Atlanta Braves

60% win

pred 5.8

Bryce Elder

FINAL

Washington Nationals

40% win

pred 4.6

Jake Irvin

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	0	0	0	2	0	5	0	0	2	9	8
WSH	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	4	3

2026-04-20 · 6:45 PM ET Nationals Park 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Matt Olson	1B	18.0	$4.5k	4.0
Daylen Lile	RF	16.0	$4.2k	3.8
Drake Baldwin	C	18.0	$4.8k	3.8
Bryce Elder	SP	21.4	$8.2k	2.6
Mike Yastrzemski	RF	7.0	$3.2k	2.2
Jacob Young	CF	7.0	$3.2k	2.2
Eli White	RF	5.0	$2.3k	2.2
Ozzie Albies	2B	7.0	$3.9k	1.8
Jake Irvin	SP	10.3	$6.1k	1.7
Michael Harris II	OF	5.0	$3.0k	1.7
Brady House	3B	5.0	$3.1k	1.6
Tyler Kinley	RP	6.3	$4.0k	1.6
Jorge Mateo	SS	4.0	$2.6k	1.5
Dominic Smith	1B	5.0	$3.6k	1.4
Joel Payamps	RP	4.3	$4.0k	1.1
Austin Riley	3B	4.0	$3.8k	1.1
Brad Lord	RP	4.8	$6.1k	0.8
CJ Abrams	SS	1.5	$5.9k	0.3
Aaron Bummer	RP	0.8	$4.0k	0.2

Best Bets

OVER 8.0

TOTAL ★★ · +2.4 off line

-110 · $200 bet · $182 profit

Model: 10.4 vs Line: 8.0

WIN

Predictions

Atlanta Braves

ML · Model 60% vs Mkt 59%

-156 · $64 per $100

WIN

Washington Nationals +1.5

RL · 0.4 off line

-129 · $78 per $100

LOSS

OVER 8.0

TOTAL · Proj 10.4 vs Line 8.0

-110 · $91 per $100

WIN

Atlanta Braves ML + Washington Nationals +1.5 + OVER 8.0

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+456 · $456 per $100

LOSS

ATL 60% 40% WSH

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	85.4%	14.6%
6.5	80.2%	19.8%
7.5	71.1%	28.9%
8.5	63.6%	36.4%
9.5	54.5%	45.5%
10.5	46.7%	53.3%
11.5	37.8%	62.2%
12.5	31.6%	68.4%

Run Line (margin)

Line	WSH covers	ATL covers
WSH -1.5	27.0%	45.6%
WSH -2.5	18.2%	36.1%
WSH -3.5	11.9%	28.2%

Team Totals

Line	WSH	ATL
O 3.5	61.9%	71.7%
O 4.5	46.9%	59.7%
O 5.5	34.1%	49.1%
O 6.5	23.6%	39.2%

Odds

moneyline ATL 60% · -156 · $64 per $100

Book	ATL	Impl%	WSH	Impl%
DraftKings	-156	58.2%	+129	41.8%
FanDuel	-156	58.6%	+132	41.4%
BetMGM	-150	57.5%	+125	42.5%
Caesars	-155	58.3%	+130	41.7%

runline Washington Nationals +1.5 · -129 · $78 per $100

ATL -1.5: ATL 5.8 − 1.5 = 4.3 vs WSH 4.6 no bet

WSH +1.5: WSH 4.6 + 1.5 = 6.1 vs ATL 5.8 BET ✗

Book	ATL		WSH
DraftKings	-1.5	+109	+1.5	-131
FanDuel	-1.5	+104	+1.5	-126
BetMGM	-1.5	+110	+1.5	-130
Caesars	-1.5	+110	+1.5	-130

total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 8.0 -115	U 8.0 -105
FanDuel	O 8.0 -118	U 8.0 -104
BetMGM	O 8.0 -115	U 8.0 -105
Caesars	O 8.0 -115	U 8.0 -105

Player Projections actual (projected)

Atlanta Braves

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	1.1	0.2	0.8	0.6	0.3	0.5	1.0	11.3	—
Matt Olson	1B	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.8	0.0	0.4	1.0	9.7	—
Drake Baldwin	C	1.1	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.0	0.4	0.8	9.5	—
Michael Harris II	CF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.8	9.2	—
Ozzie Albies	2B	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.4	0.7	8.8	—
Austin Riley	3B	1.0	0.1	0.7	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.0	8.7	—
Jorge Mateo	SS	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.3	0.9	8.7	—
Dominic Smith	1B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.3	0.8	8.6	—
Mike Yastrzemski	RF	0.8	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.8	7.9	—
Osvaldo Bido	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.8	4.4	—
Raisel Iglesias	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	3.3	—
Aaron Bummer	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.8	—
Rolddy Muñoz	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.5	—
Robert Suarez	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.8	2.2	—
Tyler Kinley	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.7	1.9	—
Dylan Lee	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.8	1.7	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Bryce Elder	Starter	5.7	5.4	5.9	2.1	3.0	55%	100%	14.9	—

