Cincinnati Reds

41% win

pred 5.2

Brady Singer

FINAL

Chicago Cubs

59% win

pred 5.9

Colin Rea

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
CIN	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	4	0	6	10
CHC	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	7	10

2026-05-06 · 7:40 PM ET Wrigley Field 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Ian Happ	LF	29.0	$4.5k	6.4
Matt McLain	2B	19.0	$3.4k	5.6
Spencer Steer	LF	14.0	$3.1k	4.5
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	21.0	$4.7k	4.5
Will Benson	RF	10.0	$2.5k	4.0
Michael Busch	1B	9.0	$3.9k	2.3
Colin Rea	SP	14.6	$6.5k	2.3
Brady Singer	SP	12.7	$6.0k	2.1
JJ Bleday	LF	8.0	$3.9k	2.1
Seiya Suzuki	RF	11.0	$5.4k	2.0
TJ Friedl	CF	7.0	$3.6k	1.9
Tyler Stephenson	C	5.0	$3.0k	1.7
Alex Bregman	3B	7.0	$4.4k	1.6
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	5.0	$3.3k	1.5
Jacob Webb	RP	5.8	$4.0k	1.4
Carson Kelly	C	5.0	$3.6k	1.4
Phil Maton	RP	4.3	$4.0k	1.1
Elly De La Cruz	SS	6.0	$6.2k	1.0
Dansby Swanson	SS	3.0	$3.6k	0.8
Brock Burke	RP	2.9	$4.0k	0.7
Nico Hoerner	2B	2.0	$4.9k	0.4
Sal Stewart	1B	2.0	$5.6k	0.4
Hoby Milner	RP	1.1	$4.0k	0.3
Pierce Johnson	RP	0.8	$4.0k	0.2
Sam Moll	RP	0.3	$4.0k	0.1

Best Bets

OVER 8.0

TOTAL ★★★ ELITE · +3.1 off line

-110 · $300 bet · $273 profit

Model: 11.1 vs Line: 8.0

WIN

Predictions

Chicago Cubs

ML · Model 59% vs Mkt 60%

-169 · $59 per $100

WIN

Cincinnati Reds +1.5

RL · 0.8 off line

-110 · $91 per $100

WIN

OVER 8.0

TOTAL · Proj 11.1 vs Line 8.0

-110 · $91 per $100

WIN

Chicago Cubs ML + Cincinnati Reds +1.5 + OVER 8.0

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+480 · $480 per $100

WIN

CIN 41% 59% CHC

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	88.9%	11.1%
6.5	84.3%	15.7%
7.5	75.3%	24.7%
8.5	67.3%	32.7%
9.5	58.7%	41.3%
10.5	51.7%	48.3%
11.5	43.1%	56.9%
12.5	36.0%	64.0%

Run Line (margin)

Line	CHC covers	CIN covers
CHC -1.5	46.1%	31.2%
CHC -2.5	34.6%	22.8%
CHC -3.5	24.6%	17.3%

Team Totals

Line	CHC	CIN
O 3.5	75.4%	64.4%
O 4.5	64.9%	52.8%
O 5.5	52.9%	41.1%
O 6.5	39.8%	30.8%

Odds

moneyline CHC 59% · -169 · $59 per $100

Book	CIN	Impl%	CHC	Impl%
DraftKings	+140	39.9%	-169	60.1%

runline Cincinnati Reds +1.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

CHC -1.5: CHC 5.9 − 1.5 = 4.4 vs CIN 5.2 no bet

CIN +1.5: CIN 5.2 + 1.5 = 6.7 vs CHC 5.9 BET ✓

Book	CIN		CHC
DraftKings	+1.5	-110	-1.5	-110

total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 8.0 -112	U 8.0 -108

Player Projections actual (projected)

Cincinnati Reds

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Elly De La Cruz	SS	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.3	0.4	1.1	10.3	—
Sal Stewart	3B	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.1	0.4	0.9	9.3	—
JJ Bleday	CF	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.9	9.2	—
TJ Friedl	CF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.9	8.9	—
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.9	8.5	—
Will Benson	LF	0.9	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.4	1.0	8.4	—
Spencer Steer	1B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.9	8.0	—
Matt McLain	2B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.9	7.7	—
Brock Burke	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.6	3.2	—
Sam Moll	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.1	—
Graham Ashcraft	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	2.8	—
Connor Phillips	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	2.7	—
Jose Franco	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	2.1	—
Tony Santillan	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	1.8	—
Jose Trevino	C	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.2	1.0	1.4	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Brady Singer	Starter	5.7	5.0	6.4	2.2	3.7	38%	100%	11.8	—

