New York Yankees

59% win

pred 5.3

Max Fried

FINAL

Boston Red Sox

41% win

pred 4.3

Ranger Suarez

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	3	0	1	0	0	0				4	6
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	5

2026-04-22 · 6:45 PM ET Fenway Park 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Amed Rosario	3B	20.0	$3.4k	5.9
Max Fried	SP	37.0	$9.7k	3.8
Jarren Duran	LF	15.0	$4.8k	3.1
Giancarlo Stanton	DH	12.0	$4.6k	2.6
Aaron Judge	RF	16.0	$6.6k	2.4
Zack Kelly	RP	6.3	$4.0k	1.6
Randal Grichuk	RF	3.0	$2.2k	1.4
Trevor Story	SS	5.0	$3.9k	1.3
Andruw Monasterio	SS	2.0	$2.1k	1.0
Ranger Suarez	SP	6.3	$8.0k	0.8
Wilyer Abreu	RF	3.0	$4.7k	0.6
Willson Contreras	1B	2.0	$4.4k	0.5

Best Bets

OVER 7.5

TOTAL ★★ · +2.1 off line

-110 · $200 bet · $182 profit

Model: 9.6 vs Line: 7.5

LOSS

Predictions

New York Yankees

ML · Model 59% vs Mkt 55%

-136 · $74 per $100

WIN

Boston Red Sox +1.5

RL · 0.5 off line

-149 · $67 per $100

LOSS

OVER 7.5

TOTAL · Proj 9.6 vs Line 7.5

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

New York Yankees ML + Boston Red Sox +1.5 + OVER 7.5

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+454 · $454 per $100

LOSS

NYY 59% 41% BOS

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	81.1%	18.9%
6.5	74.8%	25.2%
7.5	64.5%	35.5%
8.5	55.1%	44.9%
9.5	44.8%	55.2%
10.5	37.9%	62.1%
11.5	31.1%	68.9%
12.5	25.2%	74.8%

Run Line (margin)

Line	BOS covers	NYY covers
BOS -1.5	28.8%	45.9%
BOS -2.5	18.9%	35.7%
BOS -3.5	13.1%	27.9%

Team Totals

Line	BOS	NYY
O 3.5	53.7%	66.7%
O 4.5	41.4%	53.5%
O 5.5	29.5%	42.9%
O 6.5	21.1%	32.8%

Odds

moneyline NYY 59% · -136 · $74 per $100

Book	NYY	Impl%	BOS	Impl%
DraftKings	-136	55.1%	+113	44.9%
FanDuel	-136	55.4%	+116	44.6%
BetMGM	-135	55.2%	+115	44.8%
Caesars	-135	55.2%	+115	44.8%

runline Boston Red Sox +1.5 · -149 · $67 per $100

NYY -1.5: NYY 5.3 − 1.5 = 3.8 vs BOS 4.3 no bet

BOS +1.5: BOS 4.3 + 1.5 = 5.8 vs NYY 5.3 BET ✗

Book	NYY		BOS
DraftKings	-1.5	+123	+1.5	-149
FanDuel	-1.5	+125	+1.5	-150
BetMGM	-1.5	+125	+1.5	-150
Caesars	-1.5	+122	+1.5	-145

total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 7.5 -118	U 7.5 -102
FanDuel	O 7.5 -115	U 7.5 -105
BetMGM	O 7.5 -120	U 7.5 +100
Caesars	O 7.5 -120	U 7.5 +100

Player Projections actual (projected)

New York Yankees

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Aaron Judge	RF	1.1	0.2	0.8	0.7	0.1	0.5	1.1	10.9	—
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	1.1	0.2	0.8	0.6	0.1	0.4	1.0	9.4	—
Cody Bellinger	LF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.4	0.9	9.1	—
Giancarlo Stanton	DH	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.0	0.4	1.0	9.1	—
Amed Rosario	3B	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.8	8.5	—
José Caballero	SS	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.3	0.3	1.0	8.1	—
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.3	1.0	7.8	—
Randal Grichuk	RF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.9	7.7	—
Austin Wells	C	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.9	6.9	—
David Bednar	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.7	—
Paul Blackburn	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.6	3.6	—
Ryan Yarbrough	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	3.3	—
Fernando Cruz	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.2	—
Angel Chivilli	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.2	—
Brent Headrick	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.7	1.7	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Max Fried	Starter	6.6	6.2	6.1	2.0	2.9	57%	100%	18.8	—

