St. Louis Cardinals

49% win

pred 4.7

Kyle Leahy

FINAL

Miami Marlins

51% win

pred 4.7

Janson Junk

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	4
MIA	0	2	0	1	1	0	0	0		4	12

2026-04-22 · 12:10 PM ET loanDepot park 0°F

Predictions

Miami Marlins

ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 55%

-143 · $70 per $100

WIN

St. Louis Cardinals +1.5

RL · 1.5 off line

-173 · $58 per $100

LOSS

OVER 8.5

TOTAL · Proj 9.5 vs Line 8.5

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

Miami Marlins ML + St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 + OVER 8.5

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+412 · $412 per $100

LOSS

STL 49% 51% MIA

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	80.5%	19.5%
6.5	72.3%	27.7%
7.5	62.0%	38.0%
8.5	54.0%	46.0%
9.5	45.4%	54.6%
10.5	38.0%	62.0%
11.5	30.4%	69.6%
12.5	24.2%	75.8%

Run Line (margin)

Line	MIA covers	STL covers
MIA -1.5	35.9%	36.4%
MIA -2.5	25.2%	26.5%
MIA -3.5	17.4%	18.7%

Team Totals

Line	MIA	STL
O 3.5	61.1%	61.1%
O 4.5	48.3%	47.4%
O 5.5	35.1%	35.7%
O 6.5	25.4%	26.1%

Odds

moneyline MIA 51% · -143 · $70 per $100

Book	STL	Impl%	MIA	Impl%
DraftKings	+119	43.7%	-143	56.3%
FanDuel	+116	44.6%	-136	55.4%
BetMGM	+118	43.7%	-145	56.3%
Caesars	+118	44%	-140	56%

runline St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 · -173 · $58 per $100

MIA -1.5: MIA 4.7 − 1.5 = 3.2 vs STL 4.7 no bet

STL +1.5: STL 4.7 + 1.5 = 6.2 vs MIA 4.7 BET ✗

Book	STL		MIA
DraftKings	+1.5	-175	-1.5	+144
FanDuel	+1.5	-176	-1.5	+146
BetMGM	+1.5	-170	-1.5	+140
Caesars	+1.5	-170	-1.5	+143

total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 8.5 -105	U 8.5 -115
FanDuel	O 8.5 +100	U 8.5 -122
BetMGM	O 8.5 -105	U 8.5 -115
Caesars	O 8.5 -105	U 8.5 -115

Player Projections actual (projected)

St. Louis Cardinals

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
JJ Wetherholt	SS	1.1	0.2	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.4	0.9	9.8	—
Iván Herrera	C	1.1	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.4	0.9	8.7	—
Nolan Gorman	2B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.3	1.1	8.7	—
Ramón Urías	3B	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.9	8.1	—
José Fermín	2B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.8	7.6	—
Nathan Church	LF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.2	0.9	7.3	—
Victor Scott II	CF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.3	0.8	7.2	—
Pedro Pagés	C	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.2	0.9	7.1	—
Thomas Saggese	2B	0.9	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.0	0.2	0.9	6.5	—
Matt Svanson	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.9	4.4	—
Ryan Fernandez	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.6	3.5	—
JoJo Romero	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	3.1	—
Ryne Stanek	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.8	—
Riley O'Brien	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.5	—
Justin Bruihl	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.5	—
George Soriano	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.8	1.8	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Kyle Leahy	Starter	5.6	4.8	5.8	2.3	3.0	45%	100%	13.2	—