Chicago Cubs

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Nico Hoerner	2B	1.2	0.1	0.7	0.6	0.3	0.3	0.7	10.3	—
Ian Happ	LF	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.9	10.2	—
Seiya Suzuki	RF	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.9	9.7	—
Moisés Ballesteros	C	1.1	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.8	9.6	—
Alex Bregman	3B	1.1	0.1	0.7	0.7	0.0	0.4	0.7	9.2	—
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.7	0.2	0.3	0.9	9.1	—
Michael Busch	1B	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.4	0.9	8.9	—
Dansby Swanson	SS	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.8	8.2	—
Carson Kelly	C	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.8	8.2	—
Javier Assad	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.0	7.2	—
Ben Brown	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.2	5.7	—
Phil Maton	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	4.4	—
Hoby Milner	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.6	4.3	—
Jacob Webb	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.6	—
Ryan Rolison	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.2	—
Daniel Palencia	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.8	2.1	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Colin Rea	Starter	5.9	5.7	5.9	2.2	3.3	56%	100%	15.4	—

Box Score

Cincinnati Reds — Hitting

Player	AB	H	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
TJ Friedl	3	1			1	1	$3,600 $2,700 $13	8.9	7.0	-1.9
JJ Bleday	5	2		1		2	$3,900 $3,200 $15	9.2	8.0	-1.2
Elly De La Cruz	4			3		2	$6,200 $4,000 $20	10.3	6.0	-4.3
Sal Stewart	4				1		$5,600 $3,700 $17	9.3	2.0	-7.3
Nathaniel Lowe	4	1			1	1	$3,300 $2,800 $14	8.5	5.0	-3.5
Spencer Steer	5	1	1	1		1	$3,100 $2,800 $14	8.0	14.0	+6.0
Will Benson	4	2			1		$2,500 $2,200 $7	8.4	10.0	+1.6
Jose Trevino	3						$2,100 $2,200 $7	1.4	0.0	-1.4
Matt McLain	3	2	1	1			$3,400 $2,700 $12	7.7	19.0	+11.3
Tyler Stephenson	1	1					$3,000 $2,500 $10	—	5.0
Dane Myers	1					1	$3,000 — —	—	0.0
TOTALS	37	10	2	6	4	8		71.7	76.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Brady Singer	5.2	6	3	6	1	1	25	$6,000 $6,800 $27	11.8	12.7	+0.9
Sam Moll	0.1	2	0			0	3	$4,000 — —	3.1	0.3	-2.8
Pierce Johnson	0.1		0			0	1	$4,000 — —	—	0.8
Tejay Antone	1.0		0	2		0	3	— — —	—	6.3
Graham Ashcraft	1.0	2	2	1		1	5	$4,000 — —	2.8	-1.0	-3.7
Brock Burke	0.2		1	1	1	0	5	$4,000 — —	3.2	2.9	-0.3

Chicago Cubs — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Nico Hoerner	5							$4,900 $3,700 $18	10.3	2.0	-8.3
Moisés Ballesteros	3						2	$4,200 $2,900 $15	9.6	-1.0	-10.6
Alex Bregman	5	1					2	$4,400 $2,800 $14	9.2	7.0	-2.2
Ian Happ	5	3		1	2		1	$4,500 $3,700 $19	10.2	29.0	+18.8
Seiya Suzuki	5	1	1		1		1	$5,400 $3,500 $19	9.7	11.0	+1.3
Michael Busch	3	1			1	2	2	$3,900 $2,800 $15	8.9	9.0	+0.1
Carson Kelly	4	1					1	$3,600 $2,900 $13	8.2	5.0	-3.2
Pete Crow-Armstrong	3	2		1	2			$4,700 $2,800 $15	9.1	21.0	+11.9
Dansby Swanson	4	1					1	$3,600 $3,300 $16	8.2	3.0	-5.2
Michael Conforto	1							$2,400 — —	—	0.0
Miguel Amaya	0							$3,000 — —	—	0.0
TOTALS	38	10	1	2	6	2	10		83.3	86.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Colin Rea	5.0	6	2	5	3	1	24	$6,500 $8,700 $37	15.4	14.6	-0.8
Jacob Webb	1.2		0	1		0	5	$4,000 — —	2.6	5.8	+3.1
Phil Maton	1.0		0	1		0	3	$4,000 — —	4.4	4.3	-0.1
Corbin Martin	0.0	3	1			1	3	$4,000 — —	—	-7.8
Hoby Milner	1.0	1	3	1	1	0	6	$4,000 — —	4.3	1.1	-3.3
Trent Thornton	0.2		0			0	2	— — —	—	1.5