Boston Red Sox

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Trevor Story	SS	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.3	1.1	8.4	—
Willson Contreras	1B	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.1	8.3	—
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.3	1.1	7.9	—
Wilyer Abreu	RF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.0	7.8	—
Andruw Monasterio	SS	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	1.0	7.0	—
Jarren Duran	LF	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.1	0.3	1.0	6.8	—
Connor Wong	C	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.0	0.3	0.9	6.7	—
Caleb Durbin	3B	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.7	6.7	—
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	SS	0.9	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.2	0.7	6.3	—
Jovani Morán	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.7	6.3	—
Garrett Whitlock	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.5	—
Ryan Watson	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.6	3.1	—
Greg Weissert	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	3.0	—
Aroldis Chapman	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	3.0	—
Zack Kelly	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.7	—
Danny Coulombe	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.6	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Ranger Suarez	Starter	5.0	5.0	5.2	2.0	2.8	35%	100%	12.6	—

Box Score

New York Yankees — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Paul Goldschmidt	3						1	$6,400 $2,800 $8	9.4	0.0	-9.4
Aaron Judge	1	1		0	0	2		$10,000 $4,200 $24	10.9	16.0	+5.1
Cody Bellinger	3	0		0	0		1	$7,600 $3,300 $17	9.1	0.0	-9.1
Giancarlo Stanton	3	2	2	0	0			$7,800 $2,800 $16	9.1	12.0	+2.9
Amed Rosario	1	1		1	4			$6,200 $2,800 $11	8.5	20.0	+11.5
Randal Grichuk	2	1		0	0			$4,200 $2,200 $7	7.7	3.0	-4.7
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2	0		0	0			$7,000 $2,700 $12	7.8	0.0	-7.8
José Caballero	2						1	$5,600 — $14	8.1	-0.5	-8.6
Austin Wells	2	0		0	0		1	$5,400 $2,500 $10	6.9	0.0	-6.9
Ben Rice	1	0		0	0		1	$9,200 $4,500 $22	—	0.0
Trent Grisham	1						1	$3,800 — —	—	0.0
TOTALS	21	5	2	1	4	2	6		77.5	50.5

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Max Fried	8.0	3	0	9	2	0	29	$11,600 $10,500 $50	18.8	37.0	+18.2
Brent Headrick	1.0	2	1			0	5	$4,000 — —	1.7	-1.0	-2.7

Boston Red Sox — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Ceddanne Rafaela	4	0		0	0		3	$5,800 $2,600 $12	7.9	0.0	-7.9
Willson Contreras	3	0		0	0	1	1	$7,200 $3,300 $17	8.3	2.0	-6.3
Wilyer Abreu	4	1		0	0			$8,200 $3,100 $12	7.8	3.0	-4.8
Trevor Story	4	1		0	0		2	$6,800 $2,800 $15	8.4	5.0	-3.4
Andruw Monasterio	3	0		0	0	1		$3,400 — $8	7.0	2.0	-5.0
Jarren Duran	4	3	2		1			$8,400 $3,000 $12	6.8	15.0	+8.2
Caleb Durbin	4	0		0	0		1	$5,000 $2,600 $12	6.7	0.0	-6.7
Connor Wong	3	0		0	0		1	$4,400 $2,600 $9	6.7	0.0	-6.7
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	3	0		0	0		1	$3,000 $2,200 $7	6.3	0.0	-6.3
TOTALS	32	5	2		1	2	9		65.9	27.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Ranger Suarez	4.2	5	4	4	2	1	21	$10,800 $9,000 $38	12.6	6.3	-6.3
Zack Kelly	1.0		0	2		0	3	$4,000 — —	2.7	6.3	+3.6

