Houston Astros
49% win
9
pred 5.2
FINAL
Cleveland Guardians
51% win
2
pred 5.1
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H
HOU 2 0 0 4 1 0 1 0 1 9 13
CLE 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 8
2026-04-20 · 6:10 PM ET Progressive Field 0°F
Best Bets
OVER 7.5
TOTAL ★★ · +2.8 off line
-110 · $200 bet · $182 profit
Model: 10.3 vs Line: 7.5
WIN
Predictions
Cleveland Guardians
ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 54%
-136 · $74 per $100
LOSS
Houston Astros +1.5
RL · 1.6 off line
-200 · $50 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 10.3 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Cleveland Guardians ML + Houston Astros +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+397 · $397 per $100
LOSS
HOU 49% 51% CLE
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 85.5% 14.5%
6.5 78.9% 21.1%
7.5 69.8% 30.2%
8.5 62.4% 37.6%
9.5 52.2% 47.8%
10.5 45.2% 54.8%
11.5 37.2% 62.8%
12.5 30.8% 69.2%
Run Line (margin)
LineCLE coversHOU covers
CLE -1.5 36.4% 38.2%
CLE -2.5 26.5% 28.4%
CLE -3.5 17.9% 22.2%
Team Totals
LineCLEHOU
O 3.5 66.0% 66.8%
O 4.5 52.1% 54.1%
O 5.5 39.0% 42.3%
O 6.5 29.5% 32.2%
Odds
moneyline CLE 51% · -136 · $74 per $100
BookHOUImpl%CLEImpl%
DraftKings +113 44.9% -136 55.1%
FanDuel +110 45.7% -130 54.3%
BetMGM +115 44.8% -135 55.2%
Caesars +115 44.8% -135 55.2%
runline Houston Astros +1.5 · -200 · $50 per $100
CLE -1.5: CLE 5.1 − 1.5 = 3.6 vs HOU 5.2 no bet
HOU +1.5: HOU 5.2 + 1.5 = 6.7 vs CLE 5.1 BET ✓
BookHOUCLE
DraftKings +1.5 -186 -1.5 +153
FanDuel +1.5 -210 -1.5 +172
BetMGM +1.5 -210 -1.5 +170
Caesars +1.5 -195 -1.5 +162
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 +102 U 7.5 -122
FanDuel O 7.5 +100 U 7.5 -122
BetMGM O 7.5 +100 U 7.5 -120
Caesars O 7.5 +100 U 7.5 -120
Player Projections actual (projected)
Houston Astros
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Yordan Alvarez LF 1.1 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.9 10.2 —
Christian Walker 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.2 —
Jose Altuve LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 9.1 —
Carlos Correa SS 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.8 —
Isaac Paredes 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.2 —
Taylor Trammell CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.9 —
Dustin Harris CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.6 —
Yainer Diaz C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.8 7.5 —
Brice Matthews SS 0.7 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.2 7.4 —
AJ Blubaugh P — — — — — — 2.1 4.6 —
Christian Roa P — — — — — — 1.6 3.8 —
Bryan King P — — — — — — 1.2 3.6 —
Kai-Wei Teng P — — — — — — 1.3 3.2 —
