.4%
COL -3.5	14.1%	25.0%

Team Totals

Line	COL	SD
O 3.5	61.6%	70.4%
O 4.5	47.8%	59.7%
O 5.5	34.7%	46.0%
O 6.5	23.8%	34.7%

Player Projections actual (projected)

San Diego Padres

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	1.1	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.2	0.4	0.9	10.3	—
Ramón Laureano	RF	1.1	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.1	0.3	1.0	10.0	—
Xander Bogaerts	SS	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.1	0.3	0.7	9.5	—
Jackson Merrill	CF	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.1	0.3	0.8	9.2	—
Manny Machado	3B	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.0	0.3	0.8	9.2	—
Gavin Sheets	LF	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.8	8.3	—
Nick Castellanos	RF	0.9	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.2	0.8	7.9	—
Luis Campusano	C	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.2	0.7	7.8	—
Jake Cronenworth	2B	0.8	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.7	7.2	—
Kyle Hart	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.2	5.2	—
Ron Marinaccio	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.8	4.8	—
Mason Miller	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	4.2	—
Bradgley Rodriguez	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	3.5	—
Jason Adam	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.9	—
Wandy Peralta	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	2.7	—
Adrian Morejon	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	2.1	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Walker Buehler	Starter	4.9	5.0	5.2	1.9	2.7	45%	100%	13.3	—

Colorado Rockies

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Mickey Moniak	RF	1.1	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.1	0.3	1.1	9.6	—
Hunter Goodman	C	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.1	8.7	—
Edouard Julien	2B	1.0	0.1	0.7	0.5	0.0	0.5	1.2	8.4	—
Troy Johnston	OF	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.9	8.1	—
Tyler Freeman	RF	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.8	7.9	—
TJ Rumfield	1B	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.9	7.7	—
Jake McCarthy	CF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.8	7.5	—
Willi Castro	LF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	1.0	7.4	—
Kyle Karros	3B	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.0	0.4	0.9	6.7	—
Antonio Senzatela	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.9	4.5	—
Victor Vodnik	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	3.0	—
Zach Agnos	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	2.6	—
Jaden Hill	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.4	—
Brennan Bernardino	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.4	—
Jimmy Herget	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	2.1	—
Juan Mejia	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	1.5	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Tomoyuki Sugano	Starter	5.3	4.4	5.5	1.6	3.1	38%	100%	11.7	—

Box Score

San Diego Padres — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Ramón Laureano	4						1	2	$5,000 $3,900 $18	10.0	1.0	-9.0
Fernando Tatis Jr.	4							2	$5,800 $3,600 $18	10.3	-1.0	-11.3
Jackson Merrill	3	1				1	1		$5,300 $3,800 $19	9.2	12.0	+2.8
Manny Machado	4	1						1	$5,100 $3,600 $16	9.2	3.0	-6.2
Xander Bogaerts	4	2							$4,400 $3,500 $16	9.5	6.0	-3.5
Gavin Sheets	4							1	$4,300 $3,100 $13	8.3	0.0	-8.3
Nick Castellanos	4							1	$3,500 $2,700 $8	7.9	0.0	-7.9
Luis Campusano	4	3	2		1	1			$2,900 $3,100 $8	7.8	26.0	+18.2
Jake Cronenworth	3					1	1		$3,600 $2,800 $11	7.2	4.0	-3.2
TOTALS	34	7	2		1	3	3	7		79.3	51.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Walker Buehler	2.2	8	4	2	3	0	19	$7,500 $8,300 $30	13.3	-4.6	-17.9
Kyle Hart	2.1	2	1			0	9	$7,200 — —	5.2	2.1	-3.2
David Morgan	1.1	4	2	3	1	0	9	$4,000 — —	—	2.0
Wandy Peralta	1.1	1	1	1		1	5	$4,000 — —	2.7	3.2	+0.5

Colorado Rockies — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Edouard Julien	3	1				1	1	1	$3,800 $3,000 $12	8.4	9.0	+0.6
Mickey Moniak	4	2	2			1			$3,900 $4,000 $20	9.6	14.0	+4.4
Hunter Goodman	4	3	2		1	1	1	1	$4,600 $3,400 $16	8.7	28.0	+19.3
Tyler Freeman	5	1				1			$4,100 $3,000 $12	7.9	5.0	-2.9
TJ Rumfield	5	2	1			2			$3,400 $3,000 $13	7.7	12.0	+4.3
Troy Johnston	4	1						2	$4,000 $3,200 $14	8.1	5.0	-3.1
Kyle Karros	3	1	1				1		$3,200 $2,800 $12	6.7	9.0	+2.3
Willi Castro	3	2				1	1		$4,000 — $10	7.4	12.0	+4.6
Jake McCarthy	4	2				1			$3,000 $2,800 $8	7.5	10.0	+2.6
Ezequiel Tovar	1							1	$4,100 $3,000 $13	—	0.0
Jordan Beck	1								$3,400 — —	—	0.0
Brenton Doyle	1							1	$3,600 — —	—	0.0
TOTALS	38	15	6		1	8	4	6		71.9	104.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Tomoyuki Sugano	5.2	5	1	4	1	0	23	$6,100 $7,700 $29	11.7	19.2	+7.4
Jaden Hill	1.1	1	1	3	1	1	6	$4,000 — —	2.4	5.8	+3.4
Antonio Senzatela	2.0	1	1		1	0	8	$4,900 — —	4.5	3.3	-1.2