New York Yankees

48% win

pred 4.9

Luis Gil

FINAL

Boston Red Sox

52% win

pred 5.1

Connelly Early

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	1	0	0	0	2				4	10
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4

2026-04-21 · 6:45 PM ET Fenway Park 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Giancarlo Stanton	OF	20.5	$4.7k	4.4
Marcelo Mayer	2B	5.0	$2.6k	1.9
Ceddanne Rafaela	OF	5.0	$3.1k	1.6
Randal Grichuk	OF	3.0	$2.2k	1.4
Carlos Narváez	C	3.0	$2.3k	1.3
José Caballero	SS	3.0	$2.8k	1.1
Willson Contreras	1B	3.0	$4.2k	0.7
Amed Rosario	2B/3B	2.0	$3.1k	0.7
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	2.5	$4.2k	0.6
Trevor Story	SS	2.0	$3.9k	0.5
Cody Bellinger	OF	2.0	$4.5k	0.4
Aaron Judge	OF	2.0	$6.7k	0.3
Roman Anthony	OF	1.5	$5.4k	0.3

Predictions

Boston Red Sox

ML · Model 52% vs Mkt 53%

-121 · $83 per $100

LOSS

Boston Red Sox +1.5

RL · 1.7 off line

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

OVER 8.5

TOTAL · Proj 9.9 vs Line 8.5

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

Boston Red Sox ML + Boston Red Sox +1.5 + OVER 8.5

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+566 · $566 per $100

LOSS

NYY 48% 52% BOS

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	83.5%	16.5%
6.5	77.1%	22.9%
7.5	67.6%	32.4%
8.5	58.7%	41.3%
9.5	47.4%	52.6%
10.5	41.3%	58.7%
11.5	34.1%	65.9%
12.5	26.7%	73.3%

Run Line (margin)

Line	BOS covers	NYY covers
BOS -1.5	38.5%	34.9%
BOS -2.5	27.6%	25.6%
BOS -3.5	20.7%	18.7%

Team Totals

Line	BOS	NYY
O 3.5	64.8%	60.9%
O 4.5	51.0%	49.9%
O 5.5	38.2%	38.0%
O 6.5	29.4%	26.8%

Odds

moneyline BOS 52% · -121 · $83 per $100

Book	NYY	Impl%	BOS	Impl%
DraftKings	+100	47.7%	-121	52.3%
FanDuel	+104	47.1%	-122	52.9%
BetMGM	+100	47.8%	-120	52.2%
Caesars	+110	45.7%	-130	54.3%

runline Boston Red Sox +1.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

NYY -1.5: NYY 4.9 − 1.5 = 3.4 vs BOS 5.1 no bet

BOS +1.5: BOS 5.1 + 1.5 = 6.6 vs NYY 4.9 BET ✗

Book	NYY		BOS
DraftKings	-1.5	+160	+1.5	-195
FanDuel	+1.5	-205	-1.5	+168
BetMGM	-1.5	+165	+1.5	-200
Caesars	+1.5	-195	-1.5	+162

total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 8.5 -105	U 8.5 -115
FanDuel	O 8.5 -110	U 8.5 -110
BetMGM	O 8.5 -105	U 8.5 -115
Caesars	O 8.5 -105	U 8.5 -115

Player Projections actual (projected)

New York Yankees

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Aaron Judge	RF	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.1	0.5	1.2	9.9	—
Amed Rosario	3B	1.1	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.4	1.1	8.7	—
Cody Bellinger	LF	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.4	1.0	8.2	—
Ben Rice	1B	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.5	1.2	8.2	—
Giancarlo Stanton	DH	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.2	8.1	—
José Caballero	SS	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.3	0.4	1.1	7.8	—
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.3	1.2	7.4	—
Randal Grichuk	RF	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.1	7.2	—
Austin Wells	C	0.7	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.1	6.4	—
Ryan Yarbrough	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.0	5.1	—
David Bednar	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	4.0	—
Paul Blackburn	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.9	4.0	—
Fernando Cruz	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.4	—
Angel Chivilli	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	2.6	—
Brent Headrick	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	2.6	—
Tim Hill	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.7	1.7	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Luis Gil	Starter	5.0	4.9	4.7	2.4	2.9	41%	100%	12.8	—

