Houston Astros

49% win

pred 5.3

Peter Lambert

FINAL

Cleveland Guardians

51% win

pred 5.4

Tanner Bibee

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6
CLE	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5

2026-04-22 · 1:10 PM ET Progressive Field 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Yordan Alvarez	OF	20.0	$6.5k	3.1
Daniel Schneemann	3B/OF	4.0	$2.8k	1.4
Chase DeLauter	OF	6.0	$4.3k	1.4
Steven Kwan	OF	5.0	$3.9k	1.3
Christian Walker	1B	5.0	$4.8k	1.0
Carlos Correa	3B/SS	4.5	$4.9k	0.9
Bo Naylor	C	2.0	$2.8k	0.7
Brice Matthews	2B/OF	2.0	$3.5k	0.6
Isaac Paredes	2B/3B	2.5	$4.4k	0.6
Christian Vázquez	C	1.5	$3.2k	0.5
José Ramírez	3B	2.0	$6.3k	0.3
Kyle Manzardo	1B	1.0	$3.2k	0.3

Best Bets

OVER 8.0

TOTAL ★★ · +2.7 off line

-110 · $200 bet · $182 profit

Model: 10.7 vs Line: 8.0

LOSS

Predictions

Cleveland Guardians

ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 58%

-156 · $64 per $100

LOSS

Houston Astros +1.5

RL · 1.3 off line

-170 · $59 per $100

WIN

OVER 8.0

TOTAL · Proj 10.7 vs Line 8.0

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

Cleveland Guardians ML + Houston Astros +1.5 + OVER 8.0

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+398 · $398 per $100

LOSS

HOU 49% 51% CLE

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	88.3%	11.7%
6.5	82.5%	17.5%
7.5	73.6%	26.4%
8.5	65.8%	34.2%
9.5	56.4%	43.6%
10.5	47.4%	52.6%
11.5	38.3%	61.7%
12.5	31.9%	68.1%

Run Line (margin)

Line	CLE covers	HOU covers
CLE -1.5	38.7%	36.9%
CLE -2.5	28.0%	28.3%
CLE -3.5	21.9%	20.1%

Team Totals

Line	CLE	HOU
O 3.5	68.6%	68.2%
O 4.5	56.5%	55.6%
O 5.5	44.0%	42.1%
O 6.5	34.2%	31.1%

Odds

moneyline CLE 51% · -156 · $64 per $100

Book	HOU	Impl%	CLE	Impl%
DraftKings	+129	41.8%	-156	58.2%
FanDuel	+128	42.1%	-152	57.9%
BetMGM	+135	40.9%	-160	59.1%
Caesars	+130	41.7%	-155	58.3%

runline Houston Astros +1.5 · -170 · $59 per $100

CLE -1.5: CLE 5.4 − 1.5 = 3.9 vs HOU 5.3 no bet

HOU +1.5: HOU 5.3 + 1.5 = 6.8 vs CLE 5.4 BET ✓

Book	HOU		CLE
DraftKings	+1.5	-171	-1.5	+141
FanDuel	+1.5	-164	-1.5	+136
BetMGM	+1.5	-175	-1.5	+145
Caesars	+1.5	-170	-1.5	+143

total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 8.0 -110	U 8.0 -110
FanDuel	O 8.0 -105	U 8.0 -115
BetMGM	O 8.0 -105	U 8.0 -115
Caesars	O 8.0 -110	U 8.0 -110

Player Projections actual (projected)

Houston Astros

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Yordan Alvarez	LF	1.1	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.0	0.5	0.9	10.3	—
Christian Walker	1B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.4	1.0	9.1	—
Jose Altuve	LF	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.4	0.9	9.0	—
Carlos Correa	SS	1.2	0.1	0.7	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.1	8.7	—
Isaac Paredes	3B	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.9	8.3	—
Cam Smith	RF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.3	1.0	7.8	—
Christian Vázquez	C	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.8	7.8	—
Brice Matthews	SS	0.8	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.2	7.4	—
Daniel Johnson	RF	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	1.0	7.3	—
AJ Blubaugh	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.7	4.7	—
Colton Gordon	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.8	3.7	—
Bryan King	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	3.3	—
Steven Okert	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.2	—
Kai-Wei Teng	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	2.5	—
Ryan Weiss	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	2.2	—
Enyel De Los Santos	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.3	0.9	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Peter Lambert	Starter	5.0	4.3	5.4	2.2	3.2	41%	100%	10.5	—

