Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants — 2026-04-21 | AI Sports Metrics

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Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants — 2026-04-21 | AI Sports Metrics

Los Angeles Dodgers

63% win

1

pred 5.7

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

FINAL

San Francisco Giants

37% win

3

pred 4.1

Landen Roupp

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	3
SF	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		3	6

2026-04-21 · 9:45 PM ET Oracle Park 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Landen Roupp	SP	23.7	$7.7k	3.1
Jung Hoo Lee	CF	8.0	$3.4k	2.4
Hyeseong Kim	2B	7.0	$3.4k	2.1
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	SP	19.0	$9.5k	2.0
Ryan Walker	RP	6.3	$4.0k	1.6
Matt Chapman	3B	6.0	$4.5k	1.3
Teoscar Hernández	OF	7.0	$5.5k	1.3
Luis Arraez	2B	5.0	$4.1k	1.2
Willy Adames	SS	5.0	$4.4k	1.1
Heliot Ramos	LF	3.0	$3.1k	1.0
Rafael Devers	DH	5.0	$5.2k	1.0
Patrick Bailey	C	2.0	$2.2k	0.9
Ryan Borucki	RP	3.7	$4.0k	0.9
Tanner Scott	RP	3.7	$4.0k	0.9
Erik Miller	RP	3.1	$4.0k	0.8
Freddie Freeman	1B	4.0	$5.7k	0.7
Casey Schmitt	3B	2.0	$3.2k	0.6
Alex Freeland	2B	2.0	$3.8k	0.5
Dalton Rushing	C	2.0	$4.2k	0.5
Shohei Ohtani	SP	3.0	$6.9k	0.4
Keaton Winn	RP	2.8	$6.6k	0.4
Max Muncy	3B	2.0	$5.1k	0.4
Matt Gage	RP	0.9	$4.0k	0.2
Max Muncy	3B	1.0	$5.1k	0.2

Best Bets

Los Angeles Dodgers

ML ★★★ ELITE · +13.2% edge

Model: 63% vs Market: 50%

LOSS

Predictions

Los Angeles Dodgers

ML · Model 63%

LOSS

LAD 63% 37% SF

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	81.5%	18.5%
6.5	75.4%	24.6%
7.5	64.8%	35.2%
8.5	56.9%	43.1%
9.5	47.8%	52.2%
10.5	40.0%	60.0%
11.5	31.3%	68.7%
12.5	24.9%	75.1%

Run Line (margin)

Line	SF covers	LAD covers
SF -1.5	22.9%	49.5%
SF -2.5	15.5%	39.4%
SF -3.5	9.7%	30.4%

Team Totals

Line	SF	LAD
O 3.5	52.6%	70.5%
O 4.5	38.8%	57.2%
O 5.5	26.8%	46.4%
O 6.5	17.6%	34.7%

Player Projections actual (projected)

Los Angeles Dodgers

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Shohei Ohtani	TWP	1.0	0.2	0.8	0.7	0.3	0.6	1.1	11.1	—
Kyle Tucker	RF	1.0	0.1	0.7	0.6	0.2	0.5	0.9	9.5	—
Freddie Freeman	1B	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.7	0.1	0.4	0.9	9.1	—
Dalton Rushing	C	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.3	1.2	8.8	—
Teoscar Hernández	RF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.3	1.1	8.7	—
Max Muncy	3B	0.8	0.1	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.5	1.0	8.6	—
Hyeseong Kim	2B	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.3	1.1	8.1	—
Alex Call	RF	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.5	0.8	7.6	—
Alex Freeland	SS	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.1	6.8	—
Edwin Díaz	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.7	4.2	—
Will Klein	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.7	4.0	—
Jack Dreyer	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.5	—
Alex Vesia	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	3.2	—
Jake Eder	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.8	1.9	—
Edgardo Henriquez	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	1.7	—
Blake Treinen	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	1.5	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	Starter	6.3	6.1	5.5	2.0	2.7	60%	100%	18.8	—

