Minnesota Twins

41% win

pred 4.1

Simeon Woods Richardson

FINAL

New York Mets

59% win

pred 4.9

Nolan McLean

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	2	5	6
NYM	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	4

2026-04-21 · 7:10 PM ET Citi Field 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Francisco Lindor	SS	17.5	$4.6k	3.8
Byron Buxton	OF	12.5	$5.4k	2.3
Luke Keaschall	2B	9.5	$4.2k	2.3
Matt Wallner	OF	6.5	$3.1k	2.1
Mark Vientos	1B	5.0	$3.3k	1.5
Kody Clemens	1B	4.5	$3.3k	1.4
Trevor Larnach	OF	2.5	$2.8k	0.9
Bo Bichette	3B	3.0	$3.8k	0.8
Brett Baty	OF	2.5	$3.6k	0.7
Josh Bell	1B	2.0	$3.8k	0.5
Marcus Semien	2B	1.5	$2.9k	0.5
Ryan Jeffers	C	1.0	$4.0k	0.3

Best Bets

OVER 7.5

TOTAL ★ · +1.5 off line

-110 · $100 bet · $91 profit

Model: 9.0 vs Line: 7.5

WIN

Predictions

New York Mets

ML · Model 59% vs Mkt 59%

-163 · $61 per $100

LOSS

Minnesota Twins +1.5

RL · 0.8 off line

-165 · $61 per $100

WIN

OVER 7.5

TOTAL · Proj 9.0 vs Line 7.5

-110 · $91 per $100

WIN

New York Mets ML + Minnesota Twins +1.5 + OVER 7.5

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+395 · $395 per $100

LOSS

MIN 41% 59% NYM

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	78.5%	21.5%
6.5	70.8%	29.2%
7.5	60.0%	40.0%
8.5	50.8%	49.2%
9.5	40.3%	59.7%
10.5	32.3%	67.7%
11.5	25.5%	74.5%
12.5	21.2%	78.8%

Run Line (margin)

Line	NYM covers	MIN covers
NYM -1.5	44.9%	29.6%
NYM -2.5	32.0%	20.6%
NYM -3.5	24.1%	13.8%

Team Totals

Line	NYM	MIN
O 3.5	63.6%	51.9%
O 4.5	49.3%	39.5%
O 5.5	37.8%	27.1%
O 6.5	28.1%	18.5%

Odds

moneyline NYM 59% · -163 · $61 per $100

Book	MIN	Impl%	NYM	Impl%
DraftKings	+135	40.7%	-163	59.3%
FanDuel	+136	40.7%	-162	59.3%
BetMGM	+140	40.1%	-165	59.9%
Caesars	+135	40.9%	-160	59.1%

runline Minnesota Twins +1.5 · -165 · $61 per $100

NYM -1.5: NYM 4.9 − 1.5 = 3.4 vs MIN 4.1 no bet

MIN +1.5: MIN 4.1 + 1.5 = 5.6 vs NYM 4.9 BET ✓

Book	MIN		NYM
DraftKings	+1.5	-168	-1.5	+139
FanDuel	+1.5	-162	-1.5	+134
Caesars	+1.5	-165	-1.5	+140

total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 7.5 -102	U 7.5 -118
FanDuel	O 7.5 -104	U 7.5 -118
BetMGM	O 7.5 -102	U 7.5 -118
Caesars	O 7.5 -105	U 7.5 -115

Player Projections actual (projected)

Minnesota Twins

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Byron Buxton	CF	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.3	1.3	8.4	—
Josh Bell	1B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.1	7.4	—
Luke Keaschall	2B	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.3	0.9	7.4	—
Trevor Larnach	RF	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.6	1.2	7.4	—
Ryan Jeffers	C	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.1	7.3	—
Royce Lewis	3B	0.7	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	1.1	7.0	—
Matt Wallner	RF	0.7	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.3	6.6	—
Kody Clemens	2B	0.7	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.2	6.5	—
Brooks Lee	3B	0.7	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.0	0.3	0.9	5.7	—
Eric Orze	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.6	3.8	—
Anthony Banda	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.6	—
Taylor Rogers	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	3.5	—
Garrett Acton	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.4	—
Kody Funderburk	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	3.3	—
Justin Topa	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.8	—
Cole Sands	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.7	1.8	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Simeon Woods Richardson	Starter	6.0	5.4	5.9	2.3	3.3	39%	100%	14.4	—