Cleveland Guardians

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Chase DeLauter	RF	1.1	0.3	0.8	0.8	0.0	0.5	0.8	11.2	—
José Ramírez	3B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.2	0.4	0.7	10.7	—
Steven Kwan	LF	1.1	0.1	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.5	0.7	9.4	—
George Valera	RF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.4	0.8	8.9	—
Kyle Manzardo	1B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.4	1.0	8.7	—
Daniel Schneemann	2B	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.4	1.0	8.4	—
Bo Naylor	C	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.9	7.7	—
Brayan Rocchio	SS	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.7	7.3	—
Juan Brito	SS	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.0	6.8	—
Matt Festa	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.1	5.3	—
Erik Sabrowski	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	4.0	—
Cade Smith	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.3	—
Peyton Pallette	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.2	—
Shawn Armstrong	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.4	—
Tim Herrin	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	1.6	—
Connor Brogdon	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.8	1.0	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Tanner Bibee	Starter	5.3	5.2	5.5	2.0	3.2	46%	100%	13.2	—

Box Score

Houston Astros — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Carlos Correa	4	1	1	0	0		1	$4,900 $3,200 $15	8.7	4.5	-4.2
Yordan Alvarez	4	3		1	2			$6,500 $4,400 $22	10.3	20.0	+9.7
Jose Altuve	4	0		0	0			$5,300 $3,400 $19	9.0	0.0	-9.0
Christian Walker	3	1		0	0	1		$4,800 $3,500 $19	9.1	5.0	-4.1
Isaac Paredes	4	1		0	0		1	$4,400 $2,800 $14	8.3	2.5	-5.8
Cam Smith	4	0		0	0		2	$3,800 $3,000 $13	7.8	-1.0	-8.8
Daniel Johnson	4						1	— $2,000 $7	7.3	-0.5	-7.8
Christian Vázquez	3					1	1	$3,200 $3,600 $11	7.8	1.5	-6.3
Brice Matthews	2	0		0	0	1		$3,500 $2,300 $11	7.4	2.0	-5.4
TOTALS	32	6	1	1	2	3	6		75.7	34.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	K	BB	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Peter Lambert	5.2	3	7	3	24	$6,000 $7,800 $26	10.5	27.2	+16.7
AJ Blubaugh	1.0		1		3	— — —	4.7	4.3	-0.4
Steven Okert	0.2	1			3	— — —	3.2	0.9	-2.3
Enyel De Los Santos	1.1	1	1	1	6	— — —	0.9	3.8	+2.9

Cleveland Guardians — Hitting

Player	AB	H	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Steven Kwan	3	1	0	0	1		$3,900 $2,700 $14	9.4	5.0	-4.4
Chase DeLauter	4	2	0	0			$4,300 $3,200 $17	11.2	6.0	-5.2
José Ramírez	4	1				2	$6,300 $3,800 $21	10.7	2.0	-8.7
Kyle Manzardo	2	0	0	0	1	2	$3,200 $2,400 $11	8.7	1.0	-7.7
George Valera	4	0	0	0			$2,900 $2,500 $13	8.9	0.0	-8.9
Daniel Schneemann	3	1	0	0	1	2	$2,800 — $14	8.4	4.0	-4.4
Juan Brito	3	0	0	0		2	$2,100 $2,400 $8	6.8	-1.0	-7.8
Bo Naylor	3	0	0	0	1		$2,800 $2,300 $12	7.7	2.0	-5.7
Brayan Rocchio	4	0	0	0			$2,600 $2,900 $15	7.3	0.0	-7.3
Rhys Hoskins	1					1	— — —	—	-0.5
Angel Martínez	1						$3,700 $2,800 $10	—	0.0
TOTALS	32	5		0	4	9		79.2	18.5

