Pittsburgh Pirates

49% win

pred 4.9

Carmen Mlodzinski

FINAL

San Francisco Giants

51% win

pred 4.8

Robbie Ray

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5
SF	0	1	0	1	0	0	3	0		5	12

2026-05-08 · 10:15 PM ET Oracle Park 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Marcell Ozuna	OF	17.0	$3.2k	5.3
Rafael Devers	1B	14.0	$3.9k	3.6
Heliot Ramos	OF	9.5	$3.1k	3.1
Jung Hoo Lee	OF	6.0	$3.2k	1.9
Luis Arraez	2B	7.0	$3.8k	1.8
Willy Adames	SS	6.0	$3.3k	1.8
Spencer Horwitz	1B	5.0	$2.9k	1.7
Drew Gilbert	OF	4.5	$2.8k	1.6
Nick Gonzales	2B/3B	6.0	$3.9k	1.5
Jesus Rodriguez	C/OF	3.0	$2.2k	1.4
Konnor Griffin	SS	4.5	$4.1k	1.1
Casey Schmitt	2B/3B	3.0	$3.7k	0.8
Oneil Cruz	OF	4.5	$6.2k	0.7
Bryan Reynolds	OF	2.0	$4.5k	0.4

Best Bets

OVER 7.5

TOTAL ★★ · +2.2 off line

-110 · $200 bet · $182 profit

Model: 9.7 vs Line: 7.5

LOSS

Predictions

San Francisco Giants

ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 50%

-108 · $93 per $100

WIN

San Francisco Giants +1.5

RL · 1.3 off line

-110 · $91 per $100

WIN

OVER 7.5

TOTAL · Proj 9.7 vs Line 7.5

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

San Francisco Giants ML + San Francisco Giants +1.5 + OVER 7.5

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+602 · $602 per $100

LOSS

PIT 49% 51% SF

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	82.6%	17.4%
6.5	76.4%	23.6%
7.5	65.8%	34.2%
8.5	57.6%	42.4%
9.5	48.3%	51.7%
10.5	39.7%	60.3%
11.5	31.5%	68.5%
12.5	25.6%	74.4%

Run Line (margin)

Line	SF covers	PIT covers
SF -1.5	37.0%	37.6%
SF -2.5	26.5%	28.2%
SF -3.5	18.5%	20.8%

Team Totals

Line	SF	PIT
O 3.5	61.1%	62.8%
O 4.5	48.6%	50.1%
O 5.5	36.4%	39.2%
O 6.5	26.2%	28.7%

Odds

moneyline SF 51% · -108 · $93 per $100

Book	PIT	Impl%	SF	Impl%
DraftKings	-112	50.4%	-108	49.6%

runline San Francisco Giants +1.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

PIT -1.5: PIT 4.9 − 1.5 = 3.4 vs SF 4.8 no bet

SF +1.5: SF 4.8 + 1.5 = 6.3 vs PIT 4.9 BET ✓

Book	PIT		SF
DraftKings	-1.5	-110	+1.5	-110

total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 7.5 -112	U 7.5 -108

Player Projections actual (projected)

Pittsburgh Pirates

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Marcell Ozuna	DH	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.4	1.1	9.3	—
Konnor Griffin	SS	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.3	1.1	8.7	—
Bryan Reynolds	RF	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.5	1.1	8.7	—
Jared Triolo	SS	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.4	1.2	8.6	—
Oneil Cruz	CF	0.8	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.4	1.2	8.5	—
Nick Gonzales	2B	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.1	8.3	—
Joey Bart	C	0.8	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.1	7.6	—
Billy Cook	OF	0.8	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.1	7.1	—
Nick Yorke	2B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.9	6.9	—
Yohan Ramírez	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.1	4.7	—
Evan Sisk	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.6	3.7	—
Isaac Mattson	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	3.0	—
Mason Montgomery	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	2.7	—
Gregory Soto	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.8	2.4	—
Dennis Santana	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.8	2.4	—
Justin Lawrence	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	1.8	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Carmen Mlodzinski	Starter	5.6	5.2	5.9	2.0	3.0	46%	100%	14.2	—

