Cleveland Guardians

53% win

pred 5.3

Joey Cantillo

FINAL

Kansas City Royals

48% win

pred 4.8

Cole Ragans

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	3	6
KC	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4

2026-05-06 · 7:40 PM ET Kauffman Stadium 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Petey Halpin	CF	10.0	$2.0k	5.0
Austin Hedges	C	12.0	$2.5k	4.8
Chase DeLauter	RF	12.0	$4.5k	2.7
Starling Marte	RF	5.0	$2.4k	2.1
Daniel Schneemann	CF	7.0	$3.4k	2.1
Cade Smith	RP	7.7	$4.0k	1.9
Maikel Garcia	3B	8.0	$4.5k	1.8
Joey Cantillo	SP	11.7	$7.3k	1.6
Erik Sabrowski	RP	6.4	$4.0k	1.6
Matt Festa	RP	6.3	$4.0k	1.6
Cole Ragans	SP	13.0	$8.8k	1.5
Eric Cerantola	RP	5.1	$4.0k	1.3
Salvador Perez	C	4.0	$3.3k	1.2
Angel Martínez	OF	4.0	$4.3k	0.9
Lane Thomas	CF	2.0	$2.2k	0.9
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	3.0	$4.0k	0.8
David Fry	RF	2.0	$2.8k	0.7
Brayan Rocchio	SS	2.0	$2.9k	0.7
José Ramírez	3B	4.0	$5.8k	0.7
Nick Loftin	3B	2.0	$3.1k	0.7
John Schreiber	RP	2.6	$4.0k	0.6
Hunter Gaddis	RP	0.9	$4.0k	0.2
Alex Lange	RP	0.4	$4.0k	0.1

Best Bets

Cleveland Guardians

ML ★ · +7.6% edge

+113 · $100 bet · $113 profit

Model: 53% vs Market: 45%

WIN

OVER 7.5

TOTAL ★★ · +2.6 off line

-110 · $200 bet · $182 profit

Model: 10.1 vs Line: 7.5

LOSS

Cleveland Guardians + OVER 7.5

SGP ★★ · 2-leg same-game parlay

+307 · $200 bet · $614 profit

LOSS

Predictions

Cleveland Guardians

ML · Model 53% vs Mkt 45%

+113 · $113 per $100

WIN

Cleveland Guardians +1.5

RL · 2.1 off line

-110 · $91 per $100

WIN

OVER 7.5

TOTAL · Proj 10.1 vs Line 7.5

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

Cleveland Guardians ML + Cleveland Guardians +1.5 + OVER 7.5

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+676 · $676 per $100

LOSS

CLE 53% 48% KC

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	84.0%	16.0%
6.5	78.6%	21.4%
7.5	68.0%	32.0%
8.5	60.5%	39.5%
9.5	50.6%	49.4%
10.5	43.2%	56.8%
11.5	32.9%	67.1%
12.5	26.7%	73.3%

Run Line (margin)

Line	KC covers	CLE covers
KC -1.5	32.7%	40.6%
KC -2.5	23.5%	31.7%
KC -3.5	15.5%	23.9%

Team Totals

Line	KC	CLE
O 3.5	61.4%	67.0%
O 4.5	47.2%	54.6%
O 5.5	37.4%	42.1%
O 6.5	26.8%	31.6%

Odds

moneyline CLE 53% · +113 · $113 per $100

Book	CLE	Impl%	KC	Impl%
DraftKings	+113	44.9%	-136	55.1%

runline Cleveland Guardians +1.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

KC -1.5: KC 4.8 − 1.5 = 3.3 vs CLE 5.3 no bet

CLE +1.5: CLE 5.3 + 1.5 = 6.8 vs KC 4.8 BET ✓

Book	CLE		KC
DraftKings	+1.5	-110	-1.5	-110

total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 7.5 -102	U 7.5 -118

Player Projections actual (projected)

Cleveland Guardians

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Chase DeLauter	RF	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.0	0.5	0.9	9.5	—
José Ramírez	3B	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.4	0.9	9.4	—
Angel Martínez	CF	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.1	0.4	1.1	9.3	—
Rhys Hoskins	1B	0.8	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.5	1.2	8.7	—
David Fry	1B	0.8	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.5	1.2	8.5	—
Daniel Schneemann	2B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.4	1.2	8.0	—
Brayan Rocchio	SS	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.9	7.5	—
Petey Halpin	CF	0.8	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.0	7.3	—
Austin Hedges	C	0.7	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.1	7.0	—
Colin Holderman	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	4.4	—
Matt Festa	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.8	—
Connor Brogdon	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.5	—
Hunter Gaddis	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.4	—
Peyton Pallette	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.8	—
Tim Herrin	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.7	—
Erik Sabrowski	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.7	1.6	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Joey Cantillo	Starter	5.4	5.1	5.3	2.2	2.9	46%	100%	13.8	—