Washington Nationals

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
James Wood	LF	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.1	0.5	1.2	9.5	—
CJ Abrams	SS	1.1	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.3	0.7	9.5	—
Daylen Lile	RF	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.7	8.3	—
Jacob Young	CF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.3	0.8	8.0	—
Luis García	P	1.1	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.0	8.0	—
Brady House	3B	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.1	7.5	—
José Tena	3B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.9	7.2	—
Drew Millas	C	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.3	0.8	7.0	—
Nasim Nuñez	SS	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.4	0.8	7.0	—
Mitchell Parker	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.8	4.0	—
Clayton Beeter	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	3.6	—
Cionel Pérez	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	2.9	—
Gus Varland	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	2.8	—
Richard Lovelady	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.6	—
Andrew Alvarez	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.5	—
PJ Poulin	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	1.9	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Jake Irvin	Starter	5.3	4.7	5.6	2.3	3.4	37%	100%	11.2	—

Box Score

Atlanta Braves — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Ronald Acuña Jr.	1						1	$5,400 $3,000 $21	11.3	-0.5	-11.8
Drake Baldwin	4	2	1	0	2	1		$4,800 $4,000 $18	9.5	18.0	+8.5
Matt Olson	4	1		1	3			$4,500 $3,700 $20	9.7	18.0	+8.3
Austin Riley	4	0		0	0	1	2	$3,800 $3,000 $17	8.7	4.0	-4.7
Ozzie Albies	4	1		0	1			$3,900 $2,900 $16	8.8	7.0	-1.8
Michael Harris II	4	1		0	1			$3,000 $2,800 $16	9.2	5.0	-4.2
Dominic Smith	4	1		0	1			$3,600 $3,200 $17	8.6	5.0	-3.6
Jorge Mateo	3	0		0	0	1	1	$2,600 $2,800 $9	8.7	4.0	-4.7
Mike Yastrzemski	4	1		0	0		1	$3,200 $2,700 $14	7.9	7.0	-0.9
Eli White	2	1			1		1	$2,300 — —	—	5.0
TOTALS	34	8	1	1	9	3	6		82.3	72.5

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Bryce Elder	6.2	3	3	6	2	1	27	$8,200 $8,900 $30	14.9	21.4	+6.5
Aaron Bummer	0.1		0			0	1	$4,000 — —	2.8	0.8	-2.1
Tyler Kinley	1.0		0	2		0	3	$4,000 — —	1.9	6.3	+4.4
Joel Payamps	1.0		0	1		0	3	$4,000 — —	—	4.3

Washington Nationals — Hitting

Player	AB	H	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
James Wood	4	0	0	0		1	$6,200 $4,100 $23	9.5	0.0	-9.5
Luis García Jr.	4					1	— — —	—	-0.5
Brady House	4	1	0	0		2	$3,100 $2,800 $11	7.5	5.0	-2.5
CJ Abrams	2	0	0	0	1	1	$5,900 $4,400 $18	9.5	1.5	-8.0
Daylen Lile	3	1	1	1	1		$4,200 $2,900 $17	8.3	16.0	+7.7
Jacob Young	4	1	0	2		1	$3,200 $2,700 $12	8.0	7.0	-1.0
José Tena	4					1	$2,300 $2,300 $11	7.2	-0.5	-7.7
Drew Millas	3	0	0	0		2	$2,500 $2,200 $8	7.0	0.0	-7.0
Nasim Nuñez	3						$3,500 $2,900 $13	7.0	0.0	-7.0
TOTALS	31	3	1	3	2	9		64.0	28.5

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Jake Irvin	4.1	3	2	4	0	1	19	$6,100 $7,000 $27	11.2	10.3	-1.0
PJ Poulin	0.1	1	2		1	0	3	$4,000 — —	1.9	-4.5	-6.3
Brad Lord	2.2	2	3	1		0	11	$6,100 — —	—	4.8
Julian Fernández	1.0	2	2	1	2	0	7	— — —	—	-2.2