Miami Marlins

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Jakob Marsee	CF	1.0	0.1	0.7	0.5	0.4	0.5	0.9	10.2	—
Xavier Edwards	SS	1.2	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.3	0.4	0.7	9.6	—
Liam Hicks	C	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.4	0.7	8.6	—
Otto Lopez	2B	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.7	8.4	—
Agustín Ramírez	C	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.8	8.1	—
Owen Caissie	RF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.1	7.3	—
Heriberto Hernández	LF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.8	7.2	—
Javier Sanoja	2B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.6	6.9	—
Leo Jiménez	SS	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.0	0.3	0.8	6.4	—
Tyler Phillips	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.7	4.3	—
Anthony Bender	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.7	4.2	—
Pete Fairbanks	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	3.8	—
Calvin Faucher	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	3.1	—
Andrew Nardi	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.0	—
John King	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.6	—
Michael Petersen	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	2.2	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Janson Junk	Starter	5.4	5.0	5.7	1.6	2.8	48%	100%	14.1	—

Box Score

St. Louis Cardinals — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
JJ Wetherholt	4	0		0	0		2	$9,400 $3,300 $18	9.8	-1.0	-10.8
Iván Herrera	4	1		1	1			$7,600 $2,900 $16	8.7	12.0	+3.3
Nolan Gorman	3	1	1	0	0	1		$6,600 $2,800 $12	8.7	7.0	-1.7
Ramón Urías	4							$5,800 $2,500 $8	8.1	0.0	-8.1
José Fermín	4						1	$4,000 $2,200 $7	7.6	-0.5	-8.1
Nathan Church	3	1		0	0	1	2	$5,200 $2,400 $10	7.3	4.0	-3.3
Thomas Saggese	3	0		0	0		1	$3,800 $2,400 $8	6.5	-0.5	-7.0
Pedro Pagés	3	1					1	$4,600 $2,500 $12	7.1	2.5	-4.6
Victor Scott II	3	0		0	0		2	$4,800 $2,400 $9	7.2	-1.0	-8.2
TOTALS	31	4	1	1	1	2	9		70.8	22.5

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Kyle Leahy	4.2	8	4	2	3	25	$10,600 $7,200 $26	13.2	-0.1	-13.3
Gordon Graceffo	0.2	2	0			4	— — —	—	0.3
Matt Svanson	1.0		0	1		3	— — —	4.4	4.3	0.0
Ryan Fernandez	1.0	2	0	2		6	— — —	3.5	5.1	+1.6

Miami Marlins — Hitting

Player	AB	H	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Jakob Marsee	4	1	0	2	1		$7,800 $2,900 $16	10.2	9.0	-1.2
Xavier Edwards	5	0	0	0		1	$8,200 $3,300 $17	9.6	-0.5	-10.1
Otto Lopez	4	1	0	0		2	$7,200 $3,500 $16	8.4	2.0	-6.4
Liam Hicks	4	1	0	0			$7,400 $3,400 $16	8.6	3.0	-5.6
Agustín Ramírez	3	2	0	1	1		$7,000 $2,800 $15	8.1	10.0	+1.9
Heriberto Hernández	4	2					$5,000 $2,600 $10	7.2	6.0	-1.2
Owen Caissie	4	1	0	1		2	$6,200 $2,800 $12	7.3	4.0	-3.3
Leo Jiménez	0				1		$3,200 $2,000 $7	6.4	—
Javier Sanoja	4	3	0	0			$5,600 — $10	6.9	9.0	+2.1
Graham Pauley	2	1					$4,200 $2,300 $10	—	3.0
TOTALS	34	12		4	3	5		72.8	45.5

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Janson Junk	4.2	1	0	2	1	0	17	$11,400 $7,400 $28	14.1	13.3	-0.8
Andrew Nardi	1.0	1	0	2		0	4	— — —	3.0	5.7	+2.7
Anthony Bender	1.0	1	0	1		0	4	— — —	4.2	3.7	-0.5
Michael Petersen	1.0		0	3		0	3	— — —	2.2	8.3	+6.1
Lake Bachar	0.1	1	1		1	1	3	— — —	—	-3.1
Pete Fairbanks	0.2		0	1		0	2	— — —	3.8	3.5	-0.3

