Athletics

53% win

pred 5.5

Jacob Lopez

FINAL

Seattle Mariners

48% win

pred 5

Luis Castillo

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATH	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	5	13
SEA	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	8

2026-04-21 · 9:40 PM ET T-Mobile Park 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Jeff McNeil	2B	17.0	$3.2k	5.3
Cal Raleigh	C	19.0	$4.7k	4.0
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	16.0	$4.5k	3.6
Shea Langeliers	C	19.0	$6.0k	3.2
Jacob Wilson	SS	12.0	$3.9k	3.1
Jacob Wilson	SS	11.5	$3.9k	3.0
Nick Kurtz	1B	14.0	$5.6k	2.5
Julio Rodríguez	OF	8.0	$4.3k	1.9
Rob Refsnyder	RF	5.0	$2.8k	1.8
Carlos Cortes	LF	5.0	$3.0k	1.7
Luis Castillo	SP	15.1	$9.1k	1.7
Max Muncy	3B	6.0	$3.7k	1.6
Scott Barlow	RP	5.8	$4.0k	1.5
Mitch Garver	C	3.0	$2.1k	1.4
Cole Wilcox	RP	5.5	$4.0k	1.4
Cole Young	2B	3.0	$2.4k	1.3
Jacob Lopez	SP	8.6	$6.9k	1.3
Jack Perkins	RP	8.5	$7.0k	1.2
Josh Naylor	1B	4.0	$3.6k	1.1
Zack Gelof	2B	3.0	$2.7k	1.1
Randy Arozarena	LF	3.0	$4.0k	0.8
Lawrence Butler	RF	2.0	$3.1k	0.7
Eduard Bazardo	RP	1.1	$4.0k	0.3
Hogan Harris	RP	0.8	$7.0k	0.1

Best Bets

Athletics

ML ★★ · +9.5% edge

+124 · $200 bet · $248 profit

Model: 53% vs Market: 43%

WIN

OVER 8.0

TOTAL ★★ · +2.5 off line

-110 · $200 bet · $182 profit

Model: 10.5 vs Line: 8.0

LOSS

Athletics + OVER 8.0

SGP ★★ · 2-leg same-game parlay

+328 · $200 bet · $656 profit

LOSS

Predictions

Athletics

ML · Model 53% vs Mkt 43%

+124 · $124 per $100

WIN

Athletics +1.5

RL · 2.1 off line

-170 · $59 per $100

WIN

OVER 8.0

TOTAL · Proj 10.5 vs Line 8.0

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

Athletics ML + Athletics +1.5 + OVER 8.0

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+579 · $579 per $100

LOSS

ATH 53% 48% SEA

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	85.2%	14.8%
6.5	80.1%	19.9%
7.5	70.8%	29.2%
8.5	63.6%	36.4%
9.5	53.6%	46.4%
10.5	44.9%	55.1%
11.5	35.6%	64.4%
12.5	30.8%	69.2%

Run Line (margin)

Line	SEA covers	ATH covers
SEA -1.5	33.0%	41.2%
SEA -2.5	23.3%	33.0%
SEA -3.5	16.3%	24.1%

Team Totals

Line	SEA	ATH
O 3.5	63.9%	67.6%
O 4.5	52.3%	56.2%
O 5.5	40.1%	45.2%
O 6.5	27.6%	34.1%

Odds

moneyline ATH 53% · +124 · $124 per $100

Book	ATH	Impl%	SEA	Impl%
DraftKings	+124	42.7%	-149	57.3%
FanDuel	+120	43.7%	-142	56.3%
BetMGM	+125	42.5%	-150	57.5%
Caesars	+122	43.2%	-145	56.8%

runline Athletics +1.5 · -170 · $59 per $100

SEA -1.5: SEA 5.0 − 1.5 = 3.5 vs ATH 5.5 no bet

ATH +1.5: ATH 5.5 + 1.5 = 7.0 vs SEA 5.0 BET ✓

Book	ATH		SEA
DraftKings	+1.5	-166	-1.5	+137
FanDuel	+1.5	-172	-1.5	+142
BetMGM	+1.5	-170	-1.5	+140
Caesars	+1.5	-170	-1.5	+143

total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 8.0 -112	U 8.0 -108
FanDuel	O 8.0 -115	U 8.0 -105
BetMGM	O 8.0 -115	U 8.0 -105
Caesars	O 8.0 -115	U 8.0 -105

Player Projections actual (projected)

