Houston Astros

51% win

pred 5.2

Mike Burrows

FINAL

Cincinnati Reds

50% win

pred 5.1

Nick Lodolo

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	5	10	13
CIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5

2026-05-08 · 6:10 PM ET Great American Ball Park 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Zach Dezenzo	OF	13.5	$2.0k	6.8
Zach Cole	OF	16.0	$2.5k	6.4
Brice Matthews	OF	10.5	$2.8k	3.8
Christian Vázquez	C	11.5	$3.2k	3.6
Yordan Alvarez	OF	17.0	$6.0k	2.8
Isaac Paredes	3B	9.0	$3.5k	2.6
Shay Whitcomb	3B/OF	5.0	$2.9k	1.7
Cam Smith	OF	5.0	$3.1k	1.6
Nick Allen	SS	3.0	$2.2k	1.4
Braden Shewmake	SS	3.0	$2.3k	1.3
Elly De La Cruz	SS	7.5	$5.9k	1.3
Jose Altuve	2B	4.5	$4.3k	1.1
Matt McLain	2B	3.0	$3.2k	0.9
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	2.0	$3.4k	0.6
Sal Stewart	1B/3B	3.0	$5.1k	0.6
JJ Bleday	OF	2.0	$4.4k	0.5

Predictions

Houston Astros

ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 46%

+109 · $109 per $100

WIN

Houston Astros +1.5

RL · 1.6 off line

-110 · $91 per $100

WIN

OVER 9.0

TOTAL · Proj 10.4 vs Line 9.0

-110 · $91 per $100

WIN

Houston Astros ML + Houston Astros +1.5 + OVER 9.0

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+662 · $662 per $100

WIN

HOU 51% 50% CIN

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	85.8%	14.2%
6.5	79.3%	20.7%
7.5	70.3%	29.7%
8.5	62.6%	37.4%
9.5	52.0%	48.0%
10.5	45.4%	54.6%
11.5	35.4%	64.6%
12.5	29.4%	70.6%

Run Line (margin)

Line	CIN covers	HOU covers
CIN -1.5	36.9%	38.1%
CIN -2.5	26.4%	29.9%
CIN -3.5	19.8%	20.8%

Team Totals

Line	CIN	HOU
O 3.5	66.6%	65.0%
O 4.5	54.1%	53.5%
O 5.5	40.7%	41.4%
O 6.5	28.4%	31.6%

Odds

moneyline HOU 51% · +109 · $109 per $100

Book	HOU	Impl%	CIN	Impl%
DraftKings	+109	45.7%	-132	54.3%

runline Houston Astros +1.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

CIN -1.5: CIN 5.1 − 1.5 = 3.6 vs HOU 5.2 no bet

HOU +1.5: HOU 5.2 + 1.5 = 6.7 vs CIN 5.1 BET ✓

Book	HOU		CIN
DraftKings	+1.5	-110	-1.5	-110

total Over 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 9.0 -108	U 9.0 -112

Player Projections actual (projected)

Houston Astros

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Yordan Alvarez	LF	1.1	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.0	0.4	1.0	10.0	—
Jose Altuve	LF	1.1	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.1	0.3	1.0	9.6	—
Christian Walker	1B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.4	1.0	8.8	—
Brice Matthews	SS	0.8	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.3	1.4	8.3	—
Isaac Paredes	3B	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.8	8.3	—
Cam Smith	RF	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.3	1.1	7.9	—
Zach Dezenzo	1B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.2	7.3	—
Christian Vázquez	C	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.9	6.9	—
Nick Allen	SS	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.0	0.3	0.9	6.6	—
Kai-Wei Teng	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.1	5.6	—
Enyel De Los Santos	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.8	4.4	—
Bennett Sousa	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.5	3.8	—
Bryan Abreu	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.4	—
Bryan King	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.3	—
Steven Okert	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.0	—
César Salazar	C	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.9	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Mike Burrows	Starter	5.7	5.8	6.0	2.3	3.4	45%	100%	14.3	—