Player Props

Player	Prop	Side	Line	Odds	Proj	Edge	Actual	Result
Janson Junk	outs recorded	UNDER	16.5	-114	13.60	37.9%	14	HIT
Pedro Pages	total bases	OVER	0.5	-150	2.14	+37.5%	—	—
Liam Hicks	rbis	OVER	0.5	+157	1.00	+35.0%	0	MISS
Pedro Pages	runs	OVER	0.5	+180	0.80	+32.2%	—	—
Liam Hicks	total bases	OVER	1.5	+134	2.14	+32.0%	1	MISS
Pedro Pages	hits	OVER	0.5	-160	1.33	+26.0%	—	—
Liam Hicks	runs	OVER	0.5	+127	0.81	+25.2%	—	—
Kyle Leahy	walks allowed	OVER	1.5	-183	2.67	+25.1%	3	HIT
Javier Sanoja	runs	OVER	0.5	+149	0.72	+24.3%	—	—
Owen Caissie	total bases	OVER	0.5	-150	1.40	+23.6%	1	HIT
Kyle Leahy	strikeouts	UNDER	3.5	-104	2.39	23.0%	2	HIT
Xavier Edwards	runs	OVER	0.5	+102	0.87	+23.0%	—	—
Xavier Edwards	total bases	OVER	1.5	+115	1.97	+23.0%	0	MISS
Pedro Pages	rbis	OVER	0.5	+237	0.51	+22.7%	—	—
Javier Sanoja	total bases	OVER	0.5	-165	1.40	+21.0%	3	HIT
Nolan Gorman	rbis	OVER	0.5	+191	0.54	+19.8%	0	MISS
Javier Sanoja	hits	OVER	0.5	-182	1.20	+19.1%	3	HIT
Otto Lopez	runs	OVER	0.5	+115	0.71	+18.1%	—	—
Liam Hicks	hits	OVER	0.5	-239	1.35	+18.0%	1	HIT
Otto Lopez	total bases	OVER	1.5	+104	1.84	+16.4%	1	MISS
Kyle Leahy	outs recorded	UNDER	14.5	+120	14.00	15.5%	14	HIT
Owen Caissie	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-324	0.36	+15.1%	1	MISS
Thomas Saggese	total bases	UNDER	1.5	-210	0.66	14.2%	0	HIT
Xavier Edwards	hits	UNDER	1.5	-243	1.45	+14.1%	0	HIT
Nathan Church	runs	OVER	0.5	+153	0.51	+13.8%	—	—
Nolan Gorman	total bases	OVER	0.5	-190	1.24	+13.8%	2	HIT
Jakob Marsee	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-578	0.36	+12.8%	—	—
Victor Scott II	runs	UNDER	0.5	-223	0.47	+12.4%	—	—
Owen Caissie	runs	UNDER	0.5	-215	0.48	+12.3%	—	—
Ivan Herrera	hits	UNDER	1.5	-225	0.87	12.2%	—	—
Liam Hicks	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.23	+12.2%	0	HIT
Nathan Church	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-300	0.32	+12.0%	0	HIT
Pedro Pages	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.23	+11.3%	—	—
JJ Wetherholt	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-328	0.26	+11.0%	0	HIT
Xavier Edwards	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-592	0.09	10.8%	—	—
Agustín Ramírez	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-224	0.42	+10.6%	1	MISS
Nolan Gorman	runs	OVER	0.5	+125	0.53	+10.3%	—	—
Javier Sanoja	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-331	0.24	+10.3%	0	HIT
Janson Junk	strikeouts	OVER	3.5	-148	4.33	+9.8%	2	MISS
Victor Scott II	total bases	OVER	0.5	-125	0.83	+9.8%	0	MISS
Agustín Ramírez	runs	UNDER	0.5	-187	0.49	+9.7%	—	—
Jose Fermin	hits	OVER	0.5	-203	0.57	9.4%	—	—
Thomas Saggese	hits	OVER	0.5	-211	0.59	9.3%	0	MISS
Nathan Church	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.11	9.1%	—	—
Otto Lopez	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-220	0.39	+9.0%	0	HIT
JJ Wetherholt	total bases	UNDER	1.5	-171	1.50	+9.0%	0	HIT
Janson Junk	walks allowed	UNDER	1.5	-170	1.50	+8.8%	1	HIT
Pedro Pages	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.19	+8.8%	—	—
JJ Wetherholt	runs	OVER	0.5	+109	0.56	+8.8%	—	—
Jose Fermin	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	8.7%	—	—
Owen Caissie	hits	OVER	0.5	-145	0.80	+8.5%	1	HIT
Victor Scott II	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.14	8.3%	—	—
