St. Louis Cardinals

47% win

pred 4.9

Dustin May

FINAL

Miami Marlins

53% win

pred 5.1

Chris Paddack

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	1	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	5	10
MIA	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	8

2026-04-21 · 6:40 PM ET loanDepot park 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Nathan Church	OF	17.0	$2.6k	6.5
Jakob Marsee	OF	18.0	$4.3k	4.2
Masyn Winn	SS	8.0	$3.1k	2.6
Alec Burleson	1B	11.5	$4.8k	2.4
Xavier Edwards	2B	8.0	$4.4k	1.8
JJ Wetherholt	2B	6.0	$4.9k	1.2
Iván Herrera	C	5.0	$4.2k	1.2
Nolan Gorman	3B	4.0	$3.5k	1.1
Graham Pauley	3B	2.5	$2.3k	1.1
Connor Norby	1B	2.0	$2.4k	0.8
Victor Scott II	OF	1.5	$2.5k	0.6
Liam Hicks	1B/C	2.0	$4.2k	0.5
Kyle Stowers	OF	1.5	$4.7k	0.3

Predictions

Miami Marlins

ML · Model 53% vs Mkt 52%

-120 · $83 per $100

LOSS

Miami Marlins +1.5

RL · 1.7 off line

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

OVER 8.5

TOTAL · Proj 10.0 vs Line 8.5

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

Miami Marlins ML + Miami Marlins +1.5 + OVER 8.5

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+568 · $568 per $100

LOSS

STL 47% 53% MIA

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	84.8%	15.2%
6.5	78.2%	21.8%
7.5	68.0%	32.0%
8.5	60.0%	40.0%
9.5	49.9%	50.1%
10.5	42.3%	57.7%
11.5	32.4%	67.6%
12.5	25.2%	74.8%

Run Line (margin)

Line	MIA covers	STL covers
MIA -1.5	38.6%	34.4%
MIA -2.5	28.5%	26.1%
MIA -3.5	19.3%	18.8%

Team Totals

Line	MIA	STL
O 3.5	68.5%	62.6%
O 4.5	53.1%	49.6%
O 5.5	40.0%	38.2%
O 6.5	27.8%	28.5%

Odds

moneyline MIA 53% · -120 · $83 per $100

Book	STL	Impl%	MIA	Impl%
DraftKings	+100	47.8%	-120	52.2%
FanDuel	-102	48.5%	-116	51.5%
BetMGM	-105	48.9%	-115	51.1%
Caesars	+100	47.8%	-120	52.2%

runline Miami Marlins +1.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

STL -1.5: STL 4.9 − 1.5 = 3.4 vs MIA 5.1 no bet

MIA +1.5: MIA 5.1 + 1.5 = 6.6 vs STL 4.9 BET ✗

Book	STL		MIA
DraftKings	-1.5	+152	+1.5	-185
FanDuel	-1.5	+158	+1.5	-192
BetMGM	-1.5	+155	+1.5	-190
Caesars	+1.5	-210	-1.5	+175

total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 8.5 -120	U 8.5 +100
FanDuel	O 8.5 -120	U 8.5 -102
BetMGM	O 8.5 -120	U 8.5 +100
Caesars	O 8.5 -120	U 8.5 +100

Player Projections actual (projected)

St. Louis Cardinals

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
JJ Wetherholt	SS	1.1	0.2	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.4	1.0	9.8	—
Alec Burleson	1B	1.1	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.3	0.8	9.0	—
Iván Herrera	C	1.1	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.4	0.9	8.9	—
Jordan Walker	RF	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.3	1.1	8.8	—
Nolan Gorman	2B	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.1	8.3	—
Masyn Winn	SS	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.8	7.9	—
Victor Scott II	CF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.3	0.9	7.4	—
Pedro Pagés	C	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.2	0.9	7.2	—
Nathan Church	LF	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.0	0.2	1.0	6.8	—
Ryne Stanek	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	3.4	—
Gordon Graceffo	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	3.3	—
Riley O'Brien	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	3.2	—
Justin Bruihl	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.1	—
Ryan Fernandez	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.0	—
JoJo Romero	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.6	—
Matt Svanson	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.6	1.2	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Dustin May	Starter	5.7	5.3	6.2	2.1	3.3	43%	100%	13.4	—