Player Props

Player	Prop	Side	Line	Odds	Proj	Edge	Actual	Result
Ben Rice	total bases	OVER	1.5	+128	3.02	+50.6%	0	MISS
Ranger Suarez	outs recorded	UNDER	17.5	+104	14.10	45.5%	14	HIT
Aaron Judge	total bases	OVER	1.5	-105	2.48	+33.5%	1	MISS
Amed Rosario	total bases	OVER	1.5	+123	2.21	+32.2%	4	HIT
Trevor Story	rbis	OVER	0.5	+231	0.71	+31.0%	0	MISS
Wilyer Abreu	total bases	OVER	0.5	-190	1.88	+28.4%	1	HIT
Ben Rice	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.45	+27.9%	0	HIT
Ceddanne Rafaela	runs	OVER	0.5	+157	0.74	+26.6%	—	—
Ben Rice	rbis	OVER	0.5	+177	0.72	+26.1%	0	MISS
Wilyer Abreu	runs	OVER	0.5	+152	0.71	+24.4%	—	—
Giancarlo Stanton	total bases	OVER	0.5	-190	1.62	+23.4%	4	HIT
Connor Wong	runs	OVER	0.5	+158	0.68	+23.4%	—	—
Cody Bellinger	runs	OVER	0.5	+148	0.70	+22.9%	—	—
Ben Rice	runs	OVER	0.5	+126	0.76	+22.7%	—	—
Cody Bellinger	total bases	OVER	1.5	+128	1.88	+22.5%	0	MISS
Max Fried	strikeouts	UNDER	5.5	-128	4.14	22.3%	9	MISS
Max Fried	outs recorded	OVER	17.5	-171	19.70	+22.1%	24	HIT
Giancarlo Stanton	rbis	OVER	0.5	+170	0.63	+21.3%	0	MISS
Roman Anthony	total bases	OVER	0.5	-150	1.31	+21.2%	—	—
Ceddanne Rafaela	total bases	OVER	0.5	-200	1.55	+21.0%	0	MISS
Wilyer Abreu	hits	OVER	0.5	-166	1.19	+20.7%	1	HIT
Ranger Suarez	strikeouts	UNDER	5.5	-151	4.01	20.5%	4	HIT
Willson Contreras	runs	OVER	0.5	+148	0.63	+19.4%	—	—
Ceddanne Rafaela	hits	OVER	0.5	-193	1.24	+19.2%	0	MISS
Wilyer Abreu	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-328	0.44	+18.8%	0	HIT
Ben Rice	hits	OVER	0.5	-216	1.27	+17.8%	0	MISS
Andruw Monasterio	runs	OVER	0.5	+165	0.55	+17.7%	—	—
Roman Anthony	runs	OVER	0.5	+148	0.58	+16.6%	—	—
Connor Wong	hits	OVER	0.5	-185	1.13	+16.3%	0	MISS
Giancarlo Stanton	runs	OVER	0.5	+137	0.60	+16.2%	—	—
Cody Bellinger	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-258	0.48	+16.1%	0	HIT
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	runs	UNDER	0.5	-320	0.40	+15.8%	—	—
Willson Contreras	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-270	0.45	+15.7%	0	HIT
Amed Rosario	runs	OVER	0.5	+107	0.70	+15.6%	—	—
Jose Caballero	runs	UNDER	0.5	-248	0.49	+15.6%	—	—
Amed Rosario	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-384	0.29	+15.0%	4	MISS
Jose Caballero	total bases	OVER	0.5	-155	1.11	+14.4%	—	—
Willson Contreras	total bases	OVER	1.5	+144	1.56	+13.8%	0	MISS
Trevor Story	runs	UNDER	0.5	-235	0.47	+13.8%	—	—
Roman Anthony	hits	OVER	0.5	-156	0.96	+13.6%	—	—
Caleb Durbin	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-417	0.22	+13.3%	0	HIT
Max Fried	hits allowed	UNDER	4.5	+118	4.25	12.6%	3	HIT
Cody Bellinger	hits	OVER	0.5	-233	1.16	+12.6%	0	MISS
Willson Contreras	hits	OVER	0.5	-193	1.05	+12.5%	0	MISS
Amed Rosario	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.26	+12.3%	1	MISS
Giancarlo Stanton	hits	OVER	0.5	-180	1.00	+12.1%	2	HIT
Austin Wells	total bases	OVER	0.5	-110	0.80	+11.8%	0	MISS
Andruw Monasterio	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-397	0.20	+11.7%	0	HIT
Randal Grichuk	runs	UNDER	0.5	-265	0.38	+11.4%	—	—
Jose Caballero	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-409	0.17	+10.9%	—	—
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.35	+10.9%	—	—
Ceddanne Rafaela	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-348	0.22	+10.3%	0	HIT
Aaron Judge	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-186	0.50	+10.2%	0	HIT
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	runs	UNDER	0.5	-247	0.38	+10.0%	—	—
Andruw Monasterio	total bases	OVER	0.5	-210	1.17	+10.0%	0	MISS
Andruw Monasterio	hits	OVER	0.5	-170	0.92	+10.0%	0	MISS
Jose Caballero	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.40	+9.9%	—	—
Jose Caballero	hits	OVER	0.5	-142	0.81	+9.4%	—	—
Caleb Durbin	hits	UNDER	0.5	+122	0.47	9.3%	0	HIT
Amed Rosario	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	8.7%	—	—