San Francisco Giants

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Rafael Devers	DH	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.4	1.0	8.6	—
Jung Hoo Lee	CF	1.1	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.8	8.6	—
Luis Arraez	IF	1.2	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.7	8.5	—
Casey Schmitt	3B	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.0	8.2	—
Matt Chapman	3B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.0	7.6	—
Heliot Ramos	LF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.9	7.6	—
Willy Adames	SS	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	1.0	7.5	—
Jesus Rodriguez	C	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.0	0.3	0.9	6.7	—
Drew Gilbert	CF	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.0	0.3	0.8	6.5	—
Ryan Walker	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	3.9	—
JT Brubaker	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.7	3.5	—
Joel Peguero	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.4	—
Matt Gage	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.2	—
Keaton Winn	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.8	—
Gregory Santos	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	2.6	—
Ryan Borucki	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.2	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Robbie Ray	Starter	5.7	6.6	5.4	2.2	3.1	48%	100%	17.2	—

Box Score

Pittsburgh Pirates — Hitting

Player	AB	H	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Jared Triolo	4					1	$2,300 — $13	8.6	-0.5	-9.1
Nick Gonzales	1				3		$3,900 $2,800 $13	8.3	6.0	-2.3
Bryan Reynolds	3				1		$4,500 $3,400 $17	8.7	2.0	-6.7
Marcell Ozuna	3	2	1	1	1		$3,200 $2,700 $13	9.3	17.0	+7.7
Oneil Cruz	3	1			1	1	$6,200 $4,100 $18	8.5	4.5	-4.0
Konnor Griffin	3	1			1	1	$4,100 $3,100 $15	8.7	4.5	-4.2
Joey Bart	3					2	$2,700 $2,300 $11	7.6	-1.0	-8.6
Nick Yorke	2					1	$2,000 $2,600 —	6.9	-0.5	-7.4
Billy Cook	3					2	$2,500 $2,100 $7	7.1	-1.0	-8.1
Brandon Lowe	2						$5,200 — —	—	0.0
Spencer Horwitz	1	1		1			$2,900 — —	—	5.0
Ryan O'Hearn	1						$4,700 $3,400 $13	—	0.0
TOTALS	29	5	1	2	7	8		73.6	36.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Carmen Mlodzinski	5.2	7	2	1	1	23	$6,600 $8,100 $36	14.2	10.0	-4.2
Justin Lawrence	0.0	3	1		0	4	$4,000 — —	1.8	—
Evan Sisk	1.0	1	2	1	0	4	$4,000 — —	3.7	-0.4	-4.1
Cam Sanders	1.0	1	0	3	0	4	$4,000 — —	—	7.7

San Francisco Giants — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Jung Hoo Lee	4	2						$3,200 $2,700 $12	8.6	6.0	-2.6
Luis Arraez	4	1			2			$3,800 $2,800 $14	8.5	7.0	-1.5
Casey Schmitt	4	1						$3,700 — $14	8.2	3.0	-5.2
Rafael Devers	4	2		1	1		2	$3,900 $2,600 $13	8.6	14.0	+5.4
Matt Chapman	4						1	$4,000 $2,700 $13	7.6	-0.5	-8.1
Willy Adames	4	2						$3,300 $2,700 $12	7.5	6.0	-1.5
Heliot Ramos	4	2	1		1		1	$3,100 $2,700 $12	7.6	9.5	+1.9
Drew Gilbert	4	1			1		1	$2,800 $2,600 $9	6.5	4.5	-2.0
Jesus Rodriguez	2	1						$2,200 $2,000 $14	6.7	3.0	-3.7
TOTALS	34	12	1	1	5	0	5		69.8	52.5

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Robbie Ray	5.1	4	1	7	4	1	23	$8,800 $9,000 $44	17.2	22.6	+5.4
Keaton Winn	1.0		0	1		0	3	$5,800 — —	2.8	4.3	+1.5
Matt Gage	1.0		0		1	0	4	$4,000 — —	3.2	1.7	-1.5
Caleb Kilian	1.0	1	1		2	0	6	$5,800 — —	—	-1.5