Chicago Cubs

56% win

pred 5.7

Ben Brown

FINAL

Texas Rangers

44% win

pred 4.8

Kumar Rocker

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	1	0	0	2	0	1	3	0	0	7	9
TEX	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	2

2026-05-08 · 8:05 PM ET Globe Life Field 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Michael Conforto	OF	9.5	$2.5k	3.8
Michael Busch	1B	15.0	$4.0k	3.8
Seiya Suzuki	OF	18.0	$5.3k	3.4
Justin Foscue	1B/2B	5.0	$2.0k	2.5
Pete Crow-Armstrong	OF	9.5	$4.7k	2.0
Ian Happ	OF	7.0	$4.5k	1.6
Evan Carter	OF	4.0	$3.5k	1.1
Ezequiel Duran	2B/OF	2.5	$3.0k	0.8
Dansby Swanson	SS	3.0	$3.9k	0.8
Joc Pederson	OF	2.0	$2.6k	0.8
Andrew McCutchen	OF	2.0	$3.6k	0.6
Alex Bregman	3B	1.5	$4.2k	0.4
Brandon Nimmo	OF	1.5	$4.6k	0.3

Best Bets

OVER 8.5

TOTAL ★ · +1.9 off line

-110 · $100 bet · $91 profit

Model: 10.5 vs Line: 8.5

LOSS

Predictions

Chicago Cubs

ML · Model 56% vs Mkt 54%

-130 · $77 per $100

WIN

Texas Rangers +1.5

RL · 0.6 off line

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

OVER 8.5

TOTAL · Proj 10.5 vs Line 8.5

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

Chicago Cubs ML + Texas Rangers +1.5 + OVER 8.5

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+545 · $545 per $100

LOSS

CHC 56% 44% TEX

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	84.6%	15.4%
6.5	79.8%	20.2%
7.5	71.7%	28.3%
8.5	64.4%	35.6%
9.5	54.8%	45.2%
10.5	45.0%	55.0%
11.5	36.5%	63.5%
12.5	29.9%	70.1%

Run Line (margin)

Line	TEX covers	CHC covers
TEX -1.5	31.3%	43.3%
TEX -2.5	20.6%	34.0%
TEX -3.5	14.5%	26.9%

Team Totals

Line	TEX	CHC
O 3.5	62.2%	71.7%
O 4.5	47.7%	59.6%
O 5.5	35.4%	47.9%
O 6.5	24.7%	35.1%

Odds

moneyline CHC 56% · -130 · $77 per $100

Book	CHC	Impl%	TEX	Impl%
DraftKings	-130	54%	+108	46%

runline Texas Rangers +1.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

CHC -1.5: CHC 5.7 − 1.5 = 4.2 vs TEX 4.8 no bet

TEX +1.5: TEX 4.8 + 1.5 = 6.3 vs CHC 5.7 BET ✗

Book	CHC		TEX
DraftKings	-1.5	-110	+1.5	-110

total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 8.5 -102	U 8.5 -118

Player Projections actual (projected)

Chicago Cubs

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Nico Hoerner	2B	1.1	0.1	0.7	0.5	0.3	0.3	0.7	10.0	—
Michael Conforto	LF	1.1	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.0	0.5	1.0	9.8	—
Seiya Suzuki	RF	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.8	0.1	0.4	1.0	9.6	—
Ian Happ	LF	0.9	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.1	0.5	1.0	9.2	—
Alex Bregman	3B	1.0	0.1	0.7	0.7	0.0	0.4	0.8	9.0	—
Michael Busch	1B	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.4	0.9	8.7	—
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.3	0.9	8.7	—
Carson Kelly	C	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.8	8.0	—
Dansby Swanson	SS	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.8	7.9	—
Javier Assad	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.1	4.8	—
Phil Maton	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.7	4.5	—
Daniel Palencia	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	4.1	—
Ryan Rolison	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	4.0	—
Hoby Milner	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.9	—
Jacob Webb	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.8	—
Trent Thornton	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	3.3	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Ben Brown	Starter	3.8	3.9	3.6	1.4	1.9	9%	100%	9.8	—