Cincinnati Reds

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Elly De La Cruz	SS	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.3	0.4	1.1	10.3	—
Sal Stewart	3B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.1	0.4	1.0	9.8	—
JJ Bleday	CF	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.0	0.5	1.0	9.5	—
TJ Friedl	CF	1.1	0.2	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.4	1.0	9.3	—
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.0	8.7	—
Spencer Steer	1B	0.9	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.9	8.3	—
Matt McLain	2B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	1.0	7.8	—
Tyler Stephenson	C	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.0	7.4	—
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	0.9	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.9	7.0	—
Luis Mey	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.7	3.6	—
Sam Moll	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	3.3	—
Tejay Antone	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.1	—
Graham Ashcraft	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	2.9	—
Pierce Johnson	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.8	—
Brock Burke	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	2.6	—
Connor Phillips	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.0	2.1	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Nick Lodolo	Starter	5.3	5.5	5.2	1.8	2.8	46%	100%	14.9	—

Box Score

Houston Astros — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Jose Altuve	3	1	1					1	$4,300 $3,000 $15	9.6	4.5	-5.1
Yordan Alvarez	4	2			1	2			$6,000 $4,200 $20	10.0	17.0	+7.0
Isaac Paredes	4	1	1			1	1		$3,500 $2,900 $15	8.3	9.0	+0.7
Christian Walker	5								$3,900 $3,800 $18	8.8	0.0	-8.8
Cam Smith	3	1					1		$3,100 $2,900 $13	7.9	5.0	-2.9
Brice Matthews	4	2		1				1	$2,800 $2,500 $14	8.3	10.5	+2.2
Zach Dezenzo	3	1			1	2		1	$2,000 $2,600 $10	7.3	13.5	+6.2
Christian Vázquez	4	1			1	1		1	$3,200 $2,900 $11	6.9	11.5	+4.6
Nick Allen	4	1							$2,200 $2,300 $7	6.6	3.0	-3.6
Zach Cole	1	1			1	3			$2,500 — —	—	16.0
Braden Shewmake	1	1							$2,300 — —	—	3.0
Shay Whitcomb	1	1				1			$2,900 — —	—	5.0
TOTALS	37	13	2	1	4	10	2	4		73.7	98.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	K	BB	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Mike Burrows	7.0	3	6	1	25	$7,000 $7,500 $31	14.3	29.3	+15.0
AJ Blubaugh	1.0	1	1		4	$6,000 — —	—	3.7
Logan VanWey	1.0	1	2		4	— — —	—	5.7

Cincinnati Reds — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
TJ Friedl	4					1	$3,600 $2,700 $13	9.3	-0.5	-9.8
JJ Bleday	3				1		$4,400 $3,400 $16	9.5	2.0	-7.5
Elly De La Cruz	4	2	1			1	$5,900 $4,000 $19	10.3	7.5	-2.8
Sal Stewart	4	1					$5,100 $3,700 $18	9.8	3.0	-6.8
Nathaniel Lowe	4	1				2	$3,400 $2,800 $14	8.7	2.0	-6.7
Spencer Steer	4					2	$3,100 $2,800 $15	8.3	-1.0	-9.3
Tyler Stephenson	3					1	$3,000 $2,500 $11	7.4	-0.5	-7.9
Matt McLain	3	1					$3,200 $2,700 $13	7.8	3.0	-4.8
Ke'Bryan Hayes	2					1	$2,200 $2,200 $8	7.0	-0.5	-7.5
Will Benson	1					1	$2,500 — —	—	-0.5
TOTALS	32	5	1	0	1	9		78.1	14.5

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Nick Lodolo	4.2	5	4	2	1	2	21	$8,000 $8,000 $26	14.9	1.7	-13.2
Pierce Johnson	1.2		0	2	1	0	6	$4,000 — —	2.8	7.2	+4.4
Tejay Antone	1.0	1	1			0	4	$4,000 — —	3.1	-0.4	-3.5
Tony Santillan	0.0	4	4			2	4	$6,800 — —	—	—
Jose Trevino	0.2	3	1			0	5	$2,100 — —	—	-2.3