Cincinnati Reds

55% win

pred 5.2

Rhett Lowder

FINAL

Tampa Bay Rays

46% win

pred 4.6

Jesse Scholtens

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	2	0	1	0	0	2			1	6	9
TB	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6

2026-04-20 · 6:40 PM ET Tropicana Field

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Sal Stewart	3B	28.0	$4.8k	5.8
Rece Hinds	RF	9.0	$2.3k	3.9
Spencer Steer	1B	9.0	$2.6k	3.5
Matt McLain	2B	7.0	$2.8k	2.5
Jake Fraley	RF	7.0	$3.1k	2.3
Rhett Lowder	SP	17.3	$7.7k	2.3
TJ Friedl	CF	7.0	$3.7k	1.9
Chandler Simpson	CF	8.0	$4.6k	1.7
Jonathan Aranda	1B	7.0	$4.1k	1.7
Brock Burke	RP	6.3	$4.0k	1.6
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	3.0	$2.0k	1.5
Jesse Scholtens	SP	10.0	$7.5k	1.3
Richie Palacios	LF	3.0	$3.5k	0.9
Elly De La Cruz	SS	5.0	$6.1k	0.8
Taylor Walls	SS	2.0	$2.5k	0.8
Yandy Díaz	1B/3B	4.0	$5.2k	0.8
Junior Caminero	3B	3.0	$5.1k	0.6
Eugenio Suárez	3B	2.5	$4.4k	0.6
Cole Sulser	RP	2.3	$4.0k	0.6
Pierce Johnson	RP	1.7	$4.0k	0.4
Connor Phillips	RP	0.5	$4.0k	0.1

Best Bets

Cincinnati Reds

ML ★ · +6.9% edge

+102 · $100 bet · $102 profit

Model: 55% vs Market: 48%

WIN

OVER 8.0

TOTAL ★ · +1.8 off line

-110 · $100 bet · $91 profit

Model: 9.8 vs Line: 8.0

LOSS

Cincinnati Reds + OVER 8.0

SGP ★ · 2-leg same-game parlay

+286 · $100 bet · $286 profit

LOSS

Predictions

Cincinnati Reds

ML · Model 55% vs Mkt 48%

+102 · $102 per $100

WIN

Tampa Bay Rays +1.5

RL · 0.9 off line

-108 · $93 per $100

LOSS

OVER 8.0

TOTAL · Proj 9.8 vs Line 8.0

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

Cincinnati Reds ML + Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 + OVER 8.0

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+643 · $643 per $100

LOSS

CIN 55% 46% TB

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	82.3%	17.7%
6.5	75.2%	24.8%
7.5	65.7%	34.3%
8.5	57.0%	43.0%
9.5	46.8%	53.2%
10.5	38.7%	61.3%
11.5	29.8%	70.2%
12.5	24.2%	75.8%

Run Line (margin)

Line	TB covers	CIN covers
TB -1.5	32.6%	39.8%
TB -2.5	22.8%	29.7%
TB -3.5	16.5%	21.5%

Team Totals

Line	TB	CIN
O 3.5	60.1%	63.9%
O 4.5	46.2%	52.2%
O 5.5	34.5%	40.8%
O 6.5	24.0%	29.9%

Odds

moneyline CIN 55% · +102 · $102 per $100

Book	CIN	Impl%	TB	Impl%
DraftKings	+102	47.4%	-122	52.6%
FanDuel	+102	47.6%	-120	52.4%
BetMGM	+105	47.7%	-115	52.3%
Caesars	+100	47.8%	-120	52.2%

runline Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 · -108 · $93 per $100

CIN -1.5: CIN 5.2 − 1.5 = 3.7 vs TB 4.6 no bet

TB +1.5: TB 4.6 + 1.5 = 6.1 vs CIN 5.2 BET ✗

Book	CIN		TB
DraftKings	-1.5	+158	+1.5	-192
FanDuel	-1.5	+164	+1.5	-200
BetMGM	-1.5	+170	+1.5	-210
Caesars	+1.5	-205	-1.5	+170

total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 8.0 -112	U 8.0 -108
FanDuel	O 8.0 -105	U 8.0 -115
BetMGM	O 8.0 -115	U 8.0 -105
Caesars	O 8.0 -115	U 8.0 -105

Player Projections actual (projected)