San Francisco Giants

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Willy Adames	SS	0.9	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.4	1.2	8.3	—
Rafael Devers	DH	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.1	7.7	—
Casey Schmitt	3B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.0	7.5	—
Matt Chapman	3B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.2	7.1	—
Luis Arraez	IF	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.2	0.7	7.1	—
Heliot Ramos	LF	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.0	6.5	—
Jung Hoo Lee	CF	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.0	0.3	0.7	6.5	—
Drew Gilbert	CF	0.7	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.0	0.3	0.9	6.1	—
Patrick Bailey	C	0.7	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.0	0.3	0.9	5.8	—
Ryan Walker	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.7	5.0	—
JT Brubaker	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.7	3.3	—
Erik Miller	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.1	—
Ryan Borucki	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.6	3.0	—
Matt Gage	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.0	—
Keaton Winn	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.7	—
Caleb Kilian	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	2.6	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Landen Roupp	Starter	5.4	5.7	5.4	2.4	3.1	34%	100%	13.9	—

Box Score

Los Angeles Dodgers — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Shohei Ohtani	4	1						2	$10,200 $4,000 $23	11.1	3.0	-8.1
Kyle Tucker	4							3	$9,800 $3,800 $17	9.5	0.0	-9.5
Freddie Freeman	2						2		$5,700 $3,400 —	9.1	4.0	-5.1
Teoscar Hernández	3	1	1				1		$5,500 $3,500 $16	8.7	7.0	-1.7
Max Muncy	3						1	2	$5,100 $2,900 $18	8.6	1.0	-7.6
Dalton Rushing	2						1		$4,200 $3,000 $12	8.8	2.0	-6.8
Hyeseong Kim	1	1				1	1		$3,400 $2,600 $10	8.1	7.0	-1.1
Alex Call	4								$3,300 $2,700 $8	7.6	0.0	-7.6
Alex Freeland	3						1	3	$6,400 $2,500 $10	6.8	2.0	-4.8
Miguel Rojas	1								$3,600 — —	—	0.0
Will Smith	1							1	$7,600 $2,900 $16	—	-0.5
Andy Pages	1							1	$8,600 $4,000 $17	—	0.0
TOTALS	29	3	1			1	7	12		78.2	25.5

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	7.0	6	3	7	2	0	28	$9,500 $10,900 $57	18.8	19.0	+0.1
Tanner Scott	1.0		0	1	1	0	4	$4,000 — —	—	3.7

San Francisco Giants — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Willy Adames	4	1						2	$4,400 $2,900 $16	8.3	5.0	-3.3
Luis Arraez	4	1							$4,100 $2,800 $13	7.1	5.0	-2.1
Matt Chapman	2						2	1	$7,400 $2,900 $14	7.1	6.0	-1.1
Rafael Devers	4	1				1		2	$5,200 $2,700 $15	7.7	5.0	-2.7
Casey Schmitt	3					1			$5,200 — $13	7.5	2.0	-5.5
Jung Hoo Lee	3	2				1			$5,800 $2,600 $12	6.5	8.0	+1.5
Heliot Ramos	3	1							$3,100 $2,800 $14	6.5	3.0	-3.5
Drew Gilbert	3							2	$2,100 $2,600 $11	6.1	0.0	-6.1
Patrick Bailey	2						1	1	$2,200 $2,300 $7	5.8	2.0	-3.8
TOTALS	28	6				3	3	8		62.5	36.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Landen Roupp	4.2	1	1	7	5	0	20	$10,600 $9,500 $37	13.9	23.7	+9.7
Ryan Borucki	1.0	1	0	1		0	4	$4,000 — —	3.0	3.7	+0.6
Matt Gage	0.2		0		1	0	3	$4,000 — —	3.0	0.9	-2.1
Erik Miller	1.0	1	0	1	1	0	5	$4,000 — —	3.1	3.1	-0.1
Keaton Winn	0.1		0	1		0	1	$6,600 — —	2.7	2.8	+0.1
Ryan Walker	1.0		0	2		0	3	$4,000 — —	5.0	6.3	+1.2