Ryan Weiss P — — — — — — 2.0 2.8 —
Steven Okert P — — — — — — 1.0 2.3 —
Enyel De Los Santos P — — — — — — 1.2 2.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Spencer Arrighetti Starter 5.2 5.3 5.0 2.6 3.0 43% 100% 13.5 —
Cleveland Guardians
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Chase DeLauter RF 1.0 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.5 1.0 10.9 —
José Ramírez 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.8 10.1 —
Steven Kwan LF 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.8 8.7 —
George Valera RF 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.1 8.3 —
Kyle Manzardo 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.2 8.1 —
Rhys Hoskins 1B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.1 7.8 —
Bo Naylor C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.1 —
Brayan Rocchio SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 6.9 —
Juan Brito SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 6.6 —
Cade Smith P — — — — — — 1.5 4.4 —
Connor Brogdon P — — — — — — 1.7 3.9 —
Peyton Pallette P — — — — — — 1.4 3.5 —
Hunter Gaddis P — — — — — — 1.4 3.4 —
Erik Sabrowski P — — — — — — 1.4 3.3 —
Matt Festa P — — — — — — 1.3 2.6 —
Shawn Armstrong P — — — — — — 1.1 2.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Slade Cecconi Starter 5.3 5.0 5.4 2.1 3.2 46% 100% 12.9 —
Box Score
Houston Astros — Hitting
PlayerABH2B3BHRRBIBBK SalProj FP+/-
Carlos Correa 5 3 0 2 2 $8,400 8.8 12.0 +3.2
Yordan Alvarez 5 1 0 0 $10,200 10.2 3.0 -7.2
Jose Altuve 5 0 0 0 $8,600 9.1 0.0 -9.1
Christian Walker 5 3 1 1 2 1 $8,200 9.2 21.5 +12.3
Isaac Paredes 5 3 2 2 $7,800 8.2 27.0 +18.8
Taylor Trammell 1 1 0 0 1 $4,800 7.9 5.0 -2.9
Yainer Diaz 4 1 0 1 $7,000 7.5 5.0 -2.5
Dustin Harris 3 1 $3,600 7.6 2.0 -5.6
Brice Matthews 3 1 1 1 1 $6,200 7.4 9.0 +1.7
Cam Smith 2 1 1 — — 1.5
TOTALS381323934 75.9 86.0
Pitching
PitcherIPHERKBBHRBF SalProjFP+/-
Spencer Arrighetti 5.0 5 2 3 4 0 25 $10,800 13.5 11.9 -1.6
Steven Okert 1.0 1 0 0 4 — 2.3 1.7 -0.6
AJ Blubaugh 1.0 0 1 1 0 4 — 4.6 3.7 -0.8
Jayden Murray 2.0 2 0 2 1 0 8 — — 6.7
Cleveland Guardians — Hitting
PlayerABH2B3BHRRBIBBK SalProj FP+/-
Steven Kwan 4 0 0 0 1 $7,200 8.7 2.0 -6.7
Chase DeLauter 4 0 0 0 1 $7,400 10.9 2.0 -8.9
José Ramírez 4 1 1 1 1 $9,600 10.1 6.5 -3.6
Kyle Manzardo 5 1 0 0 3 $5,800 8.1 1.5 -6.6
Rhys Hoskins 4 2 0 1 1 1 $5,200 7.8 9.5 +1.7
George Valera 3 1 0 1 1 $5,400 8.3 7.0 -1.3
Juan Brito 3 0 0 0 $4,200 6.6 0.0 -6.6
Bo Naylor 4 0 0 0 1 $4,600 7.1 -0.5 -7.6
Brayan Rocchio 3 3 1 0 0 1 $5,000 6.9 13.0 +6.1
TOTALS3482266 74.3 41.0
Pitching
PitcherIPHERKBBHRBF SalProjFP+/-
Slade Cecconi 4.2 10 7 2 2 2 27 $11,600 12.9 -7.9 -20.8