Cincinnati Reds

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Sal Stewart	3B	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.9	10.1	—
Elly De La Cruz	SS	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.4	1.1	9.7	—
Matt McLain	2B	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.4	1.1	8.9	—
Eugenio Suárez	3B	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.4	1.0	8.5	—
Rece Hinds	RF	0.8	0.2	0.5	0.7	0.0	0.3	1.1	8.4	—
TJ Friedl	CF	0.9	0.1	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.4	0.9	8.3	—
Spencer Steer	1B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.4	0.9	8.0	—
Tyler Stephenson	C	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.0	7.1	—
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.3	0.8	6.3	—
Kyle Nicolas	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.3	—
Brock Burke	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.2	—
Emilio Pagán	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	3.1	—
Pierce Johnson	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.9	—
Sam Moll	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.7	—
Graham Ashcraft	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.4	—
Connor Phillips	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	1.7	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Rhett Lowder	Starter	5.8	4.6	5.8	2.3	3.0	50%	100%	13.6	—

Tampa Bay Rays

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Chandler Simpson	CF	1.1	0.0	0.6	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.7	9.9	—
Junior Caminero	3B	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.4	0.9	8.8	—
Jake Fraley	RF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.4	0.8	8.0	—
Yandy Díaz	1B	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.7	7.8	—
Jonathan Aranda	1B	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.5	0.9	7.8	—
Richie Palacios	LF	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.5	0.7	7.4	—
Cedric Mullins	CF	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.4	0.8	7.3	—
Nick Fortes	C	0.9	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.7	6.7	—
Taylor Walls	SS	0.7	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.4	0.9	6.5	—
Griffin Jax	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.8	4.0	—
Kevin Kelly	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.7	4.0	—
Ian Seymour	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.7	3.8	—
Bryan Baker	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.8	—
Cole Sulser	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.7	3.6	—
Yoendrys Gómez	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.2	—
Mason Englert	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	2.1	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Jesse Scholtens	Starter	4.6	4.7	4.5	1.9	2.5	31%	100%	12.3	—

Box Score

Cincinnati Reds — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
TJ Friedl	4	1	1	0	0			$3,700 $2,600 $13	8.3	7.0	-1.3
Matt McLain	4	1	1	0	0		1	$2,800 $2,700 $12	8.9	7.0	-1.9
Elly De La Cruz	3	1		0	1			$6,100 $3,800 $20	9.7	5.0	-4.7
Sal Stewart	3	1		1	2		1	$4,800 $3,800 $19	10.1	28.0	+17.9
Eugenio Suárez	3	1					1	$4,400 $2,800 $16	8.5	2.5	-6.0
Spencer Steer	2	1	1	0	0		1	$2,600 $2,600 $14	8.0	9.0	+1.0
Tyler Stephenson	3	0		0	0			$3,200 $2,500 $13	7.1	0.0	-7.1
Rece Hinds	3	1	1	0	2		1	$2,300 $2,100 $8	8.4	9.0	+0.7
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3	0		0	0		1	$2,000 $2,100 $7	6.3	3.0	-3.3
TOTALS	28	7	4	1	5	0	6		75.3	70.5

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Rhett Lowder	5.2	5	1	3	2	24	$7,700 $8,200 $37	13.6	17.3	+3.8
Brock Burke	1.0		0	2		3	$4,000 — —	3.2	6.3	+3.1
Pierce Johnson	1.0		0		1	4	$4,000 — —	2.9	1.7	-1.3
Connor Phillips	1.0	1	0		2	6	$4,000 — —	1.7	0.5	-1.3

Tampa Bay Rays — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Chandler Simpson	5	2		0	0			$4,600 $3,200 $16	9.9	8.0	-1.9
Junior Caminero	4	1		0	0			$5,100 $3,200 $18	8.8	3.0	-5.8
Jonathan Aranda	2	1		0	0	2		$4,100 $3,300 $17	7.8	7.0	-0.8
Yandy Díaz	3				1	1		$5,200 $3,600 $18	7.8	4.0	-3.8
Jake Fraley	3	1	1	0	0	1	1	$3,100 $2,400 $9	8.0	7.0	-1.0
Cedric Mullins	4	0		0	0		1	$3,200 $2,400 $12	7.3	0.0	-7.3
Nick Fortes	4	0		0	0		2	$2,800 $2,400 $11	6.7	0.0	-6.7
Richie Palacios	4	1		0	0			$3,500 $2,800 $13	7.4	3.0	-4.4
Taylor Walls	3	0		0	0	1	1	$2,500 $2,800 $11	6.5	2.0	-4.5
TOTALS	32	6	1		1	5	5		70.2	34.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Jesse Scholtens	5.2	7	5	6	0	1	26	$7,500 $8,000 $31	12.3	10.0	-2.3
Cole Sulser	1.0		0			0	3	$4,000 — —	3.6	2.3	-1.3

