St. Louis Cardinals

38% win

pred 4.4

Matthew Liberatore

FINAL

San Diego Padres

63% win

pred 5.4

Michael King

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	5
SD	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4

2026-05-07 · 10:10 PM ET Petco Park 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Alec Burleson	1B	16.0	$4.4k	3.6
Matthew Liberatore	SP	23.9	$6.7k	3.6
Masyn Winn	SS	10.0	$3.5k	2.9
Michael King	SP	21.7	$8.5k	2.6
Jordan Walker	RF	12.0	$5.4k	2.2
Xander Bogaerts	SS	5.0	$4.2k	1.2
Fernando Tatis Jr.	2B/OF	5.5	$4.7k	1.2
Victor Scott II	OF	2.5	$2.2k	1.1
Riley O'Brien	RP	4.3	$4.0k	1.1
JoJo Romero	RP	4.3	$4.0k	1.1
George Soriano	RP	3.7	$4.0k	0.9
Manny Machado	3B	4.0	$4.5k	0.9
Miguel Andujar	3B	3.0	$3.4k	0.9
JJ Wetherholt	2B	4.0	$4.9k	0.8
Bradgley Rodriguez	RP	3.1	$4.0k	0.8
Nolan Gorman	3B	2.0	$3.3k	0.6
Jackson Merrill	CF	2.0	$4.5k	0.4
Ramón Laureano	OF	1.5	$4.0k	0.4
Jason Adam	RP	1.1	$4.0k	0.3
Iván Herrera	C	1.0	$4.0k	0.3
Wandy Peralta	RP	0.5	$4.0k	0.1

Best Bets

OVER 8.0

TOTAL ★ · +1.8 off line

-110 · $100 bet · $91 profit

Model: 9.8 vs Line: 8.0

LOSS

Predictions

San Diego Padres

ML · Model 63% vs Mkt 60%

-169 · $59 per $100

LOSS

St. Louis Cardinals +1.5

RL · 0.4 off line

-110 · $91 per $100

WIN

OVER 8.0

TOTAL · Proj 9.8 vs Line 8.0

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

San Diego Padres ML + St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 + OVER 8.0

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+480 · $480 per $100

LOSS

STL 38% 63% SD

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	83.5%	16.5%
6.5	75.7%	24.3%
7.5	65.5%	34.5%
8.5	58.2%	41.8%
9.5	47.9%	52.1%
10.5	40.2%	59.8%
11.5	32.6%	67.4%
12.5	26.3%	73.7%

Run Line (margin)

Line	SD covers	STL covers
SD -1.5	46.6%	27.3%
SD -2.5	33.5%	18.5%
SD -3.5	25.7%	12.0%

Team Totals

Line	SD	STL
O 3.5	70.8%	56.7%
O 4.5	58.1%	41.9%
O 5.5	45.7%	29.9%
O 6.5	32.9%	20.2%

Odds

moneyline SD 63% · -169 · $59 per $100

Book	STL	Impl%	SD	Impl%
DraftKings	+139	40%	-169	60%

runline St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

SD -1.5: SD 5.4 − 1.5 = 3.9 vs STL 4.4 no bet

STL +1.5: STL 4.4 + 1.5 = 5.9 vs SD 5.4 BET ✓

Book	STL		SD
DraftKings	+1.5	-110	-1.5	-110

total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 8.0 -110	U 8.0 -110

Player Projections actual (projected)

St. Louis Cardinals

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
JJ Wetherholt	SS	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.4	1.1	8.6	—
Iván Herrera	C	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.5	1.1	8.2	—
Jordan Walker	RF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.4	1.2	8.0	—
Alec Burleson	1B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.9	7.9	—
Nolan Gorman	2B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.2	7.4	—
Masyn Winn	SS	0.9	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.9	7.0	—
Nathan Church	LF	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.0	6.7	—
Pedro Pagés	C	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.0	0.3	1.1	6.6	—
Victor Scott II	CF	0.7	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.4	1.0	6.4	—
Ryne Stanek	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.3	—
Riley O'Brien	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.9	—
George Soriano	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	2.8	—
Jared Shuster	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.8	—
JoJo Romero	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.5	—
Matt Svanson	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	2.3	—
Gordon Graceffo	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.0	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Matthew Liberatore	Starter	5.8	5.1	6.7	2.0	3.7	34%	100%	11.8	—

