Cincinnati Reds

47% win

pred 5

Rhett Lowder

FINAL

Chicago Cubs

53% win

pred 5.1

Shota Imanaga

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	3	9
CHC	0	1	0	7	0	0	0	0		8	7

2026-05-07 · 2:20 PM ET Wrigley Field 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Michael Conforto	OF	24.0	$2.5k	9.6
Blake Dunn	OF	16.0	$2.3k	7.0
Miguel Amaya	C	8.5	$3.2k	2.7
Sal Stewart	1B/2B	13.5	$5.1k	2.7
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	5.5	$2.1k	2.6
Spencer Steer	1B/OF	7.0	$3.0k	2.3
JJ Bleday	OF	9.0	$3.9k	2.3
Nico Hoerner	2B	9.0	$4.9k	1.8
Pete Crow-Armstrong	OF	7.0	$4.7k	1.5
Matt McLain	2B	4.5	$3.1k	1.5
Dansby Swanson	SS	4.0	$3.6k	1.1
Will Benson	OF	2.0	$2.4k	0.8
Elly De La Cruz	SS	4.5	$6.1k	0.7
Michael Busch	1B	3.0	$4.1k	0.7
Moisés Ballesteros	C	2.0	$4.2k	0.5
Alex Bregman	3B	2.0	$4.4k	0.5
Tyler Stephenson	C	1.0	$2.8k	0.4
Ian Happ	OF	1.0	$4.6k	0.2

Predictions

Chicago Cubs

ML · Model 53% vs Mkt 64%

-199 · $50 per $100

WIN

Cincinnati Reds +1.5

RL · 1.4 off line

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

OVER 9.0

TOTAL · Proj 10.0 vs Line 9.0

-110 · $91 per $100

WIN

Chicago Cubs ML + Cincinnati Reds +1.5 + OVER 9.0

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+448 · $448 per $100

LOSS

CIN 47% 53% CHC

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	84.9%	15.1%
6.5	78.6%	21.4%
7.5	70.0%	30.0%
8.5	61.3%	38.7%
9.5	50.2%	49.8%
10.5	42.3%	57.7%
11.5	33.6%	66.4%
12.5	26.0%	74.0%

Run Line (margin)

Line	CHC covers	CIN covers
CHC -1.5	37.6%	35.5%
CHC -2.5	27.8%	25.6%
CHC -3.5	19.0%	18.1%

Team Totals

Line	CHC	CIN
O 3.5	65.9%	63.8%
O 4.5	53.2%	50.9%
O 5.5	39.9%	38.4%
O 6.5	27.2%	27.6%

Odds

moneyline CHC 53% · -199 · $50 per $100

Book	CIN	Impl%	CHC	Impl%
DraftKings	+163	36.3%	-199	63.7%

runline Cincinnati Reds +1.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

CHC -1.5: CHC 5.1 − 1.5 = 3.6 vs CIN 5.0 no bet

CIN +1.5: CIN 5.0 + 1.5 = 6.5 vs CHC 5.1 BET ✗

Book	CIN		CHC
DraftKings	+1.5	-110	-1.5	-110

total Over 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 9.0 -108	U 9.0 -112

Player Projections actual (projected)

Cincinnati Reds

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Spencer Steer	1B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.4	0.9	9.1	—
Sal Stewart	3B	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.1	0.3	1.0	9.0	—
Dane Myers	CF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.4	1.1	8.7	—
Elly De La Cruz	SS	0.8	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.3	1.2	8.7	—
Matt McLain	2B	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.4	1.1	8.5	—
JJ Bleday	CF	0.8	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.0	7.8	—
Tyler Stephenson	C	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.0	7.3	—
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.1	0.2	0.8	6.7	—
Blake Dunn	LF	0.7	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.2	6.6	—
Connor Phillips	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.7	3.9	—
Tony Santillan	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.9	—
Sam Moll	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.5	—
Tejay Antone	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.8	2.3	—
Brock Burke	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.2	—
Graham Ashcraft	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.1	—
Pierce Johnson	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	0.8	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Rhett Lowder	Starter	5.8	4.9	6.0	2.7	3.3	43%	100%	12.8	—