Matt Festa 2.0 1 1 1 0 7 — 2.6 3.9 +1.4
Tim Herrin 1.0 1 0 1 0 5 — — 1.0
Connor Brogdon 1.0 1 1 1 1 4 — 3.9 1.0 -2.9
Player Props
PlayerPropSideLineOddsProjEdge ActualResult
Yordan Alvarez total bases OVER 1.5 +124 3.36 +53.7% 1 MISS
Spencer Arrighetti strikeouts OVER 4.5 -134 10.45 +45.9% 3 MISS
Spencer Arrighetti hits allowed UNDER 3.5 +115 2.00 36.3% 5 MISS
Spencer Arrighetti walks allowed OVER 2.5 -145 4.00 +36.1% 4 HIT
Spencer Arrighetti outs recorded OVER 15.5 -108 18.00 +35.6% 15 MISS
Rhys Hoskins total bases OVER 0.5 -105 1.51 +34.1% 2 HIT
Chase DeLauter total bases OVER 0.5 -200 2.36 +33.4% 0 MISS
Christian Walker total bases OVER 0.5 -175 2.06 +32.8% 7 HIT
Taylor Trammell total bases OVER 0.5 -120 1.58 +32.7% 1 HIT
George Valera total bases OVER 0.5 -120 1.56 +32.2% 1 HIT
Yordan Alvarez home runs OVER 0.5 +370 0.51 +30.1% 0 MISS
Slade Cecconi outs recorded UNDER 16.5 -123 14.40 28.4% 14 HIT
Taylor Trammell hits OVER 0.5 -113 1.11 +26.8% 1 HIT
Christian Walker rbis OVER 0.5 +186 0.71 +26.7% 2 HIT
Brayan Rocchio total bases OVER 0.5 -115 1.28 +26.1% 4 HIT
Taylor Trammell runs OVER 0.5 +179 0.67 +25.4% — —
Carlos Correa runs OVER 0.5 +170 0.65 +23.4% — —
Yordan Alvarez runs OVER 0.5 +104 0.85 +22.7% — —
Bo Naylor total bases OVER 0.5 +105 1.01 +22.3% 0 MISS
Yordan Alvarez hits OVER 0.5 -218 1.42 +21.8% 1 HIT
Yordan Alvarez rbis OVER 0.5 +177 0.62 +21.7% 0 MISS
George Valera runs OVER 0.5 +173 0.57 +19.6% — —
Christian Walker runs OVER 0.5 +151 0.62 +19.3% — —
Brayan Rocchio runs OVER 0.5 +190 0.51 +18.4% — —
Jose Altuve runs OVER 0.5 +120 0.70 +18.2% — —
Jose Altuve total bases OVER 1.5 +135 1.72 +18.2% 0 MISS
George Valera hits OVER 0.5 -127 0.95 +18.0% 1 HIT
George Valera rbis UNDER 0.5 -373 0.36 +17.6% 1 MISS
Brayan Rocchio hits OVER 0.5 -112 0.85 +16.6% 3 HIT
Isaac Paredes rbis UNDER 0.5 -310 0.41 +16.5% 2 MISS
Kyle Manzardo total bases OVER 0.5 -130 1.04 +16.4% 1 HIT
Yainer Diaz rbis UNDER 0.5 -378 0.32 +16.0% 1 MISS
Juan Brito total bases OVER 0.5 -140 1.09 +16.0% 0 MISS
Chase DeLauter home runs UNDER 0.5 -110 0.35 +15.7% 0 HIT
Brayan Rocchio rbis UNDER 0.5 -432 0.25 +15.2% 0 HIT
Chase DeLauter rbis UNDER 0.5 -273 0.43 +15.0% 0 HIT
Carlos Correa hits OVER 0.5 -182 1.08 +14.9% 3 HIT
Taylor Trammell rbis UNDER 0.5 -391 0.27 +14.4% 0 HIT
Jose Altuve hits OVER 0.5 -216 1.16 +14.1% 0 MISS
Juan Brito runs UNDER 0.5 -247 0.46 +13.9% — —
Chase DeLauter hits OVER 0.5 -183 1.04 +13.2% 0 MISS
Chase DeLauter runs OVER 0.5 +113 0.62 +13.1% — —
Steven Kwan stolen bases UNDER 0.5 -581 0.05 13.0% — —
Yainer Diaz runs UNDER 0.5 -262 0.41 +12.8% — —
Christian Walker hits OVER 0.5 -188 1.03 +12.2% 3 HIT
Isaac Paredes runs UNDER 0.5 -222 0.46 +12.0% — —