Player Props

Player	Prop	Side	Line	Odds	Proj	Edge	Actual	Result
Bryce Elder	strikeouts	OVER	4.5	+134	7.60	+53.6%	6	HIT
CJ Abrams	total bases	OVER	1.5	+146	2.39	+41.0%	0	MISS
Matt Olson	total bases	OVER	1.5	+126	2.41	+38.2%	4	HIT
CJ Abrams	rbis	OVER	0.5	+188	0.95	+36.8%	0	MISS
Dominic Smith	total bases	OVER	0.5	-175	2.41	+36.5%	1	HIT
Dominic Smith	runs	OVER	0.5	+156	0.88	+32.9%	—	—
Jose Tena	runs	OVER	0.5	+194	0.77	+32.3%	—	—
James Wood	total bases	OVER	0.5	-185	2.07	+31.9%	0	MISS
Dominic Smith	hits	OVER	0.5	-186	1.46	+26.2%	1	HIT
CJ Abrams	runs	OVER	0.5	+140	0.79	+26.2%	—	—
Jose Tena	hits	OVER	0.5	-151	1.28	+25.9%	—	—
Ozzie Albies	total bases	OVER	1.5	+140	1.92	+25.9%	1	MISS
Jake Irvin	walks allowed	OVER	1.5	-196	2.75	+25.2%	0	MISS
Dominic Smith	rbis	OVER	0.5	+217	0.60	+25.0%	1	HIT
Jorge Mateo	total bases	OVER	0.5	-150	1.43	+24.4%	0	MISS
Luis Garcia Jr.	runs	OVER	0.5	+154	0.70	+23.8%	—	—
Jacob Young	runs	OVER	0.5	+197	0.57	+22.4%	—	—
Daylen Lile	runs	OVER	0.5	+155	0.67	+22.3%	—	—
Matt Olson	rbis	OVER	0.5	+153	0.68	+21.2%	3	HIT
Jacob Young	total bases	OVER	0.5	-190	1.52	+21.2%	1	HIT
Jake Irvin	hits allowed	UNDER	5.5	-151	4.25	19.4%	3	HIT
Drake Baldwin	rbis	OVER	0.5	+168	0.59	+19.3%	2	HIT
CJ Abrams	hits	OVER	0.5	-214	1.31	+19.1%	0	MISS
Ozzie Albies	runs	OVER	0.5	+122	0.70	+18.6%	—	—
Drake Baldwin	total bases	OVER	1.5	+100	1.93	+18.4%	3	HIT
Bryce Elder	hits allowed	UNDER	5.5	-166	4.25	17.2%	3	HIT
Jorge Mateo	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.10	17.2%	—	—
Jake Irvin	strikeouts	OVER	3.5	-140	4.66	+16.8%	4	HIT
Mike Yastrzemski	total bases	OVER	0.5	-115	0.97	+16.5%	1	HIT
Brady House	runs	OVER	0.5	+154	0.55	+16.2%	—	—
Luis Garcia Jr.	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.35	+16.1%	—	—
Jacob Young	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-418	0.28	+15.9%	2	MISS
Austin Riley	rbis	OVER	0.5	+152	0.55	+15.4%	0	MISS
Luis Garcia Jr.	hits	OVER	0.5	-205	1.16	+15.2%	—	—
Michael Harris II	runs	OVER	0.5	+122	0.62	+14.9%	—	—
CJ Abrams	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.30	+14.5%	0	HIT
Jacob Young	hits	OVER	0.5	-151	0.95	+14.0%	1	HIT
Drake Baldwin	runs	OVER	0.5	-105	0.71	+13.9%	—	—
James Wood	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-303	0.35	+13.4%	0	HIT
James Wood	hits	OVER	0.5	-166	0.99	+13.4%	0	MISS
Michael Harris II	total bases	OVER	1.5	+122	1.65	+13.3%	1	MISS
Jacob Young	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-571	0.06	13.0%	—	—
Brady House	total bases	OVER	0.5	-190	1.21	+12.9%	1	HIT
Brady House	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-348	0.28	+12.9%	0	HIT
Matt Olson	runs	OVER	0.5	-101	0.68	+12.8%	—	—
Luis Garcia Jr.	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-362	0.26	+12.7%	—	—
Luis Garcia Jr.	total bases	UNDER	1.5	-203	1.50	+12.7%	—	—
Matt Olson	hits	OVER	0.5	-219	1.13	+12.7%	1	HIT
Dominic Smith	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.26	+12.7%	0	HIT
Daylen Lile	hits	OVER	0.5	-213	1.11	+12.6%	1	HIT
Jorge Mateo	runs	OVER	0.5	+139	0.52	+12.3%	—	—
Ozzie Albies	hits	OVER	0.5	-236	1.16	+12.3%	1	HIT
Ozzie Albies	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-250	0.40	+12.0%	1	MISS
Jose Tena	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-370	0.23	+11.8%	—	—
Jake Irvin	outs recorded	UNDER	15.5	-165	14.20	11.6%	13	HIT
James Wood	runs	OVER	0.5	+113	0.59	+11.5%	—	—
Ronald Acuna Jr.	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-567	0.35	+10.9%	—	—
Austin Riley	runs	OVER	0.5	+108	0.60	+10.8%	—	—