Ivan Herrera	total bases	UNDER	1.5	-137	1.18	7.4%	—	—
Xavier Edwards	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-302	0.21	+7.4%	0	HIT
Nolan Gorman	hits	OVER	0.5	-180	0.88	+7.1%	1	HIT
Thomas Saggese	runs	UNDER	0.5	-230	0.35	+7.0%	—	—
Janson Junk	hits allowed	UNDER	5.5	-140	5.00	6.5%	1	HIT
Ivan Herrera	runs	OVER	0.5	+107	0.52	+6.4%	—	—
Nathan Church	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.15	+6.3%	0	HIT
Ivan Herrera	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-259	0.25	+6.2%	—	—
Nathan Church	total bases	UNDER	1.5	-186	1.37	+6.2%	1	HIT
Jakob Marsee	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-344	0.11	+5.6%	2	MISS
Victor Scott II	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-379	0.06	+5.3%	0	HIT
JJ Wetherholt	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.16	+4.6%	0	HIT
Jose Fermin	runs	UNDER	0.5	-209	0.34	+4.4%	—	—
Victor Scott II	hits	OVER	0.5	-169	0.78	+4.1%	0	MISS
Ivan Herrera	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.05	3.8%	—	—
Agustín Ramírez	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.05	3.6%	—	—
Ivan Herrera	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	3.6%	—	—
Otto Lopez	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.10	+3.1%	0	HIT
Owen Caissie	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.05	3.1%	—	—
JJ Wetherholt	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-1200	0.19	+3.0%	—	—
Thomas Saggese	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	2.9%	0	HIT
Jose Fermin	total bases	OVER	0.5	-200	0.77	2.8%	—	—
Jose Fermin	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-329	0.06	+2.8%	—	—
Otto Lopez	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-1160	0.19	+2.7%	—	—
Xavier Edwards	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.05	+2.7%	0	HIT
Agustín Ramírez	hits	OVER	0.5	-248	0.81	2.6%	2	HIT
Jakob Marsee	runs	UNDER	0.5	-135	0.49	+2.5%	—	—
Thomas Saggese	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	2.5%	—	—
Jakob Marsee	hits	OVER	0.5	-245	0.81	2.4%	1	HIT
Thomas Saggese	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-298	0.09	+2.2%	0	HIT
JJ Wetherholt	hits	OVER	0.5	-253	0.93	+2.1%	0	MISS
Nolan Gorman	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	1.9%	—	—
Javier Sanoja	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	1.9%	0	HIT
Jose Fermin	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	1.9%	—	—
Nolan Gorman	home runs	UNDER	1.5	-110	0.12	1.8%	0	HIT
Jakob Marsee	total bases	UNDER	1.5	-174	1.19	1.7%	1	HIT
Agustín Ramírez	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.10	1.3%	0	HIT
Javier Sanoja	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.13	+1.3%	—	—
Kyle Leahy	hits allowed	UNDER	5.5	-142	5.33	+1.1%	8	MISS
Agustín Ramírez	total bases	UNDER	1.5	-163	1.25	1.1%	2	MISS
Owen Caissie	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.11	0.6%	0	HIT
Otto Lopez	hits	UNDER	1.5	-224	1.19	+0.5%	1	HIT
Victor Scott II	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	+0.5%	0	HIT
Jakob Marsee	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.05	+0.4%	0	HIT
Liam Hicks	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.05	+0.3%	—	—
Nathan Church	hits	OVER	0.5	-241	0.85	0.3%	1	HIT