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Tanner Bibee	5.2	5	2	3	2	1	24	$8,700 $7,900 $34	13.2	14.0	+0.8
Matt Festa	1.0		0	2	1	0	4	— — —	5.3	5.7	+0.4
Hunter Gaddis	1.0		0			0	3	— — —	—	2.3
Erik Sabrowski	1.0	1	0	1		0	4	— — —	4.0	3.7	-0.3

Player Props

Player	Prop	Side	Line	Odds	Proj	Edge	Actual	Result
Tanner Bibee	outs recorded	UNDER	17.5	+106	13.20	50.4%	17	HIT
Yordan Alvarez	total bases	OVER	1.5	+107	3.15	+48.2%	6	HIT
Brice Matthews	total bases	OVER	0.5	+135	1.20	+34.2%	0	MISS
Christian Walker	total bases	OVER	1.5	+130	2.18	+32.5%	1	MISS
Chase DeLauter	total bases	OVER	1.5	+117	2.26	+32.5%	2	HIT
Daniel Schneemann	total bases	OVER	0.5	-150	1.74	+31.3%	1	HIT
Christian Walker	rbis	OVER	0.5	+171	0.74	+26.2%	0	MISS
Brayan Rocchio	total bases	OVER	0.5	-135	1.39	+25.6%	0	MISS
Peter Lambert	strikeouts	OVER	3.5	-133	5.13	+25.5%	7	HIT
Peter Lambert	hits allowed	OVER	4.5	-120	5.78	+25.1%	3	MISS
George Valera	total bases	OVER	0.5	-155	1.49	+24.9%	0	MISS
Isaac Paredes	total bases	OVER	0.5	-155	1.47	+24.5%	1	HIT
Cam Smith	total bases	OVER	0.5	-150	1.41	+23.8%	0	MISS
George Valera	rbis	OVER	0.5	+209	0.59	+23.8%	0	MISS
Daniel Schneemann	runs	OVER	0.5	+158	0.67	+22.8%	—	—
Tanner Bibee	hits allowed	OVER	5.5	+107	6.33	+22.6%	5	MISS
George Valera	runs	OVER	0.5	+153	0.67	+22.4%	—	—
Peter Lambert	outs recorded	OVER	14.5	-159	16.50	+21.5%	17	HIT
Yordan Alvarez	rbis	OVER	0.5	+159	0.65	+20.8%	2	HIT
Yordan Alvarez	runs	OVER	0.5	-102	0.84	+20.7%	—	—
Daniel Schneemann	hits	OVER	0.5	-149	1.11	+20.4%	1	HIT
Carlos Correa	runs	OVER	0.5	+118	0.74	+20.3%	—	—
George Valera	hits	OVER	0.5	-155	1.12	+19.8%	0	MISS
Cam Smith	runs	OVER	0.5	+174	0.56	+19.1%	—	—
Yordan Alvarez	hits	OVER	0.5	-249	1.40	+18.6%	3	HIT
Brayan Rocchio	runs	OVER	0.5	+159	0.58	+18.2%	—	—
Jose Altuve	runs	OVER	0.5	+142	0.62	+17.9%	—	—
Christian Walker	runs	OVER	0.5	+134	0.64	+17.9%	—	—
Isaac Paredes	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-295	0.46	+17.8%	0	HIT
Isaac Paredes	runs	OVER	0.5	+150	0.55	+15.3%	—	—
Carlos Correa	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-382	0.30	+15.3%	0	HIT
Cam Smith	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-350	0.31	+14.3%	0	HIT
Chase DeLauter	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-227	0.49	+14.0%	0	HIT
Carlos Correa	hits	OVER	0.5	-251	1.24	+13.7%	1	HIT
Brayan Rocchio	hits	OVER	0.5	-157	0.96	+13.5%	0	MISS
Kyle Manzardo	total bases	OVER	0.5	-155	1.08	+13.5%	0	MISS
Brayan Rocchio	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-380	0.24	+12.7%	0	HIT
Bo Naylor	total bases	OVER	0.5	-120	0.88	+12.5%	0	MISS
Chase DeLauter	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.31	+11.6%	0	HIT
Juan Brito	runs	UNDER	0.5	-242	0.42	+11.5%	—	—
Steven Kwan	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-670	0.05	11.4%	—	—
Steven Kwan	total bases	UNDER	1.5	-160	0.96	11.3%	1	HIT
Carlos Correa	total bases	OVER	1.5	+126	1.57	+11.2%	2	HIT
Steven Kwan	hits	UNDER	1.5	-272	0.81	10.5%	1	HIT
Kyle Manzardo	runs	UNDER	0.5	-186	0.50	+10.1%	—	—
Juan Brito	total bases	OVER	0.5	-160	1.00	+10.0%	0	MISS
Jose Altuve	total bases	OVER	1.5	+131	1.51	+9.9%	0	MISS
Brice Matthews	runs	UNDER	0.5	-260	0.36	+9.8%	—	—
Brice Matthews	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-420	0.13	+9.7%	0	HIT
Jose Altuve	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-311	0.25	+9.6%	0	HIT