Boston Red Sox

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Roman Anthony	RF	0.9	0.2	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.6	1.1	9.3	—
Willson Contreras	1B	0.9	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.0	0.5	1.1	9.2	—
Trevor Story	SS	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.2	0.4	1.1	9.2	—
Wilyer Abreu	RF	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.1	0.5	1.0	9.2	—
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.9	8.5	—
Masataka Yoshida	LF	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.0	0.5	0.8	8.3	—
Marcelo Mayer	3B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.9	7.6	—
Caleb Durbin	3B	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.1	0.4	0.7	7.3	—
Carlos Narváez	C	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.9	7.0	—
Jovani Morán	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.0	4.7	—
Garrett Whitlock	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	3.3	—
Aroldis Chapman	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.9	—
Greg Weissert	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.6	—
Ryan Watson	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.5	—
Zack Kelly	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.4	—
Danny Coulombe	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.1	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Connelly Early	Starter	5.3	6.0	5.1	2.3	2.8	46%	100%	15.6	—

Box Score

New York Yankees — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Amed Rosario	2					1		$3,100 $2,800 $12	8.7	2.0	-6.7
Aaron Judge	2					1		$6,700 $4,100 $24	9.9	2.0	-7.9
Ben Rice	2						2	$5,300 $4,400 $23	8.2	-1.0	-9.2
Giancarlo Stanton	3	2	1	1	3		1	$4,700 $2,900 $16	8.1	20.5	+12.4
Cody Bellinger	2					1		$4,500 $3,200 $17	8.2	2.0	-6.2
Randal Grichuk	2	1						$2,200 $2,200 $7	7.2	3.0	-4.2
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2	1					1	$4,200 $2,800 $13	7.4	2.5	-4.9
José Caballero	2	1						$2,800 — $14	7.8	3.0	-4.8
Austin Wells	2							$2,700 $2,500 $10	6.4	0.0	-6.4
TOTALS	19	5	1	1	3	3	4		71.7	34.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	K	BB	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Luis Gil	6.0	2	2	3	24	$7,100 $6,600 $27	12.8	18.5	+5.7
Brent Headrick	0.2	1	1		3	— — —	2.6	2.9	+0.3
Tim Hill	1.0				3	— — —	1.7	2.3	+0.6
David Bednar	1.0	1	1		4	— — —	4.0	3.7	-0.3

Boston Red Sox — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Roman Anthony	3				1	1	$5,400 $2,800 $18	9.3	1.5	-7.8
Willson Contreras	4	1					$4,200 $3,300 $17	9.2	3.0	-6.2
Masataka Yoshida	4						$3,200 $2,600 $12	8.3	0.0	-8.3
Wilyer Abreu	4						$4,700 $3,200 $14	9.2	0.0	-9.2
Trevor Story	3				1		$3,900 $2,800 $15	9.2	2.0	-7.2
Ceddanne Rafaela	3	1			1		$3,100 $2,600 $13	8.5	5.0	-3.5
Marcelo Mayer	1	1	1				$2,600 $2,500 $10	7.6	5.0	-2.6
Caleb Durbin	3					2	$2,500 $2,500 $12	7.3	-1.0	-8.3
Carlos Narváez	3	1					$2,300 $2,300 $7	7.0	3.0	-4.0
Andruw Monasterio	1						— — —	—	0.0
Jarren Duran	1					1	$4,800 $3,100 $16	—	-0.5
TOTALS	30	4	1	0	3	4		75.5	18.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Connelly Early	4.2	5	3	4	3	1	23	$8,200 $8,700 $39	15.6	7.1	-8.5