San Diego Padres

60% win

pred 5.5

Bradgley Rodriguez

FINAL

San Francisco Giants

41% win

pred 4.3

Adrian Houser

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	2	0	5	6
SF	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	3

2026-05-06 · 3:45 PM ET Oracle Park 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Ty France	1B	12.0	$2.2k	5.5
Gavin Sheets	1B	12.0	$3.0k	4.0
Xander Bogaerts	SS	14.0	$4.1k	3.4
Rafael Devers	1B	11.5	$3.7k	3.1
Jesus Rodriguez	C	6.0	$2.0k	3.0
Nick Castellanos	OF	5.5	$2.6k	2.1
Jackson Merrill	OF	7.0	$4.6k	1.5
Ramón Laureano	OF	3.5	$4.2k	0.8
Manny Machado	3B	1.5	$4.4k	0.3

Best Bets

San Diego Padres

ML ★★ · +9.9% edge

-108 · $200 bet · $186 profit

Model: 60% vs Market: 50%

WIN

OVER 8.0

TOTAL ★ · +1.8 off line

-110 · $100 bet · $91 profit

Model: 9.8 vs Line: 8.0

LOSS

San Diego Padres + OVER 8.0

SGP ★★ · 2-leg same-game parlay

+268 · $200 bet · $536 profit

LOSS

Predictions

San Diego Padres

ML · Model 60% vs Mkt 50%

-108 · $93 per $100

WIN

San Francisco Giants +1.5

RL · 0.4 off line

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

OVER 8.0

TOTAL · Proj 9.8 vs Line 8.0

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

San Diego Padres ML + San Francisco Giants +1.5 + OVER 8.0

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+602 · $602 per $100

LOSS

SD 60% 41% SF

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	83.8%	16.2%
6.5	76.7%	23.3%
7.5	65.9%	34.1%
8.5	58.3%	41.7%
9.5	47.5%	52.5%
10.5	40.9%	59.1%
11.5	31.8%	68.2%
12.5	24.8%	75.2%

Run Line (margin)

Line	SF covers	SD covers
SF -1.5	28.9%	46.7%
SF -2.5	18.8%	37.3%
SF -3.5	13.1%	28.7%

Team Totals

Line	SF	SD
O 3.5	56.4%	69.3%
O 4.5	43.2%	57.1%
O 5.5	29.9%	44.2%
O 6.5	20.6%	33.6%

Odds

moneyline SD 60% · -108 · $93 per $100

Book	SD	Impl%	SF	Impl%
DraftKings	-108	49.6%	-112	50.4%

runline San Francisco Giants +1.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

SD -1.5: SD 5.5 − 1.5 = 4.0 vs SF 4.3 no bet

SF +1.5: SF 4.3 + 1.5 = 5.8 vs SD 5.5 BET ✗

Book	SD		SF
DraftKings	-1.5	-110	+1.5	-110

total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 8.0 -118	U 8.0 -102

Player Projections actual (projected)

San Diego Padres

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Jackson Merrill	CF	1.2	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.1	0.4	0.9	10.0	—
Gavin Sheets	LF	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.0	0.3	0.8	9.3	—
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.4	0.8	9.2	—
Manny Machado	3B	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.1	0.4	0.8	9.1	—
Miguel Andujar	LF	1.1	0.1	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.3	0.7	8.9	—
Ramón Laureano	RF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.9	8.4	—
Nick Castellanos	RF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.8	7.9	—
Freddy Fermin	C	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.7	7.3	—
Michael King	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.5	6.1	—
Matt Waldron	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.0	5.8	—
Mason Miller	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	5.2	—
Adrian Morejon	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.9	4.6	—
Ron Marinaccio	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.8	4.1	—
Jason Adam	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.8	3.9	—
Wandy Peralta	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.6	3.9	—
Griffin Canning	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	3.5	—
Jeremiah Estrada	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.1	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Bradgley Rodriguez	Starter	1.7	1.6	1.6	0.7	0.7	0%	100%	4.4	—