San Diego Padres

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Miguel Andujar	LF	1.3	0.1	0.7	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.8	9.7	—
Xander Bogaerts	SS	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.1	0.4	0.8	9.6	—
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.4	0.9	9.4	—
Jackson Merrill	CF	1.1	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.9	9.3	—
Manny Machado	3B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.4	0.8	9.2	—
Ramón Laureano	RF	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.9	8.8	—
Ty France	1B	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.7	8.2	—
Nick Castellanos	RF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.9	7.8	—
Ron Marinaccio	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.7	4.2	—
Jason Adam	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	4.1	—
Jeremiah Estrada	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.7	4.1	—
Wandy Peralta	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.4	—
Adrian Morejon	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.5	—
Mason Miller	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.3	—
Bradgley Rodriguez	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	1.9	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Michael King	Starter	5.9	6.1	5.4	2.3	2.8	60%	100%	17.9	—

Box Score

St. Louis Cardinals — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
JJ Wetherholt	2						2		$4,900 $3,700 $18	8.6	4.0	-4.6
Iván Herrera	3						1	2	$7,200 $3,300 $18	8.2	1.0	-7.2
Alec Burleson	3	1			1	1	1		$7,800 $3,300 $17	7.9	16.0	+8.1
Jordan Walker	4	2	2						$9,400 $4,200 $20	8.0	12.0	+4.0
Nolan Gorman	3						1	3	$3,300 $2,800 $13	7.4	2.0	-5.4
Masyn Winn	4	1		1		1			$3,500 $3,000 $14	7.0	10.0	+3.0
Nathan Church	4							1	$5,800 $2,800 $12	6.7	0.0	-6.7
Pedro Pagés	4							1	$5,200 $2,700 $11	6.6	-0.5	-7.1
Victor Scott II	3	1						1	$3,400 $2,300 $9	6.4	2.5	-3.9
TOTALS	30	5	2	1	1	2	5	8		66.7	47.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Matthew Liberatore	4.2	3	1	6	3	20	$10,600 $7,600 $25	11.8	23.9	+12.1
George Soriano	0.2	1	0	1		3	$4,000 — —	2.8	3.7	+0.8
JoJo Romero	0.2		0	1		2	$4,000 — —	2.5	4.3	+1.8
Riley O'Brien	1.0		0	1		3	$4,000 — —	2.9	4.3	+1.3

San Diego Padres — Hitting

Player	AB	H	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Jackson Merrill	3			1	1	$8,200 $3,100 $17	9.3	2.0	-7.3
Miguel Andujar	4	1			2	$3,400 $2,800 $14	9.7	3.0	-6.7
Manny Machado	3			1		$8,000 $3,000 $16	9.2	4.0	-5.2
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3	2			1	$4,700 $2,900 $16	9.4	5.5	-3.9
Xander Bogaerts	3	1	1		1	$7,600 $3,100 $18	9.6	5.0	-4.6
Ramón Laureano	3			1	1	$4,000 $3,100 $17	8.8	1.5	-7.3
Ty France	3				1	$3,800 $2,800 $9	8.2	0.0	-8.2
Nick Castellanos	3				2	$5,000 $2,300 $8	7.8	0.0	-7.8
TOTALS	25	4	1	3	9		72.0	21.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Michael King	6.0	1	1	6	2	1	21	$12,400 $10,300 $44	17.9	21.7	+3.8
Bradgley Rodriguez	1.0	2	1	2		0	5	$4,000 — —	1.9	3.1	+1.2
Wandy Peralta	0.1	1	0		2	0	4	$4,000 — —	3.4	0.5	-3.0
Jason Adam	1.0	1	0		1	0	5	$4,000 — —	4.1	1.1	-3.1