Chicago Cubs

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Nico Hoerner	2B	1.1	0.1	0.7	0.5	0.3	0.4	0.7	9.3	—
Moisés Ballesteros	C	1.0	0.1	0.7	0.6	0.0	0.5	0.8	8.8	—
Ian Happ	LF	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.5	0.9	8.7	—
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.3	0.8	8.3	—
Alex Bregman	3B	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.7	8.1	—
Michael Busch	1B	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.5	0.9	8.1	—
Michael Conforto	LF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.5	0.8	7.9	—
Dansby Swanson	SS	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.4	0.8	7.6	—
Miguel Amaya	C	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.7	6.7	—
Javier Assad	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.0	4.5	—
Phil Maton	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.1	—
Hoby Milner	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.6	—
Daniel Palencia	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.3	—
Corbin Martin	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	2.1	—
Jacob Webb	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	2.0	—
Trent Thornton	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	1.9	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Shota Imanaga	Starter	5.8	6.0	5.2	2.0	2.9	50%	100%	17.0	—

Box Score

Cincinnati Reds — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Dane Myers	4						3	$3,200 $2,300 $10	8.7	-1.5	-10.2
Matt McLain	4	1				1	1	$3,100 $2,700 $13	8.5	4.5	-4.0
Elly De La Cruz	5	1	1				1	$6,100 $4,000 $18	8.7	4.5	-4.2
Sal Stewart	4	1		1	1	1	1	$5,100 $3,700 $17	9.0	13.5	+4.5
Spencer Steer	3	1				2		$3,000 $2,800 $14	9.1	7.0	-2.1
Tyler Stephenson	4					1	2	$2,800 $2,500 $11	7.3	1.0	-6.3
JJ Bleday	4	1	1		1	1		$3,900 $3,400 $12	7.8	9.0	+1.2
Blake Dunn	4	2		1	1	1	2	$2,300 $2,300 $9	6.6	16.0	+9.4
Ke'Bryan Hayes	4	2					1	$2,100 $2,200 $8	6.7	5.5	-1.2
Will Benson	0					1		$2,400 — —	—	—
Nathaniel Lowe	1						1	$3,400 $2,800 $11	—	-0.5
TOTALS	37	9	2	2	3	8	12		72.4	59.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Rhett Lowder	2.2	1	1	1	4	1	13	$6,800 $8,100 $32	12.8	2.4	-10.4
Connor Phillips	1.0	4	7		1	0	8	$6,800 — —	3.9	-14.8	-18.7
Luis Mey	2.0	1	0	1	1	0	9	$4,000 — —	—	5.3
Jose Franco	2.0	1	0	1	1	0	8	$6,800 — —	—	5.3

Chicago Cubs — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Nico Hoerner	4	1	1		1	1		$4,900 $3,700 $18	9.3	9.0	-0.3
Moisés Ballesteros	4				1			$4,200 $2,900 $16	8.8	2.0	-6.8
Alex Bregman	3					1		$4,400 $2,800 $14	8.1	2.0	-6.1
Ian Happ	3					1	2	$4,600 $3,700 $18	8.7	1.0	-7.7
Michael Busch	4	1						$4,100 $2,900 $16	8.1	3.0	-5.1
Michael Conforto	3	3	1	1	2	1		$2,500 $2,400 $9	7.9	24.0	+16.1
Dansby Swanson	3				1	1		$3,600 $3,300 $16	7.6	4.0	-3.6
Pete Crow-Armstrong	3	1			1	1		$4,700 $2,800 $15	8.3	7.0	-1.3
Miguel Amaya	2	1			2	1	1	$3,200 $2,700 $11	6.7	8.5	+1.8
TOTALS	29	7	2	1	8	7	3		73.7	60.5

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Shota Imanaga	6.0	6	1	10	3	1	28	$9,000 $10,700 $52	17.0	29.5	+12.5
Trent Thornton	1.0	1	0		1	0	5	— — —	1.9	1.0	-0.9
Gavin Hollowell	1.2	2	2	1	4	1	11	$4,000 — —	—	-2.4
Daniel Palencia	0.1		0	1		0	1	$4,000 — —	2.3	2.8	+0.5