Miami Marlins

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Jakob Marsee	CF	1.0	0.1	0.7	0.4	0.3	0.5	1.0	9.9	—
Xavier Edwards	SS	1.1	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.4	0.7	9.7	—
Otto Lopez	2B	1.1	0.1	0.6	0.7	0.1	0.3	0.8	9.1	—
Kyle Stowers	LF	1.1	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.1	9.1	—
Liam Hicks	C	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.7	8.5	—
Agustín Ramírez	C	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.8	8.1	—
Owen Caissie	RF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.2	7.9	—
Connor Norby	3B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.9	7.6	—
Graham Pauley	3B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.9	7.1	—
Calvin Faucher	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.8	4.9	—
Lake Bachar	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.6	4.3	—
Michael Petersen	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	3.9	—
John King	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	3.1	—
Anthony Bender	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.7	—
Andrew Nardi	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	2.4	—
Pete Fairbanks	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	1.9	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Chris Paddack	Starter	5.5	5.2	5.7	1.7	3.0	49%	100%	14.3	—

Box Score

St. Louis Cardinals — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
JJ Wetherholt	4	1	1			1	2	$4,900 $3,200 $18	9.8	6.0	-3.8
Iván Herrera	5	2					2	$4,200 $2,900 $18	8.9	5.0	-3.9
Alec Burleson	4	2	1		2		1	$4,800 $3,300 $18	9.0	11.5	+2.5
Jordan Walker	4						2	$4,700 $3,800 $19	8.8	-1.0	-9.8
Nolan Gorman	4	1			1		2	$3,500 $2,800 $12	8.3	4.0	-4.3
Masyn Winn	4	2	1					$3,100 $2,900 $13	7.9	8.0	+0.2
Nathan Church	4	2		1	2			$2,600 $2,200 $9	6.8	17.0	+10.2
Pedro Pagés	4						2	$2,400 $2,500 $12	7.2	-1.0	-8.2
Victor Scott II	3					1	1	$2,500 $2,500 $9	7.4	1.5	-5.9
TOTALS	36	10	3	1	5	2	12		74.0	51.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Dustin May	5.0	6	1	5	1	1	22	$6,800 $7,000 $29	13.4	18.5	+5.1
Justin Bruihl	1.2		0			0	7	— — —	3.1	3.8	+0.7
Ryne Stanek	0.2	1	2	2	3	0	6	— — —	3.4	-0.9	-4.3
George Soriano	0.1		0	1		0	1	— — —	—	2.8
Riley O'Brien	1.0	1	0	1		0	4	— — —	3.2	3.7	+0.5

Miami Marlins — Hitting

Player	AB	H	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Jakob Marsee	4	3	1	1			$4,300 $2,900 $15	9.9	18.0	+8.1
Kyle Stowers	4				1	1	$4,700 $3,300 $20	9.1	1.5	-7.6
Otto Lopez	5					1	$4,100 $3,500 $17	9.1	-0.5	-9.6
Xavier Edwards	4	2			1		$4,400 $3,300 $16	9.7	8.0	-1.7
Liam Hicks	3				1		$4,200 $3,300 $16	8.5	2.0	-6.5
Agustín Ramírez	4					2	$4,000 $2,800 $14	8.1	-1.0	-9.1
Owen Caissie	2					2	$3,200 $2,800 $12	7.9	-1.0	-8.9
Graham Pauley	2	1				1	$2,300 $2,300 $10	7.1	2.5	-4.6
Connor Norby	4	1				2	$2,400 $2,700 $14	7.6	2.0	-5.6
Austin Slater	1						— — —	—	0.0
Heriberto Hernández	1	1		2			— — —	—	7.0
Javier Sanoja	0				1		— — —	—	—
TOTALS	34	8	1	3	4	9		77.1	38.5

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Chris Paddack	4.2	8	5	7	1	1	24	$6,400 $6,900 $27	14.3	8.5	-5.8
John King	1.1		0	2		0	4	— — —	3.1	7.0	+3.9
Tyler Phillips	2.2	2	0	3	1	0	10	— — —	—	10.2