Ceddanne Rafaela	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	8.7%	—	—
Trevor Story	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.10	8.7%	—	—
Randal Grichuk	total bases	OVER	0.5	-190	1.07	+8.6%	1	HIT
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-436	0.07	+7.9%	0	HIT
Andruw Monasterio	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.13	+7.5%	0	HIT
Roman Anthony	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-391	0.10	+7.4%	—	—
Randal Grichuk	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-368	0.12	+7.1%	0	HIT
Caleb Durbin	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	7.0%	—	—
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	total bases	OVER	0.5	-140	0.82	+7.0%	0	MISS
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.11	+6.8%	0	HIT
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-386	0.09	+6.7%	0	HIT
Austin Wells	runs	UNDER	0.5	-236	0.34	+6.7%	—	—
Connor Wong	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-347	0.12	+6.1%	0	HIT
Austin Wells	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-407	0.05	+6.0%	0	HIT
Wilyer Abreu	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	5.0%	—	—
Aaron Judge	hits	UNDER	1.5	-256	1.00	4.7%	1	HIT
Cody Bellinger	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.16	+4.7%	0	HIT
Caleb Durbin	runs	UNDER	0.5	-245	0.28	+4.5%	—	—
Aaron Judge	home runs	UNDER	1.5	-110	0.45	4.2%	0	HIT
Andruw Monasterio	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.10	3.7%	—	—
Ranger Suarez	hits allowed	UNDER	5.5	-159	5.33	+3.7%	5	HIT
Trevor Story	hits	OVER	0.5	-177	0.79	+3.6%	1	HIT
Caleb Durbin	total bases	OVER	0.5	-160	0.61	3.5%	0	MISS
Connor Wong	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.13	+3.3%	—	—
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.09	3.1%	—	—
Aaron Judge	runs	OVER	0.5	-131	0.60	+2.9%	—	—
Connor Wong	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.11	+2.9%	0	HIT
Amed Rosario	hits	UNDER	1.5	-268	1.16	+2.8%	1	HIT
Wilyer Abreu	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.14	+2.8%	0	HIT
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	total bases	OVER	0.5	-160	0.64	2.5%	0	MISS
Randal Grichuk	hits	OVER	0.5	-138	0.64	+2.4%	1	HIT
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	hits	OVER	0.5	-140	0.64	+2.1%	0	MISS
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	hits	OVER	0.5	-149	0.67	+2.0%	0	MISS
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	1.9%	0	HIT
Trevor Story	total bases	UNDER	1.5	-190	1.24	+1.8%	1	HIT
Ben Rice	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.05	1.7%	—	—
Randal Grichuk	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.12	+1.5%	0	HIT
Willson Contreras	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	1.5%	—	—
Jose Caballero	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.05	+1.4%	—	—
Ceddanne Rafaela	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.06	1.4%	0	HIT
Trevor Story	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.08	+1.2%	0	HIT
Aaron Judge	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.14	1.1%	—	—
Austin Wells	hits	OVER	0.5	-124	0.56	+1.1%	0	MISS
Cody Bellinger	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.15	+1.1%	—	—
Giancarlo Stanton	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.16	0.9%	0	HIT
Roman Anthony	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.10	0.7%	—	—
Caleb Durbin	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	0.7%	0	HIT
Roman Anthony	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.05	+0.6%	—	—
Willson Contreras	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.16	+0.5%	0	HIT
Austin Wells	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	+0.4%	—	—
Randal Grichuk	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	+0.4%	—	—
Austin Wells	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.06	+0.1%	0	HIT