San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies — 2026-04-21 | AI Sports Metrics

San Diego Padres

54% win

1

pred 5.5

Randy Vásquez

FINAL

Colorado Rockies

46% win

0

pred 5

Jimmy Herget

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	6
COL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3

2026-04-21 · 8:40 PM ET Coors Field 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Freddy Fermin	C	5.0	$3.1k	1.6
Jake Cronenworth	2B	4.5	$3.7k	1.2
Fernando Tatis Jr.	2B/OF	5.0	$5.8k	0.9
Manny Machado	3B	3.5	$5.1k	0.7
Miguel Andujar	3B/OF	2.5	$3.8k	0.7
Mickey Moniak	OF	2.5	$4.7k	0.5
Hunter Goodman	C	2.5	$5.4k	0.5
Edouard Julien	2B	2.0	$4.5k	0.4
Xander Bogaerts	SS	2.0	$4.6k	0.4

Predictions

San Diego Padres

ML · Model 54%

WIN

SD 54% 46% COL

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	86.4%	13.6%
6.5	79.7%	20.3%
7.5	71.5%	28.5%
8.5	62.6%	37.4%
9.5	54.9%	45.1%
10.5	47.1%	52.9%
11.5	38.5%	61.5%
12.5	31.5%	68.5%

Run Line (margin)

Line	COL covers	SD covers
COL -1.5	34.4%	41.8%
COL -2.5	24.5%	32.0%
COL -3.5	18.2%	24.6%

Team Totals

Line	COL	SD
O 3.5	63.9%	69.8%
O 4.5	52.1%	57.5%
O 5.5	39.7%	45.8%
O 6.5	29.6%	34.8%

Player Projections actual (projected)

San Diego Padres

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	1.0	0.1	0.7	0.6	0.2	0.4	1.0	9.9	—
Ramón Laureano	RF	1.1	0.1	0.7	0.6	0.1	0.3	1.1	9.4	—
Jackson Merrill	CF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.7	0.1	0.3	0.9	8.9	—
Manny Machado	3B	0.9	0.1	0.7	0.7	0.1	0.4	0.9	8.9	—
Xander Bogaerts	SS	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.8	8.7	—
Gavin Sheets	LF	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.3	0.9	8.0	—
Miguel Andujar	LF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.2	0.8	7.6	—
Jake Cronenworth	2B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.8	7.0	—
Freddy Fermin	C	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.8	6.8	—
Ron Marinaccio	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.1	5.3	—
Kyle Hart	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.3	5.1	—
Adrian Morejon	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.8	4.3	—
Mason Miller	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	4.2	—
Wandy Peralta	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.3	—
Jason Adam	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	3.0	—
Bradgley Rodriguez	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.8	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Randy Vásquez	Starter	5.4	5.2	5.9	2.0	3.2	48%	100%	13.2	—

Colorado Rockies

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Mickey Moniak	RF	1.1	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.3	1.0	9.3	—
Edouard Julien	2B	1.0	0.1	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.5	1.1	8.8	—
Hunter Goodman	C	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.1	8.7	—
Troy Johnston	OF	1.1	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.8	8.5	—
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	1.1	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.2	1.0	8.2	—
TJ Rumfield	1B	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.8	8.2	—
Brenton Doyle	CF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.9	7.9	—
Jordan Beck	LF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.9	7.5	—
Kyle Karros	3B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.8	7.1	—
Chase Dollander	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.1	4.5	—
Antonio Senzatela	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.7	3.9	—
Victor Vodnik	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	3.6	—
Zach Agnos	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	3.3	—
Juan Mejia	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.6	3.1	—
Jaden Hill	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.9	—
Brennan Bernardino	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.8	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Jimmy Herget	Starter	3.7	3.4	3.8	1.2	2.0	7%	100%	8.4	—

Box Score

San Diego Padres — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Ramón Laureano	4							3	$5,000 $4,000 $19	9.4	-1.5	-10.9
Fernando Tatis Jr.	4	2						2	$5,800 $3,700 $19	9.9	5.0	-4.9
Jackson Merrill	3							3	$5,300 $3,900 $19	8.9	-1.5	-10.4
Manny Machado	3					1	1	1	$5,100 $3,600 $16	8.9	3.5	-5.4
Xander Bogaerts	4	1						2	$4,600 $3,500 $16	8.7	2.0	-6.7
Gavin Sheets	3							1	$4,200 $3,100 $13	8.0	-0.5	-8.5
Miguel Andujar	4	1						1	$3,800 $3,100 $9	7.6	2.5	-5.1
Freddy Fermin	3	1	1						$3,100 $2,800 $9	6.8	5.0	-1.8
Jake Cronenworth	4	1	1					1	$3,700 $2,900 $11	7.0	4.5	-2.5
Nick Castellanos	1							1	— — —	—	-0.5
TOTALS	33	6	2			1	1	15		75.1	18.5

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Randy Vásquez	6.2	3	0	5		0	24	$7,000 $9,700 $38	13.2	27.2	+14.0
Jason Adam	1.0		0	1		0	3	— — —	3.0	4.3	+1.3
Adrian Morejon	1.0		0	2		0	3	— — —	4.3	6.3	+2.0

Colorado Rockies — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Edouard Julien	4	1						2	$4,500 $3,000 $12	8.8	2.0	-6.8
Mickey Moniak	4	1						1	$4,700 $3,900 $20	9.3	2.5	-6.8
Hunter Goodman	4	1						1	$5,400 $3,400 $17	8.7	2.5	-6.2
TJ Rumfield	3							1	$4,400 $3,000 $12	8.2	-0.5	-8.7
Troy Johnston	3								$4,800 $3,200 $14	8.5	0.0	-8.5
Ezequiel Tovar	2								$5,000 $3,000 $12	8.2	0.0	-8.2
Kyle Karros	3								$4,000 $2,900 $11	7.1	0.0	-7.1
Jordan Beck	3							1	$4,200 $2,800 $8	7.5	-0.5	-8.0
Brenton Doyle	2							2	$4,300 $2,900 $12	7.9	-1.0	-8.9
Willi Castro	1								$4,100 — $12	—	0.0
TOTALS	29	3				0	0	8		74.2	5.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Jimmy Herget	1.0		0	3		0	3	$4,000 $5,500 $25	8.4	8.3	-0.1
Chase Dollander	6.0	3	1	9	1	0	24	— — —	4.5	31.1	+26.6
Juan Mejia	1.0	1	0	1		0	4	— — —	3.1	3.7	+0.6
Brennan Bernardino	1.0	2	0	2		0	5	$4,000 $5,500 $25	2.8	5.1	+2.3

Player Props

Player	Prop	Side	Line	Odds	Proj	Edge	Actual	Result