Juan Brito	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-386	0.16	+9.6%	0	HIT
Isaac Paredes	hits	OVER	0.5	-171	0.91	+9.5%	1	HIT
Daniel Schneemann	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-336	0.21	+9.3%	0	HIT
Christian Walker	hits	OVER	0.5	-233	1.07	+9.2%	1	HIT
Steven Kwan	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-355	0.16	+8.2%	0	HIT
Cam Smith	hits	OVER	0.5	-193	0.93	+7.7%	0	MISS
Chase DeLauter	runs	OVER	0.5	-103	0.59	+7.7%	—	—
Peter Lambert	walks allowed	UNDER	2.5	-200	1.92	7.7%	3	MISS
Christian Walker	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.25	+7.4%	0	HIT
Jose Altuve	hits	OVER	0.5	-244	1.03	+6.8%	0	MISS
Kyle Manzardo	hits	OVER	0.5	-166	0.83	+6.7%	0	MISS
Tanner Bibee	strikeouts	OVER	4.5	-142	5.09	+6.3%	3	MISS
Kyle Manzardo	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.06	6.1%	0	HIT
Chase DeLauter	hits	OVER	0.5	-233	0.98	+5.8%	2	HIT
Chase DeLauter	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	5.4%	—	—
Juan Brito	hits	OVER	0.5	-138	0.70	+5.1%	0	MISS
Juan Brito	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	5.0%	—	—
Brice Matthews	hits	OVER	0.5	-114	0.60	+4.9%	0	MISS
Daniel Schneemann	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.06	4.7%	—	—
Jose Altuve	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.05	4.6%	—	—
Bo Naylor	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-327	0.10	+4.3%	0	HIT
Bo Naylor	runs	UNDER	0.5	-210	0.34	+4.2%	—	—
Brayan Rocchio	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.04	3.8%	—	—
Brice Matthews	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.07	3.7%	—	—
Yordan Alvarez	home runs	UNDER	1.5	-110	0.45	3.4%	1	HIT
Steven Kwan	runs	UNDER	0.5	-141	0.49	+3.4%	—	—
Bo Naylor	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.08	3.3%	0	HIT
Kyle Manzardo	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-219	0.26	+3.2%	0	HIT
Bo Naylor	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	2.9%	—	—
George Valera	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	2.9%	—	—
Brayan Rocchio	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.10	+2.9%	0	HIT
Juan Brito	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	2.9%	0	HIT
Christian Walker	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	2.6%	—	—
Tanner Bibee	walks allowed	OVER	1.5	-135	1.67	+2.4%	2	HIT
Carlos Correa	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.06	2.3%	0	HIT
Cam Smith	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.17	+2.1%	—	—
Cam Smith	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.10	+2.0%	0	HIT
Isaac Paredes	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	1.5%	—	—
Kyle Manzardo	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	1.5%	—	—
Isaac Paredes	home runs	UNDER	1.5	-110	0.11	1.2%	0	HIT
George Valera	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.14	+1.2%	0	HIT
Daniel Schneemann	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.08	1.1%	0	HIT
Steven Kwan	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	0.7%	0	HIT
Yordan Alvarez	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.04	0.3%	—	—
Bo Naylor	hits	OVER	0.5	-128	0.56	+0.3%	0	MISS
Brice Matthews	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.10	+0.2%	0	HIT
Jose Altuve	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.10	+0.0%	0	HIT