Kansas City Royals

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	1.1	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.4	1.0	10.1	—
Maikel Garcia	3B	1.1	0.1	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.4	0.9	9.4	—
Lane Thomas	CF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.5	1.0	9.0	—
Starling Marte	LF	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.9	8.3	—
Isaac Collins	LF	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.4	1.0	7.7	—
Salvador Perez	C	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.0	7.6	—
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.9	7.5	—
Elias Díaz	C	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.9	6.9	—
Nick Loftin	LF	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.0	0.4	0.8	6.7	—
Luinder Avila	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.1	4.5	—
Nick Mears	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	4.1	—
Matt Strahm	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.3	—
Alex Lange	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.6	3.2	—
Lucas Erceg	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	2.9	—
John Schreiber	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.3	—
Daniel Lynch IV	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.2	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Cole Ragans	Starter	6.0	6.5	5.6	2.8	3.4	46%	100%	16.5	—

Box Score

Cleveland Guardians — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Angel Martínez	4	1			1	2	$4,300 $3,000 $14	9.3	4.0	-5.3
Chase DeLauter	4	2	1	2		1	$4,500 $3,300 $14	9.5	12.0	+2.5
José Ramírez	2				2		$5,800 $3,800 $19	9.4	4.0	-5.4
Rhys Hoskins	3					2	$2,800 $2,800 $13	8.7	0.0	-8.7
David Fry	4			1		1	$2,800 $2,400 $11	8.5	2.0	-6.5
Daniel Schneemann	3	1	1		1	1	$3,400 — $13	8.0	7.0	-1.0
Brayan Rocchio	3				1		$2,900 $2,800 $13	7.5	2.0	-5.5
Austin Hedges	3	1			1		$2,500 $2,700 $10	7.0	12.0	+5.0
Petey Halpin	4	1				1	$2,000 $2,000 $7	7.3	10.0	+2.7
Kyle Manzardo	1						$2,600 — —	—	0.0
TOTALS	31	6	2	3	6	8		75.0	53.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Joey Cantillo	4.2	3	1	1	3	20	$7,300 $8,600 $38	13.8	11.7	-2.1
Matt Festa	1.0		0	2		3	$4,000 — —	3.8	6.3	+2.4
Erik Sabrowski	1.1		0	2	1	5	$4,000 — —	1.6	6.4	+4.8
Hunter Gaddis	0.2		0		1	3	$4,000 — —	3.4	0.9	-2.5
Cade Smith	1.0	1	0	3		4	$4,000 — —	—	7.7

Kansas City Royals — Hitting

Player	AB	H	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Maikel Garcia	3	2		1		$4,500 $3,000 $17	9.4	8.0	-1.4
Bobby Witt Jr.	4				1	$6,100 $3,400 $20	10.1	-0.5	-10.6
Lane Thomas	2			1		$2,200 $2,600 $11	9.0	2.0	-7.0
Salvador Perez	2		1	1	2	$3,300 $2,700 $14	7.6	4.0	-3.6
Vinnie Pasquantino	5	1			1	$4,000 $2,900 $16	7.5	3.0	-4.5
Starling Marte	2	1		1		$2,400 $2,400 $10	8.3	5.0	-3.3
Isaac Collins	4				2	$2,600 $2,700 $13	7.7	0.0	-7.7
Nick Loftin	2			1	1	$3,100 $2,800 $11	6.7	2.0	-4.7
Elias Díaz	3					$2,400 $2,000 $9	6.9	0.0	-6.9
Jac Caglianone	1					$3,200 — —	—	0.0
Kyle Isbel	1				1	$2,700 — —	—	0.0
TOTALS	29	4	1	5	8		73.1	23.5

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Cole Ragans	3.0	1	0	4	2	13	$8,800 $8,400 $40	16.5	13.0	-3.5
Luinder Avila	1.2	2	2	2	2	9	$6,800 — —	4.5	1.3	-3.2
John Schreiber	1.2	2	0			6	$4,000 — —	2.3	2.6	+0.3
Alex Lange	1.1		1		1	5	$4,000 — —	3.2	0.4	-2.8
Eric Cerantola	0.2	1	0	2	1	4	$4,000 — —	—	5.1