Drew Millas	runs	UNDER	0.5	-290	0.34	+10.6%	—	—
Ronald Acuna Jr.	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	9.7%	—	—
Brady House	hits	OVER	0.5	-174	0.92	+9.6%	1	HIT
Drew Millas	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-419	0.11	+8.9%	0	HIT
Daylen Lile	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-309	0.23	+8.6%	1	MISS
Daylen Lile	total bases	UNDER	1.5	-194	1.39	+7.8%	4	MISS
Mike Yastrzemski	runs	UNDER	0.5	-207	0.41	+7.7%	—	—
Michael Harris II	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-240	0.32	+7.7%	1	MISS
Drew Millas	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-1160	0.00	7.6%	—	—
Austin Riley	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.05	7.3%	0	HIT
Ozzie Albies	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.20	+7.3%	0	HIT
Jose Tena	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-1240	0.00	7.1%	—	—
Mike Yastrzemski	hits	OVER	0.5	-123	0.68	+6.8%	1	HIT
Ronald Acuna Jr.	runs	OVER	0.5	-139	0.70	+6.5%	—	—
Jorge Mateo	hits	OVER	0.5	-182	0.87	+6.5%	0	MISS
Brady House	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	6.3%	—	—
Daylen Lile	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-1100	0.05	6.0%	—	—
Jacob Young	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.13	+6.0%	0	HIT
Austin Riley	hits	OVER	0.5	-246	1.00	+5.5%	0	MISS
Mike Yastrzemski	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-357	0.09	+5.4%	0	HIT
Ozzie Albies	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	5.4%	—	—
Jose Tena	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.13	+5.0%	—	—
Michael Harris II	hits	OVER	0.5	-274	1.04	+4.9%	1	HIT
Jorge Mateo	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-302	0.15	+4.9%	0	HIT
Austin Riley	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.10	+4.8%	—	—
Luis Garcia Jr.	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	4.1%	—	—
Mike Yastrzemski	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	4.1%	0	HIT
Ronald Acuna Jr.	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-224	0.26	+3.7%	—	—
Austin Riley	total bases	UNDER	1.5	-165	1.37	+3.5%	0	HIT
Ronald Acuna Jr.	hits	UNDER	1.5	-198	1.16	3.4%	—	—
Michael Harris II	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-1160	0.11	2.6%	—	—
Matt Olson	home runs	UNDER	1.5	-110	0.26	2.4%	1	HIT
Jorge Mateo	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.12	+2.3%	0	HIT
Drake Baldwin	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	1.9%	—	—
Daylen Lile	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	1.9%	1	MISS
Drew Millas	hits	OVER	0.5	-141	0.56	1.8%	0	MISS
James Wood	home runs	UNDER	1.5	-110	0.26	1.8%	0	HIT
Michael Harris II	home runs	UNDER	1.5	-110	0.18	1.6%	0	HIT
Bryce Elder	walks allowed	OVER	1.5	-160	1.75	+1.5%	2	HIT
Brady House	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.06	1.4%	0	HIT
Drake Baldwin	home runs	UNDER	1.5	-110	0.20	1.4%	0	HIT
CJ Abrams	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-670	0.21	1.2%	—	—
Ronald Acuna Jr.	total bases	UNDER	1.5	-120	1.50	+1.0%	—	—
Drake Baldwin	hits	UNDER	1.5	-210	1.19	0.8%	2	MISS
Dominic Smith	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	0.8%	—	—
James Wood	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-850	0.20	+0.6%	—	—
Drew Millas	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	+0.5%	0	HIT
Bryce Elder	outs recorded	OVER	16.5	-144	16.80	0.3%	20	HIT
Mike Yastrzemski	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.06	+0.3%	—	—