St. Louis Cardinals

51% win

pred 4.9

Michael McGreevy

FINAL

San Diego Padres

49% win

pred 4.6

Griffin Canning

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	6	11
SD	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1

2026-05-08 · 9:45 PM ET Petco Park 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Iván Herrera	C	12.0	$3.9k	3.1
Nathan Church	OF	6.0	$3.0k	2.0
Alec Burleson	1B	7.0	$4.5k	1.6
JJ Wetherholt	2B	6.5	$4.9k	1.3
Masyn Winn	SS	4.5	$3.4k	1.3
Nolan Gorman	3B	4.0	$3.2k	1.3
Victor Scott II	OF	2.0	$2.4k	0.8
Jordan Walker	OF	3.0	$5.4k	0.6
Gavin Sheets	1B	1.5	$3.0k	0.5
Jackson Merrill	OF	2.0	$4.5k	0.4
Fernando Tatis Jr.	2B/OF	2.0	$4.7k	0.4

Best Bets

St. Louis Cardinals

ML ★★ · +8.5% edge

+123 · $200 bet · $246 profit

Model: 51% vs Market: 43%

WIN

OVER 8.0

TOTAL ★ · +1.5 off line

-110 · $100 bet · $91 profit

Model: 9.5 vs Line: 8.0

LOSS

St. Louis Cardinals + OVER 8.0

SGP ★★ · 2-leg same-game parlay

+326 · $200 bet · $652 profit

LOSS

Predictions

St. Louis Cardinals

ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 43%

+123 · $123 per $100

WIN

St. Louis Cardinals +1.5

RL · 1.8 off line

-110 · $91 per $100

WIN

OVER 8.0

TOTAL · Proj 9.5 vs Line 8.0

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

St. Louis Cardinals ML + St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 + OVER 8.0

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+713 · $713 per $100

LOSS

STL 51% 49% SD

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	81.9%	18.1%
6.5	75.3%	24.7%
7.5	63.2%	36.8%
8.5	55.6%	44.4%
9.5	45.4%	54.6%
10.5	37.7%	62.3%
11.5	29.5%	70.5%
12.5	23.0%	77.0%

Run Line (margin)

Line	SD covers	STL covers
SD -1.5	34.4%	37.3%
SD -2.5	22.8%	28.0%
SD -3.5	15.5%	19.5%

Team Totals

Line	SD	STL
O 3.5	60.1%	64.0%
O 4.5	45.7%	49.4%
O 5.5	34.2%	37.3%
O 6.5	23.9%	25.8%

Odds

moneyline STL 51% · +123 · $123 per $100

Book	STL	Impl%	SD	Impl%
DraftKings	+123	42.8%	-149	57.2%

runline St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

SD -1.5: SD 4.6 − 1.5 = 3.1 vs STL 4.9 no bet

STL +1.5: STL 4.9 + 1.5 = 6.4 vs SD 4.6 BET ✓

Book	STL		SD
DraftKings	+1.5	-110	-1.5	-110

total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 8.0 -107	U 8.0 -112

Player Projections actual (projected)

St. Louis Cardinals

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
JJ Wetherholt	SS	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.4	0.9	9.3	—
Iván Herrera	C	1.1	0.2	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.5	1.0	9.1	—
Jordan Walker	RF	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.4	1.1	8.9	—
Alec Burleson	1B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.4	0.8	8.9	—
Nolan Gorman	2B	0.8	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.1	8.2	—
Masyn Winn	SS	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.8	8.0	—
César Prieto	2B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.8	7.4	—
Victor Scott II	CF	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.4	0.9	6.9	—
Nathan Church	LF	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.9	6.9	—
Matt Svanson	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.8	4.4	—
George Soriano	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.8	4.0	—
Jared Shuster	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.9	—
Riley O'Brien	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.9	—
Ryne Stanek	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.6	—
Gordon Graceffo	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.7	2.3	—
JoJo Romero	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.0	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Michael McGreevy	Starter	5.5	4.4	5.6	1.6	2.8	46%	100%	13.1	—

San Diego Padres

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Xander Bogaerts	SS	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.8	8.9	—
Jackson Merrill	CF	1.1	0.2	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.9	8.8	—
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.3	0.8	8.5	—
Manny Machado	3B	0.9	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.8	8.1	—
Gavin Sheets	LF	0.9	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.8	8.1	—
Miguel Andujar	LF	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.2	0.7	7.5	—
Ramón Laureano	RF	0.9	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.9	7.3	—
Freddy Fermin	C	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.0	0.3	0.7	6.3	—
Adrian Morejon	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.1	5.3	—
Mason Miller	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	4.4	—
Jeremiah Estrada	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.7	4.1	—
Ron Marinaccio	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.6	3.4	—
Wandy Peralta	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	2.3	—
Jason Adam	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.7	2.1	—
Bradgley Rodriguez	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.7	1.5	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Griffin Canning	Starter	5.2	5.1	5.3	2.1	3.0	44%	100%	13.3	—

Box Score

St. Louis Cardinals — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
JJ Wetherholt	5	1		2		1	$4,900 $3,700 $18	9.3	6.5	-2.8
Iván Herrera	5	4					$3,900 $3,300 $18	9.1	12.0	+2.9
Alec Burleson	5	2	1			2	$4,500 $3,300 $17	8.9	7.0	-1.9
Jordan Walker	3				2	2	$5,400 $4,200 $20	8.9	3.0	-5.9
Nolan Gorman	4	1		1		2	$3,200 $2,800 $14	8.2	4.0	-4.2
Masyn Winn	3	1		1		1	$3,400 $3,000 $14	8.0	4.5	-3.5
Nathan Church	5	2					$3,000 $2,800 $12	6.9	6.0	-0.9
César Prieto	4					1	$2,000 $2,000 $7	7.4	-0.5	-7.9
Victor Scott II	3				1		$2,400 $2,300 $9	6.9	2.0	-4.9
TOTALS	37	11	1	4	3	9		73.4	44.5

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	K	BB	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Michael McGreevy	5.1	1	7	2	19	$6,700 $7,700 $32	13.1	28.2	+15.1
Gordon Graceffo	1.2				5	$5,700 — —	2.3	3.8	+1.5
Ryne Stanek	1.0		1		3	$4,000 — —	2.6	4.3	+1.7

San Diego Padres — Hitting

Player	AB	H	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Jackson Merrill	4	1			2	$4,500 $3,100 $17	8.8	2.0	-6.8
Xander Bogaerts	4				2	$4,200 $3,100 $18	8.9	-1.0	-9.9
Manny Machado	4				1	$4,400 $3,000 $16	8.1	-0.5	-8.6
Gavin Sheets	2			1	1	$3,000 $2,700 $14	8.1	1.5	-6.6
Fernando Tatis Jr.	2			1		$4,700 $2,900 $15	8.5	2.0	-6.5
Miguel Andujar	3					$3,500 $2,800 $14	7.5	0.0	-7.5
Ramón Laureano	3				1	$4,100 $3,100 $16	7.3	-0.5	-7.8
Freddy Fermin	3				1	$2,500 $2,100 $8	6.3	-0.5	-6.8
TOTALS	25	1	0	2	8		63.4	3.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Griffin Canning	4.1	7	2	5	2	22	$7,400 $8,700 $35	13.3	10.4	-2.9
Yuki Matsui	2.2	3	2	2	1	12	$4,000 — —	—	3.6
Wandy Peralta	1.0	1	0			4	$4,000 — —	2.3	1.7	-0.6
Ron Marinaccio	1.0		0	2		3	$4,000 — —	3.4	6.3	+2.9