Colorado Rockies

45% win

pred 4.9

Chase Dollander

FINAL

Philadelphia Phillies

55% win

pred 5.2

Jesús Luzardo

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H
COL	1	0	0	5	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	9	13
PHI	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	5	0	0	0	7	9

2026-05-08 · 6:40 PM ET Citizens Bank Park 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Justin Crawford	OF	21.5	$2.4k	9.0
Hunter Goodman	C	22.5	$4.6k	4.9
Tyler Freeman	OF	14.0	$3.6k	3.9
Bryson Stott	2B	10.5	$3.4k	3.1
Kyle Karros	3B	8.0	$2.7k	3.0
Bryce Harper	1B	10.0	$5.0k	2.0
J.T. Realmuto	C	6.5	$3.3k	2.0
Brandon Marsh	OF	7.0	$3.7k	1.9
Troy Johnston	1B/OF	7.0	$3.8k	1.8
Kyle Schwarber	OF	10.0	$5.5k	1.8
Jake McCarthy	OF	5.0	$2.8k	1.8
Willi Castro	2B/3B	5.0	$4.1k	1.2
TJ Rumfield	1B	4.0	$3.5k	1.1
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	3.5	$4.0k	0.9
Brett Sullivan	C	1.5	$2.6k	0.6
Brenton Doyle	OF	1.5	$3.3k	0.5
Jordan Beck	OF	1.0	$2.9k	0.3
Adolis García	OF	1.0	$3.2k	0.3

Best Bets

OVER 7.5

TOTAL ★★ · +2.6 off line

-110 · $200 bet · $182 profit

Model: 10.1 vs Line: 7.5

WIN

Predictions

Philadelphia Phillies

ML · Model 55% vs Mkt 67%

-232 · $43 per $100

LOSS

Colorado Rockies +1.5

RL · 1.2 off line

-110 · $91 per $100

WIN

OVER 7.5

TOTAL · Proj 10.1 vs Line 7.5

-110 · $91 per $100

WIN

Philadelphia Phillies ML + Colorado Rockies +1.5 + OVER 7.5

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+422 · $422 per $100

LOSS

COL 45% 55% PHI

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	84.8%	15.2%
6.5	80.0%	20.0%
7.5	71.3%	28.7%
8.5	61.9%	38.1%
9.5	50.1%	49.9%
10.5	42.4%	57.6%
11.5	34.3%	65.7%
12.5	27.5%	72.5%

Run Line (margin)

Line	PHI covers	COL covers
PHI -1.5	40.7%	32.6%
PHI -2.5	30.4%	24.0%
PHI -3.5	23.1%	17.7%

Team Totals

Line	PHI	COL
O 3.5	68.3%	62.2%
O 4.5	55.8%	50.5%
O 5.5	42.3%	38.9%
O 6.5	30.9%	28.5%

Odds

moneyline PHI 55% · -232 · $43 per $100

Book	COL	Impl%	PHI	Impl%
DraftKings	+189	33.1%	-232	66.9%

runline Colorado Rockies +1.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

PHI -1.5: PHI 5.2 − 1.5 = 3.7 vs COL 4.9 no bet

COL +1.5: COL 4.9 + 1.5 = 6.4 vs PHI 5.2 BET ✓

Book	COL		PHI
DraftKings	+1.5	-110	-1.5	-110

total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 7.5 +102	U 7.5 -123

Player Projections actual (projected)

Colorado Rockies

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Hunter Goodman	C	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.3	1.2	9.1	—
Jordan Beck	LF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.3	1.3	9.0	—
Brenton Doyle	CF	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.4	1.2	8.4	—
Tyler Freeman	RF	1.1	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.9	8.4	—
TJ Rumfield	1B	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.0	8.2	—
Willi Castro	LF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	1.1	7.7	—
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.1	7.3	—
Brett Sullivan	C	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.9	7.3	—
Kyle Karros	3B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.0	6.8	—
Zach Agnos	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.6	3.4	—
Brennan Bernardino	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.2	—
Jimmy Herget	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.2	—
Juan Mejia	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	2.8	—
Victor Vodnik	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	2.7	—
Jaden Hill	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	2.0	—
Antonio Senzatela	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.0	0.7	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Chase Dollander	Starter	5.9	5.9	6.1	2.3	3.3	43%	100%	15.0	—