New York Mets

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Francisco Lindor	SS	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.4	0.9	9.5	—
Luis Robert Jr.	CF	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.4	1.0	9.2	—
Marcus Semien	2B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.4	0.9	8.9	—
Bo Bichette	SS	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.3	0.8	8.7	—
Francisco Alvarez	C	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.9	8.2	—
MJ Melendez	LF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.9	7.8	—
Mark Vientos	3B	0.9	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.9	7.6	—
Brett Baty	3B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.9	7.3	—
Carson Benge	OF	0.7	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.4	0.8	7.2	—
Tobias Myers	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.8	4.8	—
Huascar Brazobán	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.8	4.4	—
Brooks Raley	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.7	—
Luke Weaver	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.6	—
Craig Kimbrel	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	2.4	—
Austin Warren	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	2.4	—
Devin Williams	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	2.1	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Nolan McLean	Starter	5.9	6.6	4.8	2.3	2.5	56%	100%	19.7	—

Box Score

Minnesota Twins — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Byron Buxton	5	1		1	2		3	$5,400 $2,900 $18	8.4	12.5	+4.1
Trevor Larnach	4	1					1	$2,800 $2,700 $13	7.4	2.5	-4.9
Josh Bell	3					1		$3,800 $3,300 $16	7.4	2.0	-5.4
Ryan Jeffers	3					1	2	$4,000 $3,200 $15	7.3	1.0	-6.3
Kody Clemens	3	1	1				1	$3,300 — $14	6.5	4.5	-2.0
Luke Keaschall	4	2			2		1	$4,200 $2,900 $14	7.4	9.5	+2.1
Matt Wallner	3	1			1	1	1	$3,100 $2,700 $13	6.6	6.5	-0.1
Royce Lewis	4						2	$3,400 $3,500 —	7.0	-1.0	-8.0
Brooks Lee	4						4	$2,600 $2,600 $12	5.7	-2.0	-7.7
TOTALS	33	6	1	1	5	3	15		63.6	35.5

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Simeon Woods Richardson	5.0	4	3	2	3	1	22	$7,500 $6,800 $27	14.4	8.5	-5.9
Anthony Banda	1.0		0	2		0	3	— — —	3.6	6.3	+2.7
Justin Topa	1.0		0	1		0	3	— — —	2.8	4.3	+1.5
Cole Sands	2.0		0	3		0	6	— — —	1.8	10.5	+8.7

New York Mets — Hitting

Player	AB	H	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Marcus Semien	3				1	1	$2,900 $2,600 $13	8.9	1.5	-7.4
Francisco Lindor	3	1	1	3	1	1	$4,600 $2,900 $17	9.5	17.5	+8.0
Luis Robert Jr.	4						$5,000 $2,900 $16	9.2	0.0	-9.2
Bo Bichette	4	1					$3,800 $2,800 $15	8.7	3.0	-5.7
MJ Melendez	2						$2,100 $2,600 $9	7.8	0.0	-7.8
Francisco Alvarez	4					1	$3,700 $2,800 $15	8.2	-0.5	-8.7
Brett Baty	2	1				1	$3,600 — $12	7.3	2.5	-4.8
Mark Vientos	2	1			1		$3,300 $2,600 $11	7.6	5.0	-2.6
Carson Benge	3						$3,000 $2,700 $12	7.2	0.0	-7.2
Luis Torrens	2					2	— — —	—	-1.0
Tyrone Taylor	2					2	— — —	—	-1.0
TOTALS	31	4	1	3	3	8		74.3	27.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Nolan McLean	6.2	5	3	10		1	25	$8,500 $10,200 $52	19.7	29.4	+9.7
Huascar Brazobán	1.1		0	2		0	4	— — —	4.4	7.0	+2.6
Devin Williams	0.0	1	2		3	0	5	— — —	2.1	—
Austin Warren	1.0		0	3		0	3	— — —	2.4	8.3	+5.9