Minnesota Twins

40% win

pred 4.6

FINAL

Cleveland Guardians

60% win

pred 5.4

Parker Messick

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	4	13
CLE						4	1	1		6	7

2026-05-08 · 7:15 PM ET Progressive Field 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Byron Buxton	OF	21.5	$5.8k	3.7
Austin Martin	OF	11.0	$3.6k	3.1
Steven Kwan	OF	7.0	$3.7k	1.9
Brooks Lee	SS	6.0	$3.2k	1.9
Austin Hedges	C	5.0	$2.8k	1.8
Ryan Jeffers	C	6.0	$4.8k	1.3
Luke Keaschall	2B	5.0	$4.3k	1.2
David Fry	OF	3.0	$3.3k	0.9
Royce Lewis	3B	3.0	$3.3k	0.9
José Ramírez	3B	5.0	$5.6k	0.9
Victor Caratini	C	1.5	$2.9k	0.5
Josh Bell	1B	1.5	$3.8k	0.4

Best Bets

OVER 7.5

TOTAL ★★ · +2.5 off line

-110 · $200 bet · $182 profit

Model: 10.0 vs Line: 7.5

WIN

Predictions

Cleveland Guardians

ML · Model 60% vs Mkt 57%

-149 · $67 per $100

WIN

Minnesota Twins +1.5

RL · 0.7 off line

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

OVER 7.5

TOTAL · Proj 10.0 vs Line 7.5

-110 · $91 per $100

WIN

Cleveland Guardians ML + Minnesota Twins +1.5 + OVER 7.5

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+509 · $509 per $100

LOSS

MIN 40% 60% CLE

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	82.9%	17.1%
6.5	75.3%	24.7%
7.5	65.6%	34.4%
8.5	57.9%	42.1%
9.5	49.4%	50.6%
10.5	41.1%	58.9%
11.5	32.9%	67.1%
12.5	26.7%	73.3%

Run Line (margin)

Line	CLE covers	MIN covers
CLE -1.5	46.8%	29.7%
CLE -2.5	34.6%	21.4%
CLE -3.5	25.0%	15.3%

Team Totals

Line	CLE	MIN
O 3.5	68.3%	59.8%
O 4.5	55.0%	46.5%
O 5.5	43.2%	33.0%
O 6.5	33.0%	23.5%

Odds

moneyline CLE 60% · -149 · $67 per $100

Book	MIN	Impl%	CLE	Impl%
DraftKings	+123	42.8%	-149	57.2%

runline Minnesota Twins +1.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

CLE -1.5: CLE 5.4 − 1.5 = 3.9 vs MIN 4.6 no bet

MIN +1.5: MIN 4.6 + 1.5 = 6.1 vs CLE 5.4 BET ✗

Book	MIN		CLE
DraftKings	+1.5	-110	-1.5	-110

total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 7.5 -102	U 7.5 -118

Player Projections actual (projected)

Minnesota Twins

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Byron Buxton	CF	1.1	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.1	0.3	1.2	9.8	—
Ryan Jeffers	C	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.0	8.5	—
Austin Martin	CF	1.1	0.1	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.4	1.0	8.3	—
Luke Keaschall	2B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.3	0.9	8.2	—
Josh Bell	1B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.9	7.3	—
Brooks Lee	3B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.2	0.9	7.2	—
Royce Lewis	3B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.2	1.0	6.7	—
Victor Caratini	C	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.9	6.7	—
Matt Wallner	RF	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.0	0.3	1.1	6.6	—
Eric Orze	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.8	4.2	—
Luis García	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	3.6	—
Kody Funderburk	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.9	—
Anthony Banda	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.6	—
Taylor Rogers	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.6	—
Justin Topa	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.2	—

Cleveland Guardians

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
José Ramírez	3B	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.2	0.5	0.7	10.4	—
Rhys Hoskins	1B	0.8	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.0	0.5	1.1	9.0	—
Angel Martínez	CF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.7	0.1	0.2	1.0	9.0	—
David Fry	1B	0.9	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.0	0.4	1.1	8.8	—
Steven Kwan	LF	1.0	0.1	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.5	0.6	8.7	—
Brayan Rocchio	SS	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.7	7.2	—
Austin Hedges	C	0.7	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.0	6.4	—
Petey Halpin	CF	0.7	0.0	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.9	6.3	—
Matt Festa	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	3.7	—
Cade Smith	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	3.4	—
Colin Holderman	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	2.7	—
Connor Brogdon	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.6	—
Tim Herrin	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.1	—
Erik Sabrowski	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	1.7	—
Hunter Gaddis	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	1.6	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Parker Messick	Starter	6.4	6.4	6.2	2.1	3.1	57%	100%	18.3	—

Box Score

Minnesota Twins — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Byron Buxton	5	3	1	1	2		1	$5,800 $3,800 $21	9.8	21.5	+11.7
Austin Martin	5	3	1					$3,600 $2,800 $14	8.3	11.0	+2.7
Ryan Jeffers	4	1			1	1	2	$4,800 $3,500 $16	8.5	6.0	-2.5
Josh Bell	5	1					3	$3,800 $2,800 $12	7.3	1.5	-5.8
Luke Keaschall	3	1				1		$4,300 $2,900 $15	8.2	5.0	-3.2
Brooks Lee	4	2						$3,200 $2,800 $15	7.2	6.0	-1.2
Victor Caratini	4	1					3	$2,900 $2,700 $11	6.7	1.5	-5.2
Matt Wallner	4						2	$2,800 $2,700 $13	6.6	-1.0	-7.6
Royce Lewis	4	1						$3,300 $2,700 $12	6.7	3.0	-3.7
TOTALS	38	13	2	1	3	2	11		69.1	54.5

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	BB	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Kody Funderburk	1.0	1	0		4	$4,000 — —	2.9	1.7	-1.2
Eric Orze	0.2	1	1		3	$4,000 — —	4.2	-1.1	-5.3
Anthony Banda	0.1	2	1	1	5	$4,000 — —	2.6	-3.1	-5.7
Yoendrys Gómez	0.1		0		1	$4,000 — —	—	0.8

Cleveland Guardians — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Brayan Rocchio	1						$3,000 $2,800 $14	7.2	0.0	-7.2
Austin Hedges	2	1		1			$2,800 $2,700 $11	6.4	5.0	-1.4
Petey Halpin	2						$2,200 $2,000 $7	6.3	0.0	-6.3
Steven Kwan	1	1	1		1		$3,700 $2,700 $13	8.7	7.0	-1.7
Angel Martínez	2						$4,500 $3,000 $15	9.0	0.0	-9.0
José Ramírez	1	1		1			$5,600 $3,700 $20	10.4	5.0	-5.4
Rhys Hoskins	1						$3,100 $2,800 $15	9.0	0.0	-9.0
David Fry	1	1					$3,300 $2,400 $12	8.8	3.0	-5.8
TOTALS	11	4	1	2	1	0		65.7	20.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Parker Messick	5.2	7	1	7	1	0	24	$8,400 $9,700 $47	18.3	24.0	+5.7
Matt Festa	0.2	3	2	2		1	5	$4,000 — —	3.7	-0.9	-4.6
Colin Holderman	0.2		0	1	1	0	3	$4,000 — —	2.7	2.9	+0.2
Tim Herrin	1.0	1	0			0	4	$4,000 — —	2.1	1.7	-0.4
Cade Smith	0.2	2	0	1		0	4	$4,000 — —	3.4	2.3	-1.1