Boston Red Sox

54% win

pred 5.1

Sonny Gray

FINAL

Detroit Tigers

46% win

pred 4.7

Jack Flaherty

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	4
DET	0	0	0	0	0			0	0	0	4

2026-05-06 · 6:40 PM ET Comerica Park 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Caleb Durbin	3B	12.0	$2.1k	5.7
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	11.0	$3.0k	3.7
Jack Flaherty	SP	24.3	$6.7k	3.6
Marcelo Mayer	2B	7.0	$2.7k	2.6
Masataka Yoshida	LF	8.0	$3.2k	2.5
Sonny Gray	SP	15.7	$7.5k	2.1
Jarren Duran	LF	9.0	$4.5k	2.0
Riley Greene	LF	8.0	$4.3k	1.9
Matt Vierling	CF	5.0	$2.7k	1.9
Drew Anderson	RP	6.6	$4.0k	1.7
Colt Keith	3B	5.0	$3.5k	1.4
Zach McKinstry	2B	4.0	$2.9k	1.4
Zack Kelly	RP	5.1	$4.0k	1.3
Willson Contreras	1B	4.0	$4.2k	1.0
Burch Smith	RP	3.7	$4.0k	0.9
Carlos Narváez	C	2.0	$2.2k	0.9
Brant Hurter	RP	3.5	$4.0k	0.9
Spencer Torkelson	1B	2.0	$3.4k	0.6
Greg Weissert	RP	2.3	$4.0k	0.6
Kyle Finnegan	RP	1.1	$4.0k	0.3

Predictions

Boston Red Sox

ML · Model 54% vs Mkt 50%

-110 · $91 per $100

WIN

Detroit Tigers +1.5

RL · 1.1 off line

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

OVER 8.5

TOTAL · Proj 9.8 vs Line 8.5

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

Boston Red Sox ML + Detroit Tigers +1.5 + OVER 8.5

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+596 · $596 per $100

LOSS

BOS 54% 46% DET

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	81.2%	18.8%
6.5	75.4%	24.6%
7.5	66.0%	34.0%
8.5	58.9%	41.1%
9.5	48.7%	51.3%
10.5	40.4%	59.6%
11.5	32.1%	67.9%
12.5	24.5%	75.5%

Run Line (margin)

Line	DET covers	BOS covers
DET -1.5	33.2%	40.4%
DET -2.5	23.6%	29.9%
DET -3.5	16.9%	20.3%

Team Totals

Line	DET	BOS
O 3.5	60.6%	63.1%
O 4.5	47.9%	49.6%
O 5.5	34.5%	39.5%
O 6.5	23.4%	28.7%

Odds

moneyline BOS 54% · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	BOS	Impl%	DET	Impl%
DraftKings	-110	50%	-110	50%

runline Detroit Tigers +1.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

BOS -1.5: BOS 5.1 − 1.5 = 3.6 vs DET 4.7 no bet

DET +1.5: DET 4.7 + 1.5 = 6.2 vs BOS 5.1 BET ✗

Book	BOS		DET
DraftKings	-1.5	-110	+1.5	-110

total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 8.5 -112	U 8.5 -108

Player Projections actual (projected)

Boston Red Sox

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Jarren Duran	LF	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.4	1.2	9.8	—
Willson Contreras	1B	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.3	9.1	—
Trevor Story	SS	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.4	1.2	8.8	—
Wilyer Abreu	RF	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.5	1.1	8.5	—
Masataka Yoshida	LF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.4	0.8	8.4	—
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.3	1.0	8.2	—
Marcelo Mayer	3B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.0	7.5	—
Carlos Narváez	C	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.1	7.5	—
Caleb Durbin	3B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.4	0.8	7.5	—
Jovani Morán	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.9	4.4	—
Ryan Watson	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	4.0	—
Aroldis Chapman	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.5	—
Garrett Whitlock	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	3.2	—
Greg Weissert	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.2	—
Zack Kelly	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.1	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Sonny Gray	Starter	5.8	5.9	5.8	2.0	3.0	50%	100%	16.1	—