Jose Altuve rbis UNDER 0.5 -333 0.27 +11.7% 0 HIT
Isaac Paredes total bases OVER 0.5 -155 1.02 +11.5% 9 HIT
Carlos Correa rbis UNDER 0.5 -346 0.25 +11.5% 2 MISS
Slade Cecconi walks allowed UNDER 2.5 -191 2.50 +11.5% 2 HIT
Juan Brito rbis UNDER 0.5 -411 0.18 +11.4% 0 HIT
Kyle Manzardo hits OVER 0.5 -117 0.74 +10.7% 1 HIT
Rhys Hoskins runs UNDER 0.5 -196 0.48 +10.4% — —
Juan Brito hits OVER 0.5 -126 0.76 +9.9% 0 MISS
Rhys Hoskins hits OVER 0.5 -137 0.80 +9.8% 2 HIT
Kyle Manzardo runs UNDER 0.5 -208 0.44 +9.7% — —
Carlos Correa total bases UNDER 1.5 -190 1.46 +9.7% 3 MISS
Steven Kwan rbis UNDER 0.5 -376 0.17 +9.5% 0 HIT
Bo Naylor runs UNDER 0.5 -238 0.38 +9.3% — —
Bo Naylor hits OVER 0.5 -103 0.64 +9.1% 0 MISS
Rhys Hoskins rbis UNDER 0.5 -276 0.25 +7.4% 1 MISS
Bo Naylor rbis UNDER 0.5 -370 0.12 +7.2% 0 HIT
Slade Cecconi strikeouts OVER 4.5 +107 4.61 +6.6% 2 MISS
Brayan Rocchio stolen bases UNDER 0.5 -1340 0.00 6.4% — —
Slade Cecconi hits allowed UNDER 4.5 -111 4.25 6.4% 10 MISS
Isaac Paredes home runs UNDER 0.5 -110 0.00 6.1% 2 MISS
Isaac Paredes hits OVER 0.5 -153 0.77 +5.9% 3 HIT
Steven Kwan runs UNDER 0.5 -153 0.50 +5.8% — —
Steven Kwan total bases UNDER 1.5 -200 0.99 5.8% 0 HIT
George Valera stolen bases UNDER 0.5 -110 0.00 5.4% — —
Juan Brito stolen bases UNDER 0.5 -110 0.00 5.4% — —
Brice Matthews stolen bases UNDER 0.5 -110 0.00 5.0% — —
Jose Altuve stolen bases UNDER 0.5 -1280 0.05 4.8% — —
Brayan Rocchio home runs UNDER 0.5 -110 0.11 +4.7% 0 HIT
Kyle Manzardo rbis UNDER 0.5 -277 0.18 +4.5% 0 HIT
Yainer Diaz total bases UNDER 1.5 -209 1.00 4.5% 1 HIT
George Valera home runs UNDER 0.5 -110 0.13 +3.0% 0 HIT
Chase DeLauter stolen bases UNDER 0.5 -110 0.00 2.9% — —
Juan Brito home runs UNDER 0.5 -110 0.00 2.9% 0 HIT
Steven Kwan hits OVER 0.5 -203 0.83 +2.3% 0 MISS
Taylor Trammell home runs UNDER 0.5 -110 0.13 +2.2% 0 HIT
Bo Naylor stolen bases UNDER 0.5 -110 0.00 1.9% — —
Christian Walker stolen bases UNDER 0.5 -110 0.00 1.9% — —
Rhys Hoskins stolen bases UNDER 0.5 -110 0.00 1.9% — —
Rhys Hoskins home runs UNDER 1.5 -110 0.09 1.8% 0 HIT
Bo Naylor home runs UNDER 0.5 -110 0.09 1.6% 0 HIT
Kyle Manzardo home runs UNDER 1.5 -110 0.07 1.4% 0 HIT
Christian Walker home runs UNDER 1.5 -110 0.23 1.4% 1 HIT
Carlos Correa home runs UNDER 0.5 -110 0.06 1.1% 0 HIT
Taylor Trammell stolen bases UNDER 0.5 -1620 0.13 +0.7% — —
Steven Kwan home runs UNDER 0.5 -110 0.00 0.7% 0 HIT
Jose Altuve home runs UNDER 0.5 -110 0.11 0.5% 0 HIT
Yainer Diaz hits OVER 0.5 -167 0.69 +0.4% 1 HIT
Yordan Alvarez stolen bases UNDER 0.5 -110 0.05 +0.3% — —
Carlos Correa stolen bases UNDER 0.5 -110 0.06 +0.3% — —
Yainer Diaz home runs UNDER 0.5 -110 0.06 +0.1% 0 HIT
Kyle Manzardo stolen bases UNDER 0.5 -110 0.00 +0.0% — —