San Francisco Giants

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Heliot Ramos	LF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.0	7.9	—
Casey Schmitt	3B	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.9	7.5	—
Matt Chapman	3B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.4	0.9	7.4	—
Rafael Devers	DH	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.9	7.4	—
Jung Hoo Lee	CF	1.0	0.0	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.4	0.8	7.3	—
Willy Adames	SS	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.4	0.9	7.1	—
Jesus Rodriguez	C	0.8	0.0	0.4	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.8	6.2	—
Patrick Bailey	C	0.7	0.0	0.4	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.9	6.0	—
Bryce Eldridge	1B	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.4	0.0	0.5	1.1	5.2	—
Matt Gage	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.3	—
Gregory Santos	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	3.0	—
Caleb Kilian	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.8	—
Joel Peguero	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.5	—
JT Brubaker	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.1	—
Keaton Winn	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	1.9	—
Ryan Borucki	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.8	1.4	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Adrian Houser	Starter	5.7	4.8	6.3	2.0	3.4	39%	100%	12.0	—

Box Score

San Diego Padres — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Jackson Merrill	4	1	1				1		$4,600 $3,000 $17	10.0	7.0	-3.0
Manny Machado	3						1	1	$4,400 $3,000 $16	9.1	1.5	-7.6
Miguel Andujar	4								$3,300 $2,700 $13	8.9	0.0	-8.9
Gavin Sheets	3	1			1	1			$3,000 $2,700 $13	9.3	12.0	+2.7
Fernando Tatis Jr.	4								$4,700 $2,900 $16	9.2	0.0	-9.2
Ramón Laureano	2						2	1	$4,200 $3,100 $17	8.4	3.5	-4.9
Nick Castellanos	4	2						1	$2,600 $2,300 $7	7.9	5.5	-2.4
Freddy Fermin	4								$2,500 $2,100 $7	7.3	0.0	-7.3
Ty France	2	1		1		2			$2,200 — —	—	12.0
Xander Bogaerts	1	1			1	2			$4,100 $3,000 $16	—	14.0
TOTALS	31	6	1	1	2	5	4	3		70.2	55.5

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Bradgley Rodriguez	1.0		0		0	3	$4,000 $5,500 $25	4.4	2.3	-2.1
Matt Waldron	5.0	2	1	7	1	17	$6,000 $6,300 $25	5.8	25.5	+19.7
Adrian Morejon	2.0	1	0	4	0	7	$4,000 — —	4.6	11.9	+7.3
Mason Miller	1.0		0	2	0	3	$4,000 — —	5.2	6.3	+1.1

San Francisco Giants — Hitting

Player	AB	H	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Heliot Ramos	4					3	$3,100 $2,700 $14	7.9	-1.5	-9.4
Jung Hoo Lee	4						$3,300 $2,700 $14	7.3	0.0	-7.3
Casey Schmitt	4					2	$3,400 — $14	7.5	-1.0	-8.5
Matt Chapman	3					1	$3,800 $2,700 $15	7.4	-0.5	-7.9
Rafael Devers	3	1	1	1		1	$3,700 $2,600 $14	7.4	11.5	+4.1
Willy Adames	3					1	$3,300 $2,700 $14	7.1	-0.5	-7.6
Bryce Eldridge	3					3	$2,500 $2,400 $11	5.2	-1.5	-6.7
Jesus Rodriguez	3	2					$2,000 $2,000 $7	6.2	6.0	-0.2
Patrick Bailey	3					2	$2,300 $2,300 $9	6.0	-1.0	-7.0
TOTALS	30	3	1	1	0	13		62.0	11.5

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Adrian Houser	5.1	3	1	2	1	1	21	$5,700 $6,600 $25	12.0	15.0	+3.0
Keaton Winn	0.2		0		1	0	3	$5,700 — —	1.9	0.9	-1.0
Matt Gage	0.1	1	2			0	2	$4,000 — —	3.3	-3.9	-7.2
Ryan Walker	1.0	2	2		2	1	7	$4,000 — —	—	-4.8
Joel Peguero	1.0		0	1		0	3	$4,000 — —	2.5	4.3	+1.8