Detroit Tigers

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Kevin McGonigle	SS	1.1	0.1	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.4	0.9	9.4	—
Riley Greene	LF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.2	8.7	—
Matt Vierling	CF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.0	8.4	—
Kerry Carpenter	RF	0.9	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.1	7.9	—
Dillon Dingler	C	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.9	7.8	—
Colt Keith	2B	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.9	7.8	—
Zach McKinstry	3B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.9	7.2	—
Spencer Torkelson	1B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.0	7.0	—
Jace Jung	3B	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.3	0.0	0.4	1.0	6.0	—
Brenan Hanifee	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	3.7	—
Burch Smith	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	3.5	—
Kenley Jansen	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.4	—
Tyler Holton	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.2	—
Ricky Vanasco	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.2	—
Ty Madden	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.2	—
Enmanuel De Jesus	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	1.6	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Jack Flaherty	Starter	5.3	5.8	5.2	2.2	2.9	42%	100%	14.9	—

Box Score

Boston Red Sox — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Jarren Duran	3				2	2	$4,500 $3,000 $17	9.8	9.0	-0.8
Willson Contreras	3			1	1	3	$4,200 $3,600 $18	9.1	4.0	-5.1
Wilyer Abreu	5					3	$4,300 $3,000 $15	8.5	0.0	-8.5
Trevor Story	4					2	$3,300 $2,700 $13	8.8	0.0	-8.8
Masataka Yoshida	4	2				1	$3,200 $2,600 $13	8.4	8.0	-0.4
Ceddanne Rafaela	2				2	1	$3,000 $2,700 $13	8.2	11.0	+2.8
Marcelo Mayer	3	1			1	2	$2,700 $2,500 $10	7.5	7.0	-0.5
Carlos Narváez	2				1		$2,200 $2,500 $11	7.5	2.0	-5.5
Caleb Durbin	4	1	1	1		1	$2,100 $2,700 $12	7.5	12.0	+4.5
TOTALS	30	4	1	2	7	15		75.3	53.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	K	BB	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Sonny Gray	5.0	4	2	2	20	$7,500 $7,700 $35	16.1	15.7	-0.5
Zack Kelly	1.0		2	2	5	$4,000 — —	2.1	5.1	+2.9
Greg Weissert	1.0				3	$4,000 — —	3.2	2.3	-0.9

Detroit Tigers — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Kevin McGonigle	4						$5,300 $3,400 $18	9.4	0.0	-9.4
Matt Vierling	3	1			1		$2,700 $2,500 $11	8.4	5.0	-3.4
Colt Keith	2	1			1		$3,500 $2,600 $12	7.8	5.0	-2.8
Riley Greene	3	2	1			1	$4,300 $3,300 $17	8.7	8.0	-0.7
Dillon Dingler	3					1	$4,100 $3,300 $15	7.8	0.0	-7.8
Kerry Carpenter	2					1	$3,800 $2,700 $14	7.9	0.0	-7.9
Zach McKinstry	2				1		$2,900 $2,500 $11	7.2	4.0	-3.2
Spencer Torkelson	2				1	1	$3,400 $2,900 $14	7.0	2.0	-5.0
Jace Jung	2						$2,000 $2,000 —	6.0	0.0	-6.0
Jahmai Jones	1						$2,500 — —	—	0.0
TOTALS	24	4	1	0	4	4		70.0	24.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Jack Flaherty	5.0	3	2	10	1	21	$6,700 $7,400 $31	14.9	24.3	+9.4
Drew Anderson	1.1	1	0	3	3	8	$4,000 — —	—	6.6
Brant Hurter	0.2		0	1		2	$4,000 — —	—	3.5
Kyle Finnegan	0.2		0		2	4	$4,000 — —	—	1.1
Burch Smith	1.0		0	1	1	4	$4,000 — —	3.5	3.7	+0.2