Athletics

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Nick Kurtz	1B	1.0	0.2	0.8	0.6	0.0	0.6	1.3	10.1	—
Carlos Cortes	LF	1.1	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.3	0.8	9.3	—
Shea Langeliers	C	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.2	9.3	—
Jeff McNeil	2B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.8	8.8	—
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.0	8.5	—
Max Muncy	3B	0.8	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.0	8.4	—
Lawrence Butler	RF	0.9	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.9	8.3	—
Jacob Wilson	SS	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.2	0.7	8.1	—
Zack Gelof	2B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	1.1	7.6	—
Luis Medina	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	4.3	—
J.T. Ginn	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.8	4.2	—
Scott Barlow	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	3.3	—
Hogan Harris	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.7	—
Mark Leiter Jr.	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.6	—
Mason Barnett	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.4	—
Joel Kuhnel	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.7	2.1	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Jacob Lopez	Starter	5.4	5.8	5.0	2.9	3.1	46%	100%	14.7	—

Seattle Mariners

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Julio Rodríguez	CF	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.5	1.1	9.2	—
Randy Arozarena	LF	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.5	1.0	9.1	—
Cal Raleigh	C	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.5	1.2	8.9	—
Rob Refsnyder	RF	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.6	1.1	8.9	—
Josh Naylor	1B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.4	0.9	8.3	—
Mitch Garver	C	0.8	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.5	1.0	7.8	—
J.P. Crawford	SS	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.5	0.9	7.4	—
Cole Young	2B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.9	7.2	—
Leo Rivas	2B	0.7	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.5	1.0	6.7	—
Gabe Speier	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.6	4.2	—
Eduard Bazardo	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	3.6	—
Andrés Muñoz	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.8	—
Jose A. Ferrer	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.6	—
Casey Legumina	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	2.2	—
Cooper Criswell	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.1	—
Matt Brash	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	1.9	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Luis Castillo	Starter	5.3	5.4	5.7	2.0	3.3	43%	100%	13.3	—

Box Score

Athletics — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Nick Kurtz	4	1				1	1	$5,600 $3,100 $19	10.1	14.0	+3.9
Shea Langeliers	4	2		1	1	1	1	$6,000 $3,600 $19	9.3	19.0	+9.8
Carlos Cortes	5	1	1				1	$3,000 $2,500 $13	9.3	5.0	-4.3
Tyler Soderstrom	5	2	2		1			$4,500 $3,000 $16	8.5	16.0	+7.5
Jacob Wilson	5	2	1		2		1	$3,900 $2,700 $13	8.1	11.5	+3.4
Jeff McNeil	5	2		1	1		1	$3,200 $2,500 $11	8.8	17.0	+8.2
Max Muncy	5	2					2	$3,700 — —	—	6.0
Lawrence Butler	4					1	2	$3,100 $2,600 $13	8.3	2.0	-6.3
Zack Gelof	4	1					1	$2,700 $2,000 $8	7.6	3.0	-4.6
TOTALS	41	13	4	2	5	3	10		70.0	93.5

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Jacob Lopez	5.0	7	2	1	2	1	24	$6,900 $6,800 $26	14.7	8.6	-6.1
Scott Barlow	1.1	1	0	2	1	0	6	$4,000 — —	3.3	5.8	+2.5
Hogan Harris	0.1		0			0	1	$7,000 — —	2.7	0.8	-1.9
Jack Perkins	2.0		0	2		0	6	$7,000 — —	—	8.5

Seattle Mariners — Hitting

Player	AB	H	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Rob Refsnyder	3	1					$2,800 $2,200 $11	8.9	5.0	-3.8
Cal Raleigh	3	2	1	1	1		$4,700 $2,900 $16	8.9	19.0	+10.1
Julio Rodríguez	3	2			1		$4,300 $2,800 $16	9.2	8.0	-1.2
Josh Naylor	2			1	1		$3,600 $2,500 $15	8.3	4.0	-4.3
Randy Arozarena	4	1					$4,000 $3,500 $18	9.1	3.0	-6.1
J.P. Crawford	4					1	$2,300 $2,800 $12	7.4	0.0	-7.4
Mitch Garver	4	1				1	$2,100 $2,500 $7	7.8	3.0	-4.8
Cole Young	4	1				1	$2,400 $2,900 $12	7.2	3.0	-4.2
Leo Rivas	3						$2,100 $2,400 $8	6.7	0.0	-6.7
Luke Raley	2					2	$3,100 — —	—	0.0
Dominic Canzone	1						$2,900 — —	—	0.0
TOTALS	33	8	1	2	3	5		73.3	45.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Luis Castillo	5.0	5	2	6	2	1	22	$9,100 $7,500 $32	13.3	15.1	+1.8
Eduard Bazardo	1.0	2	1	1		0	5	$4,000 — —	3.6	1.1	-2.5
Gabe Speier	1.0	2	1			1	5	$4,000 — —	4.2	-1.0	-5.2
Cole Wilcox	2.0	4	1	3	1	0	12	$4,000 — —	—	5.5

Player Props

Player	Prop	Side	Line	Odds	Proj	Edge	Actual	Result