Player Props

Player	Prop	Side	Line	Odds	Proj	Edge	Actual	Result
Sal Stewart	total bases	OVER	1.5	+126	2.54	+41.4%	4	HIT
Jesse Scholtens	hits allowed	UNDER	4.5	-150	2.50	30.6%	7	MISS
Elly De La Cruz	total bases	OVER	1.5	+134	2.08	+30.1%	1	MISS
Richie Palacios	total bases	OVER	0.5	-135	1.57	+30.0%	1	HIT
Nick Fortes	total bases	OVER	0.5	-155	1.70	+29.6%	0	MISS
Sal Stewart	rbis	OVER	0.5	+153	0.85	+28.4%	2	HIT
Nick Fortes	runs	OVER	0.5	+172	0.74	+28.3%	—	—
Rece Hinds	total bases	OVER	0.5	-135	1.43	+26.6%	2	HIT
Spencer Steer	total bases	OVER	0.5	-160	1.59	+26.4%	2	HIT
Jake Fraley	total bases	OVER	0.5	-175	1.62	+25.2%	2	HIT
Jonathan Aranda	rbis	OVER	0.5	+188	0.66	+24.8%	0	MISS
Chandler Simpson	runs	OVER	0.5	+117	0.83	+24.2%	—	—
Jesse Scholtens	strikeouts	UNDER	4.5	-123	3.14	23.1%	6	MISS
Richie Palacios	runs	OVER	0.5	+164	0.65	+23.0%	—	—
Richie Palacios	hits	OVER	0.5	-131	1.09	+22.6%	1	HIT
Nick Fortes	hits	OVER	0.5	-163	1.23	+22.6%	0	MISS
Ke'Bryan Hayes	hits	UNDER	0.5	+117	0.20	20.7%	0	HIT
Junior Caminero	total bases	OVER	1.5	+120	1.83	+19.3%	1	MISS
Sal Stewart	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.39	+18.1%	1	MISS
Elly De La Cruz	rbis	OVER	0.5	+174	0.54	+17.8%	1	HIT
Jesse Scholtens	outs recorded	UNDER	14.5	+115	13.80	17.6%	17	MISS
Sal Stewart	runs	OVER	0.5	+116	0.68	+16.5%	—	—
Ke'Bryan Hayes	total bases	UNDER	0.5	+110	0.20	16.5%	0	HIT
Taylor Walls	runs	UNDER	0.5	-278	0.45	+15.8%	—	—
Jake Fraley	runs	OVER	0.5	+138	0.58	+15.4%	—	—
Spencer Steer	runs	OVER	0.5	+161	0.52	+15.3%	—	—
Taylor Walls	hits	OVER	0.5	-101	0.75	+14.6%	0	MISS
Cedric Mullins	total bases	OVER	0.5	-135	1.01	+14.4%	0	MISS
Rece Hinds	runs	OVER	0.5	+151	0.52	+14.2%	—	—
Rhett Lowder	hits allowed	UNDER	5.5	-131	4.75	13.1%	5	HIT
Nick Fortes	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-343	0.28	+12.6%	0	HIT
Sal Stewart	hits	OVER	0.5	-222	1.13	+12.4%	1	HIT
Tyler Stephenson	total bases	OVER	0.5	-135	0.95	+12.4%	0	MISS
Chandler Simpson	total bases	OVER	1.5	+127	1.60	+12.4%	2	HIT
Taylor Walls	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-462	0.16	+12.4%	0	HIT
Jonathan Aranda	runs	OVER	0.5	+129	0.55	+12.3%	—	—
Chandler Simpson	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.26	12.1%	—	—
Jake Fraley	hits	OVER	0.5	-171	0.97	+12.0%	1	HIT
Jonathan Aranda	total bases	UNDER	1.5	-195	1.50	+11.9%	1	HIT
Elly De La Cruz	runs	OVER	0.5	+110	0.61	+11.5%	—	—
Chandler Simpson	hits	UNDER	1.5	-249	1.38	+11.3%	2	MISS
Junior Caminero	runs	OVER	0.5	+104	0.61	+10.6%	—	—
Jesse Scholtens	walks allowed	UNDER	1.5	+136	1.50	10.3%	0	HIT
Elly De La Cruz	hits	OVER	0.5	-199	1.01	+10.3%	1	HIT
Yandy Diaz	hits	OVER	0.5	-277	0.69	10.2%	—	—
Taylor Walls	total bases	OVER	0.5	-110	0.75	+10.0%	0	MISS
TJ Friedl	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-450	0.11	+10.0%	0	HIT
Yandy Diaz	total bases	UNDER	1.5	-161	1.00	9.8%	—	—
Spencer Steer	hits	OVER	0.5	-154	0.86	+9.8%	1	HIT
Rece Hinds	hits	OVER	0.5	-156	0.87	+9.8%	1	HIT
Elly De La Cruz	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.25	9.2%	—	—
Rece Hinds	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-267	0.30	+8.9%	2	MISS
Spencer Steer	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-336	0.20	+8.9%	0	HIT
Yandy Diaz	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-254	0.32	+8.8%	—	—
Tyler Stephenson	runs	UNDER	0.5	-215	0.41	+8.8%	—	—
Matt McLain	runs	OVER	0.5	+123	0.50	+8.7%	—	—
Richie Palacios	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-357	0.15	+7.9%	0	HIT
Matt McLain	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.15	7.8%	—	—
