Tampa Bay Rays

52% win

pred 5

Jesse Scholtens

FINAL

Boston Red Sox

48% win

pred 4.6

Connelly Early

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
BOS	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0		2	4

2026-05-08 · 7:10 PM ET Fenway Park 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Ceddanne Rafaela	OF	15.0	$3.2k	4.7
Wilyer Abreu	OF	14.0	$4.4k	3.2
Nick Fortes	C	5.5	$2.6k	2.1
Jonathan Aranda	1B	4.0	$4.1k	1.0
Willson Contreras	1B	3.5	$4.3k	0.8
Taylor Walls	SS	2.0	$2.5k	0.8
Jarren Duran	OF	3.0	$4.7k	0.6

Best Bets

Tampa Bay Rays

ML ★ · +7.4% edge

+114 · $100 bet · $114 profit

Model: 52% vs Market: 45%

LOSS

Predictions

Tampa Bay Rays

ML · Model 52% vs Mkt 45%

+114 · $114 per $100

LOSS

Tampa Bay Rays +1.5

RL · 1.9 off line

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

OVER 8.5

TOTAL · Proj 9.6 vs Line 8.5

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

Tampa Bay Rays ML + Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 + OVER 8.5

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+680 · $680 per $100

LOSS

TB 52% 48% BOS

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	80.5%	19.5%
6.5	72.8%	27.2%
7.5	63.0%	37.0%
8.5	54.9%	45.1%
9.5	44.9%	55.1%
10.5	37.5%	62.5%
11.5	30.3%	69.7%
12.5	23.2%	76.8%

Run Line (margin)

Line	BOS covers	TB covers
BOS -1.5	34.2%	39.7%
BOS -2.5	24.7%	29.2%
BOS -3.5	15.8%	20.6%

Team Totals

Line	BOS	TB
O 3.5	61.4%	62.8%
O 4.5	47.6%	50.0%
O 5.5	32.8%	37.7%
O 6.5	22.2%	28.0%

Odds

moneyline TB 52% · +114 · $114 per $100

Book	TB	Impl%	BOS	Impl%
DraftKings	+114	44.7%	-137	55.3%

runline Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

BOS -1.5: BOS 4.6 − 1.5 = 3.1 vs TB 5.0 no bet

TB +1.5: TB 5.0 + 1.5 = 6.5 vs BOS 4.6 BET ✗

Book	TB		BOS
DraftKings	+1.5	-110	-1.5	-110

total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 8.5 -110	U 8.5 -110

Player Projections actual (projected)

Tampa Bay Rays

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Junior Caminero	3B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.9	8.9	—
Chandler Simpson	CF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.4	0.3	0.8	8.8	—
Yandy Díaz	1B	1.1	0.1	0.7	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.9	8.8	—
Jonny DeLuca	CF	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.3	0.9	8.5	—
Jonathan Aranda	1B	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.1	8.0	—
Ryan Vilade	RF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.4	1.0	8.0	—
Ben Williamson	3B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.9	7.4	—
Nick Fortes	C	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.8	7.1	—
Taylor Walls	SS	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.4	1.0	7.0	—
Griffin Jax	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.8	4.6	—
Ian Seymour	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.6	4.1	—
Bryan Baker	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	3.5	—
Cole Sulser	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	2.9	—
Kevin Kelly	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.3	2.8	—
Hunter Bigge	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.6	—
Garrett Cleavinger	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.3	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Jesse Scholtens	Starter	5.3	4.9	5.6	1.9	3.0	46%	100%	13.2	—

Boston Red Sox

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Jarren Duran	LF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.4	1.0	9.2	—
Willson Contreras	1B	1.1	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.1	9.0	—
Trevor Story	SS	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.3	1.0	8.9	—
Wilyer Abreu	RF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.4	0.9	8.4	—
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.9	8.1	—
Masataka Yoshida	LF	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.7	8.0	—
Carlos Narváez	C	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.9	7.3	—
Caleb Durbin	3B	0.9	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.3	0.6	7.2	—
Marcelo Mayer	3B	0.9	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.8	7.0	—
Jovani Morán	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.2	4.8	—
Zack Kelly	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	3.4	—
Garrett Whitlock	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3	3.3	—
Aroldis Chapman	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.2	3.0	—
Greg Weissert	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.9	2.1	—
Ryan Watson	P	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1	1.9	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Connelly Early	Starter	5.4	5.2	5.5	2.1	2.8	44%	100%	14.1	—

Box Score

Tampa Bay Rays — Hitting

Player	AB	H	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Yandy Díaz	3				3	$4,900 $3,500 $17	8.8	-1.5	-10.3
Ryan Vilade	4				1	$2,800 $2,400 $9	8.0	-0.5	-8.5
Junior Caminero	4					$5,100 $3,500 $18	8.9	0.0	-8.9
Jonathan Aranda	3	1		1	2	$4,100 $3,400 $17	8.0	4.0	-4.0
Jonny DeLuca	4				2	$3,200 $2,800 $13	8.5	-1.0	-9.5
Ben Williamson	3					$2,900 $2,700 $11	7.4	0.0	-7.4
Chandler Simpson	3				1	$3,700 $2,800 $14	8.8	-0.5	-9.3
Nick Fortes	3	2			1	$2,600 $2,600 $9	7.1	5.5	-1.6
Taylor Walls	3	1			2	$2,500 $2,700 $11	7.0	2.0	-5.0
TOTALS	30	4	0	1	12		72.4	8.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Jesse Scholtens	4.2	2	2	4	3	2	21	$5,500 $7,200 $25	13.2	10.3	-2.9
Mason Englert	3.1	2	0	3		0	13	$5,500 — —	—	12.3

Boston Red Sox — Hitting

Player	AB	H	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Jarren Duran	4	1					$4,700 $3,100 $16	9.2	3.0	-6.2
Willson Contreras	2				2	1	$4,300 $3,500 $18	9.0	3.5	-5.5
Wilyer Abreu	3	1	1	1	1		$4,400 $3,100 $16	8.4	14.0	+5.6
Masataka Yoshida	4						$3,400 $2,600 $13	8.0	0.0	-8.0
Trevor Story	4					3	$3,500 $2,700 $13	8.9	-1.5	-10.4
Ceddanne Rafaela	4	2	1	1			$3,200 $2,800 $14	8.1	15.0	+6.9
Marcelo Mayer	4					1	$3,000 $2,500 $11	7.0	-0.5	-7.5
Carlos Narváez	2					1	$2,400 $2,500 $11	7.3	-0.5	-7.8
Caleb Durbin	3					1	$2,300 $2,700 $12	7.2	-0.5	-7.7
TOTALS	30	4	2	2	3	7		73.2	32.5

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	K	BB	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Connelly Early	6.2	4	8	1	26	$7,700 $8,200 $36	14.1	32.0	+17.9
Garrett Whitlock	1.0		2		3	$4,000 — —	3.3	6.3	+3.0
Aroldis Chapman	1.0		2		3	$4,000 — —	3.0	6.3	+3.3