Texas Rangers

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Brandon Nimmo	LF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.4	1.1	8.8	—
Corey Seager	SS	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.0	8.4	—
Ezequiel Duran	SS	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.3	1.1	8.2	—
Evan Carter	CF	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.4	1.0	8.2	—
Josh Jung	3B	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.0	8.0	—
Joc Pederson	1B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.0	7.3	—
Jake Burger	1B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.2	1.0	7.1	—
Danny Jansen	C	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.0	6.7	—
Alejandro Osuna	LF	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.4	0.9	6.5	—
Jacob Latz	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.6	3.9	—
Cal Quantrill	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	3.0	—
Jakob Junis	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.9	—
Tyler Alexander	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.4	—
Cole Winn	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.0	—
Jalen Beeks	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.8	2.0	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Kumar Rocker	Starter	5.7	5.2	6.2	2.5	3.6	41%	100%	12.4	—

Box Score

Chicago Cubs — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Nico Hoerner	5							$4,800 $3,700 $17	10.0	0.0	-10.0
Michael Conforto	4	2	1			1	1	$3,400 $2,400 $10	9.8	9.5	-0.3
Alex Bregman	5	1					3	$4,200 $2,800 $15	9.0	1.5	-7.5
Ian Happ	4	1			1	1		$8,000 $3,700 $20	9.2	7.0	-2.2
Seiya Suzuki	3	1		1	2	2		$9,800 $3,600 $19	9.6	18.0	+8.4
Michael Busch	3	1	1		3	2		$7,000 $2,900 $16	8.7	15.0	+6.3
Carson Kelly	4						1	$6,200 $2,900 $13	8.0	-0.5	-8.5
Pete Crow-Armstrong	4	2	1		1		1	$8,600 $2,800 $17	8.7	9.5	+0.8
Dansby Swanson	4	1						$3,900 $3,300 $16	7.9	3.0	-4.9
TOTALS	36	9	3	1	7	6	6		80.8	63.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Ben Brown	4.0		0	3	1	13	$5,700 $6,700 $26	9.8	14.4	+4.6
Ryan Rolison	0.1	1	1		2	4	$4,000 — —	4.0	-3.1	-7.1
Javier Assad	3.1	1	0	1	1	12	$10,600 — —	4.8	8.3	+3.6
Ethan Roberts	1.0		0		1	4	$4,000 — —	—	1.7

Texas Rangers — Hitting

Player	AB	H	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Brandon Nimmo	3			1	1	$8,400 $3,000 $15	8.8	1.5	-7.3
Ezequiel Duran	4	1			1	$3,000 — $14	8.2	2.5	-5.7
Corey Seager	4				1	$9,400 $3,100 $16	8.4	-0.5	-8.9
Josh Jung	4				1	$7,800 $3,200 $17	8.0	-0.5	-8.5
Evan Carter	2			2		$6,000 $2,600 $13	8.2	4.0	-4.2
Joc Pederson	0			1		$2,600 $2,500 $8	7.3	—
Jake Burger	3					$3,300 $2,800 $12	7.1	0.0	-7.1
Alejandro Osuna	1					$3,600 $2,400 $8	6.5	0.0	-6.5
Danny Jansen	3					$2,900 $2,600 $10	6.7	0.0	-6.7
Andrew McCutchen	2			1		$6,400 — —	—	2.0
Justin Foscue	2	1	1			$3,000 — —	—	5.0
TOTALS	28	2	1	5	4		69.1	14.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Kumar Rocker	3.2	4	3	3	3	1	18	$11,000 $7,400 $28	12.4	3.4	-9.0
Cal Quantrill	3.1	3	4	2	2	0	16	$11,000 — —	3.0	0.5	-2.5
Tyler Alexander	0.2	1	0			0	3	$4,000 — —	2.4	0.9	-1.5
Jakob Junis	1.0	1	0	1	1	0	5	$11,000 — —	2.9	3.1	+0.2