Cedric Mullins	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-282	0.25	+7.8%	0	HIT
Matt McLain	total bases	OVER	0.5	-185	1.02	+7.8%	2	HIT
Tyler Stephenson	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-347	0.16	+7.7%	0	HIT
Taylor Walls	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.30	+7.7%	—	—
Chandler Simpson	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-379	0.11	+7.2%	0	HIT
Rece Hinds	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	7.0%	—	—
Matt McLain	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-373	0.10	+6.6%	0	HIT
Jonathan Aranda	hits	OVER	0.5	-199	0.92	+6.6%	1	HIT
Junior Caminero	hits	OVER	0.5	-246	1.02	+6.3%	1	HIT
Spencer Steer	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	6.3%	—	—
Spencer Steer	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.18	+5.8%	0	HIT
Cedric Mullins	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.06	5.6%	0	HIT
Jake Fraley	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.08	5.6%	—	—
TJ Friedl	hits	OVER	0.5	-179	0.60	5.3%	1	HIT
Ke'Bryan Hayes	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	5.0%	—	—
Matt McLain	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	4.8%	0	HIT
Sal Stewart	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.10	4.4%	—	—
Ke'Bryan Hayes	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-415	0.00	+4.4%	0	HIT
Matt McLain	hits	OVER	0.5	-190	0.84	+4.2%	1	HIT
Yandy Diaz	runs	UNDER	0.5	-172	0.41	+4.1%	—	—
Junior Caminero	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-220	0.27	+3.8%	0	HIT
Jake Fraley	rbis	UNDER	0.5	-290	0.14	+3.7%	0	HIT
Richie Palacios	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.12	+3.5%	0	HIT
TJ Friedl	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.21	+3.3%	—	—
Cedric Mullins	hits	OVER	0.5	-159	0.59	3.2%	0	MISS
Yandy Diaz	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.06	3.2%	—	—
Tyler Stephenson	hits	OVER	0.5	-149	0.69	+2.9%	0	MISS
Richie Palacios	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.23	2.8%	—	—
Cedric Mullins	runs	UNDER	0.5	-185	0.35	+2.5%	—	—
TJ Friedl	runs	UNDER	0.5	-182	0.36	+2.5%	—	—
Rece Hinds	home runs	UNDER	1.5	-110	0.12	2.2%	0	HIT
Tyler Stephenson	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.09	2.0%	0	HIT
Junior Caminero	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	1.9%	—	—
Rhett Lowder	walks allowed	OVER	1.5	-157	1.75	+1.9%	2	HIT
TJ Friedl	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	1.9%	0	HIT
Rhett Lowder	strikeouts	UNDER	3.5	-124	3.48	+1.8%	3	HIT
TJ Friedl	total bases	OVER	0.5	-160	0.66	1.7%	2	HIT
Elly De La Cruz	home runs	UNDER	1.5	-110	0.30	1.6%	0	HIT
Ke'Bryan Hayes	runs	UNDER	0.5	-270	0.12	1.5%	—	—
Nick Fortes	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	1.5%	—	—
Chandler Simpson	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	+1.4%	0	HIT
Jonathan Aranda	home runs	UNDER	1.5	-110	0.12	1.4%	0	HIT
Junior Caminero	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.22	1.4%	0	HIT
Cedric Mullins	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.18	0.7%	—	—
Ke'Bryan Hayes	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	0.7%	0	HIT
Taylor Walls	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	0.7%	0	HIT
Rhett Lowder	outs recorded	OVER	16.5	-128	16.70	+0.7%	17	HIT
Jake Fraley	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.11	+0.6%	0	HIT
Jonathan Aranda	stolen bases	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.00	+0.4%	—	—
Nick Fortes	home runs	UNDER	0.5	-110	0.08	0.4%	0	HIT