Philadelphia Phillies

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Trea Turner	SS	1.1	0.1	0.7	0.6	0.2	0.4	1.0	9.7	—
Kyle Schwarber	LF	0.9	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.0	0.5	1.1	9.5	—
Bryce Harper	1B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.1	0.5	0.9	9.5	—
Brandon Marsh	CF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.4	1.0	8.7	—
Adolis García	RF	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.3	1.1	8.5	—
Bryson Stott	2B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.4	0.8	8.2	—
J.T. Realmuto	C	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.9	7.7	—
Edmundo Sosa	2B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.9	7.7	—
Justin Crawford	CF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.8	7.4	—
Chase Shugart	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	3.8	—
Brad Keller	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.5	—
Tim Mayza	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.6	3.3	—
Jonathan Bowlan	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	2.8	—
José Alvarado	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.8	—
Tanner Banks	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.4	—
Garrett Stubbs	C	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	1.9	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Jesús Luzardo	Starter	6.1	6.8	6.2	2.1	3.2	53%	100%	18.2	—

Box Score

Colorado Rockies — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Jordan Beck	4					1	2	$2,900 $2,200 $10	9.0	1.0	-8.0
Tyler Freeman	6	2		1	1		2	$3,600 $2,600 $13	8.4	14.0	+5.6
TJ Rumfield	6	1			1		2	$3,500 $2,800 $15	8.2	4.0	-4.2
Hunter Goodman	5	4		1	2		1	$4,600 $3,200 $17	9.1	22.5	+13.4
Brenton Doyle	3					1	1	$3,300 $2,400 $11	8.4	1.5	-6.9
Willi Castro	6	2					2	$4,100 — $12	7.7	5.0	-2.7
Kyle Karros	4	1	1		2		2	$2,700 $2,400 $11	6.8	8.0	+1.2
Ezequiel Tovar	5	1			1		3	$4,000 $2,200 $9	7.3	3.5	-3.8
Brett Sullivan	2					1	1	$2,600 $2,000 $7	7.3	1.5	-5.8
Mickey Moniak	1							$4,900 — —	—	0.0
Troy Johnston	1	1	1		1			$3,800 $2,800 $13	—	7.0
Jake McCarthy	1	1			1			$2,800 — —	—	5.0
Edouard Julien	1							$4,200 — —	—	0.0
TOTALS	45	13	2	2	9	3	16		72.1	73.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Chase Dollander	5.1	3	2	5	5	1	24	$6,500 $7,600 $37	15.0	16.6	+1.6
Jaden Hill	1.0	1	0			0	4	$4,000 — —	2.0	1.7	-0.3
Brennan Bernardino	0.1	2	1	1	1	0	4	$4,000 — —	3.2	-1.0	-4.2
Jimmy Herget	1.0	2	4	2		1	5	$4,000 — —	3.2	-3.6	-6.8
Victor Vodnik	2.0		0	2		0	7	$4,000 — —	2.7	8.5	+5.8
Juan Mejia	1.0	1	0	1		0	4	$4,000 — —	2.8	3.7	+0.9

Philadelphia Phillies — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Trea Turner	6						2	$4,500 $2,900 $17	9.7	-1.0	-10.7
Kyle Schwarber	6	1		1	1		4	$5,500 $3,600 $21	9.5	10.0	+0.5
Bryce Harper	4	2				2		$5,000 $3,600 $21	9.5	10.0	+0.5
Adolis García	4					1	2	$3,200 $2,700 $15	8.5	1.0	-7.5
Brandon Marsh	4	1			1	1		$3,700 $3,100 $18	8.7	7.0	-1.7
J.T. Realmuto	5	1	1		1		1	$3,300 $2,600 $13	7.7	6.5	-1.2
Bryson Stott	4	1	1		2	1	1	$3,400 $2,800 $15	8.2	10.5	+2.3
Edmundo Sosa	5							$2,600 — $10	7.7	0.0	-7.7
Justin Crawford	4	3		1	2	1	1	$2,400 $2,600 $12	7.4	21.5	+14.1
TOTALS	42	9	2	2	7	6	11		76.8	65.5

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Jesús Luzardo	3.0	6	6	6	3	1	18	$9,300 $9,500 $49	18.2	0.8	-17.4
Jonathan Bowlan	1.2	1	0	1		0	6	$6,300 — —	2.8	5.2	+2.4
Tim Mayza	2.0	1	1	2		1	7	$4,000 — —	3.3	5.3	+2.0
Jhoan Duran	1.0	1	0	2		0	4	$4,000 — —	—	5.7
José Alvarado	1.0		0	2		0	4	$4,000 — —	2.8	6.3	+3.5
Orion Kerkering	1.0	1	0	1		0	4	$4,000 — —	—	3.7
Brad Keller	1.0	3	2	2		0	6	$4,000 — —	3.5	0.5	-3.0